nnuut's Account Talk

but some of them do come up with what I consider pretty good perspective on the long term market in order to predict the short term. WHAT, did I say?

:laugh: I hear ya. I'm just horrible at timing, so I've been trying to stick with mid to long term views.
 
Nnuut,
I'll be watching Asia Markets too - fairly key tonight.
Maybe tonight even more intiguing than usual as result of your post:
Re: 350Z's I fund thread NOV 07
Happy Vets Day to US!!!:D
And... China is taking action to fight inflation, by taking money out of the economy, locking more of it up (as a gov't reserve). The US might think about this, wouldn't you think?:worried:
Nice point - may help, and wonder if we may see tonight!
_39292458_yuan_body.jpg

Interestingly, in Robo's post #854 [11/08/07], in his "Cave Bear Talk," he said: "just heard on Bloomberg that Paulson is getting ready to talk about China.][You can bet some deals were made the last few days with the Chinese."] Now, Robo doesn't seem to think much of Paulson, but who knows, maybe...
VR
Yes, taking USD out of circulation would strengthen it, but we would all be broke and China would be much richer because they hold so much of our $.
 
One of you numbers guys should try tracking this kind of action and see if there are trackable trends, I think there is. We all know the profit takers usually come in around 14:15 to 14:30 EST and have seen the tremendous rallies or dips in the last 30 minutes of the day. Is there a pattern that can tell us something about the condition of the Markets? HHUUUUmmmmmm?:suspicious:

I would love to crunch those kinds of numbers. Unfortunately, getting historical intraday data could be costly. It is free to download the open, high, low, and close, but that does not include the sequence throughout the day.
 
I really have to say, probably not, but some of them do come up with what I consider pretty good perspective on the long term market in order to predict the short term. WHAT, did I say?] :cool:
[One of you numbers guys should try tracking this kind of action and see if there are trackable trends, I think there is.][ HHUUUUmmmmmm?]:suspicious:

Nnuut, I shortened quote -your, "What did I say?" made me laugh so hard I almost pissed myself! Otherwise I agree. I also wish some numbers guys would take interest to check if there's any Market pattern/indication we could learn to gain from this obvious market manipulation.

Also, a separate possible good news item - just in:
"A seasoned pro scoops up mortgage stocks.
Aldo Zucaro's ORI has boldly bought shares of two other mortgage insurance outfits, reports Fortune's Peter Eavis. Zucaro has a reputation in the insurance industry as a conservative, long-term investor who has helped steer ORI through several cycles. As a result, his decision to buy stakes in PMI and MGIC could be seen as a vote of confidence in both companies. (Parphrased from article in Fortune Magazine, November 9 2007: 4:48 PM EST. http://money.cnn.com/2007/11/09/magazines/fortune/eavis_zucaro.fortune/index.htm
Just FYI.
 
Asian markets slide as yen spike sends Nikkei to 16-month low

- UPDATE2
November 12, 2007: 02:12 AM EST


SINGAPORE, Nov. 12, 2007 (Thomson Financial delivered by Newstex) -- Stock markets across Asia tumbled Monday, with the Nikkei slumping to an almost 16-month low as the yen's rapid appreciation against the dollar weighed on exporters while fresh disclosures of subprime-related losses at US banks pressured financials.

Benchmarks in Hong Kong and Shanghai lost more than 4 percent, led by financials after the Chinese government increased reserve requirements for banks, the ninth such move this year.

'The overall market sentiment is turning bad,' said Castor Pang, strategist at Sun Hung Kai (OOTC:SGKAF) Financial in Hong Kong. 'A lot of negative factors are weighing on the market such as the drop in (the) Dow Jones (NYSE:DJ) (index) and the latest increase in reserve ratio.'
The dollar traded at a low of 109.85 yen, falling through the 110 level for the first time since May 17, 2006.

The yen strengthened as investors moved to unwind risky carry-trade positions, in which they borrow in a low-yielding currency like the yen to invest in higher-yielding currencies and assets. The rapid unwinding of the trade comes after fresh disclosures of subprime-related losses at US banks sent Wall street sharply lower Friday.
[more] http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/newstex/AFX-0013-20904940.htm
 
Hi Nnuut, A few separate observations:

1) Looks like China's Financials didn't like their govt's move to lock more up in reserve (/attempt to reduce their inflation).

2) Looks like Fabio's monkey is swinging even more wildly today -even more crazy than usual today! :D Shorts going even more crazy today (again).

3) I take signs in folks like Aldo, stepping in to BUY [especially beaten down mortgage companies], as a GOOD sign. The more we see of BUYS ike this, the better - it should indicate there is still value in these companies, and that we may be closer to bottoms than maybe we thought.
VR
 
The dollar is finally showing a little strength. Wow that is encouraging, along with the price of Oil dropping may make this a good day for US Markets? The way it has been going lately you never know until the last 30 minutes of the day, so we just have to wait and seeeeeee!:D
View attachment 2497
 
Hell of a prediction Spaf, down she went! I'm still sick,:sick: but heck I'm in the "G"!:laugh:
-FV in the "I" i'd say.:(
 
I've been kicked in the bawls 4 times since november one. Can anyone give me some advice that a new guy would understand? Right now I'm 100% in I fund.
 
Watch [$SPX] the S&P 500, clue into the Stochastic Oscillator on [$SPX] for oversold/overbought conditions. Tops and bottoms are hard to find, but watch pricing and try to buy low and sell high. Consider your Risk v Reward and pay attention to fundamentals i.e., finances, energy, etc.


I've been kicked in the bawls 4 times since november one. Can anyone give me some advice that a new guy would understand? Right now I'm 100% in I fund.
 
Easting...

Go easy young man, go easy...

Personally, I never invest in one fund at a time.

Others do...

Others win...

But, long term retirement investing is significantly easier than all that – and, I really don’t have to be a market maven. I do watch others on this site who are.

My recommendation is to hold a mix. You can get an idea of a basic mix by looking at the L funds.

Sacrilege!!!

I know…

But then figure out if you can handle a bit more risk and sleep at night. If so, take that basic balance and move a little from the G/F into the C/S/I. Personally, I use the G Fund as a cash account for when the market is overbought or churning. Like now. Then, I swoop in like Warren Buffet and Donald Trump and buy low – yuk, yuk. I don’t play the market short term – just mid to long term. Others are very successful with short term trading.

And, watch the Sentiment Survey – one of the Investment Tracker accounts. It can change weekly and gives you another guide for balancing your account.

I very much enjoy this site.

Good to see you.
 
Back
Top