nasa1974's Account Talk

[nasa1974]

I wouldn't want to miss the hot time summer in the city thing - I'll be essentially long most of the way - waiting on several cycles to nest.

Birch, Your bullishness is remarkable. We expect nothing less.
You as well as many others know what the three summer months can be like for investing. Low volume for one. Granted this current rally has been moving along on some light volume. However, June, July and August can have some very serious mood swings. 2003 was the only year that all three funds (CSI) where positive for all three months. Why not protect your YTD earnings and wait it out or at least keep your toes in the pond. If the correction is going to come it will be over the summer.
I keep thinking of the song "Aquarius" from Hair - "When the Moon is in the 7th house and Jupiter aligns with Mars..."

 

[nasa1974]

Going to be interesting today. Asian markets where up and Europe was mixed already. So will that translate to a good day?
So far this has been a Dr. Jeckel/Mr. Hyde week. Monday I was down .37% and Tuesday I lost 2.47% for a two day total of 2.84%. Wednesday started the recovery with a positive .45% and yesterday I got back another 1.60% (that was a surprise) for a two day total of 2.05%. If today can continue to rally all I will need to get back all my losses will be .41%.
Good Luck everyone.

 

[nasa1974]

Oh well. Gave everything back from yesterday and then some. DANG!!

 

[grandma]

- rather frustrating to end up where you were two weeks ago - after all the analysis, listening, posting....
(eaves-dropping from my corner...!)

Good thing we have the Lounge for diversion !!!!

 

[nasa1974]

- rather frustrating to end up where you were two weeks ago - after all the analysis, listening, posting....
(eaves-dropping from my corner...!)

Good thing we have the Lounge for diversion !!!!

Thanks grandma. How true. April was profitable, MTD 4.05% and YTD 11.06%, so I really am not complaining. But it could have been so much better. I added just under $5,000.00 (not bad) but I lost just over $8,000.00. Hopefully May will added a little more to my account but I really need to evaluate what I want to do in June, July and August.

 

[nasa1974]

I forgot to post this last week. Here are the results of my <1% spreadsheet ending the week of April 23rd.

Week ending 4/23
<1% $105,091.94 (GFCSI 39.58%, 4.94%, 19.11%, 19.53% & 16.83%)
80,5,5,5,5%$102,106.28 (GFCSI)
30,35,35%$108,071.31 (CSI)
G-100% $100,987.53
F-100% $102,113.68
C-100%$108,054.18
S-100%$116,460.59
I-100%$99,696.71

Difference between 4/16 & 4/23
<1% $914.94
80,5,5,5,5%$289.40
30,35,35%$1,629.07
G-100% $65.53
F-100% $234.44
C-100%$2,236.73
S-100%$3,882.16
I-100%$1,144.87

Week ending 4/16
<1% $104,177.00 (GFCSI 40%, 5%, 19%, 19% & 17%)
80,5,5,5,5%$101,816.88 (GFCSI)
30,35,35%$106,442.24 (CSI)
G-100% $100,922.00
F-100% $102,348.12
C-100%$105,817.44
S-100%$112,578.43
I-100%$100,841.58

 

[nasa1974]

Here are the results of my <1% vs. "Buy & Hold" spreadsheet ending the week of April 30th.

Week ending 4/30
<1% $103,501.32 (GFCSI 36%, 5%, 21%, 21% & 17%)
80,5,5,5,5%$101,731.09 (GFCSI)
30,35,35%$104,981.37 (CSI)
G-100% $101,053.06
F-100% $102,773.55
C-100%$105,367.71
S-100%$113,007.47
I-100%$96,624.13

Difference between 4/23 & 4/30
<1% $1,590.62
80,5,5,5,5%$375.19
30,35,35%$3,089.94
G-100% $65.53
F-100% $659.87
C-100%$2,686.46
S-100%$3,453.13
I-100%$3,072.74

Week ending 4/23
<1% $105,091.94 (GFCSI 39.58%, 4.94%, 19.11%, 19.53% & 16.83%)
80,5,5,5,5%$102,106.28 (GFCSI)
30,35,35%$108,071.31 (CSI)
G-100% $100,987.53
F-100% $102,113.68
C-100%$108,054.18
S-100%$116,460.59
I-100%$99,696.71

This is how the funds faired for the month of April.

<1%$789.40
80,5,5,5,5%$503.32
30,35,35%$1,496.18
G-100% $279.65
F-100% $1,083.81
C-100%$1,634.36
S-100%$5,199.65
I-100%$2,325.74

"S" fund was the biggest winner with the "I" fund being the biggest looser.

 

[nasa1974]

What a difference a day makes. How fickle the market. But I'll take it.

 

[sdouglas3]

What a difference a day makes. How fickle the market. But I'll take it.

Nasa,

I understand the 1% move. But, what is your strategy for the 1% move?

Thanks,

Steve

 

[nasa1974]

Nasa,

I understand the 1% move. But, what is your strategy for the 1% move?

Thanks,

Steve

Most of the time I will make a <1% move if all three funds are negative (CSI) before the noon deadline. There is an occasion that I will not make a move if one fund is still positive or the trend is moving in a positive direction before noon.

 

[sdouglas3]

Most of the time I will make a <1% move if all three funds are negative (CSI) before the noon deadline. There is an occasion that I will not make a move if one fund is still positive or the trend is moving in a positive direction before noon.

So, you just DCA the down days before noon. That's pretty cool. I did a 1% last friday and after it was figured it turned out to be 1.8%. And with a down day on Friday It bought a lot. With todays up move, I used 1 IFT to move 70% back to the G account.

Thanks,

Steve

 

[nasa1974]

So, you just DCA the down days before noon. That's pretty cool. I did a 1% last friday and after it was figured it turned out to be 1.8%. And with a down day on Friday It bought a lot. With todays up move, I used 1 IFT to move 70% back to the G account.

Thanks,

Steve

Just remember you need at least 1% in each fund to do the <1%.

 

[nasa1974]

Wow, I dropped back to the second page. Lots of chatter today with the market in a hard fall. By the time the smoke clears I hope to be around 10% YTD. On average May has been pretty good http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/attachment.php?attachmentid=9090&d=1272030132
So if this is what the first two days of trading is like for May what can we expect for the rest of the month?
Good luck everyone.

 

[nasa1974]

Got spanked pretty good yesterday. Dropped 19 spots in the tracker. So will today continue the trend? If so it should be a big spike up.
Good luck everyone.

 

[nasa1974]

What a day. Not only do I loose 3.4% in my account but I drop back to the middle of the second page.

Alright folks what the heck just happened today and it was no computer error!

 

[burrocrat]

View attachment 9330

 

[nasa1974]

Thanks Burro. LOL

 

[nasa1974]

Talk about taking the plunge. On April 23rd I was 13.86% YTD and after yesterdays plunge I have fallen to 4.91% YTD. Sure hope someone goes to jail after yesterdays manipulation of the market. I do not believe it was a computer error or someone mistakenly typing a B instead of an M.

 

[nasa1974]

Tough week last week. For those that couldn't pull the trigger during the rally, congratulations. Last weeks spiral into hell has leveled the playing field again in the TSPTracker.
It is amazing that one week of panic can destroy two months of profit.

 

[FAB1]

actual 2 weeks the S fund lost nearly 3 Pts. the last week of Apr.