imported post
Spaf wrote:
teknobucks
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Tekno....Glad to see your avatar back. Always liked that one!
Thanks..hope it brings us some luck...sure was in early looking 4 this bottom:X
Market Activity (Day in Review) for 4-14-2005
--Provided by Briefing.com--
Close Dow -125.18 at 10278.75, S&P -11.74 at 1162.05, Nasdaq -27.66 at 1946.71:
The major indices added to yesterday's thrashing, as concerns about slowing economic growth and corporate earnings kept buyers on the sidelines and closed every economic sector in negative territory... The Dow hit a five-month low while the Nasdaq, which raised a "correction" red flag now that it's off more than 10% in 2005, and the S&P also touched new lows for the year... Just a couple of weeks ago, investors were concerned about inflationary pressures stemming from a growing economy...
Now, the market appears to be unnerved by exactly the opposite - a slowing economy, as demand for commodities like steel and oil has continued to deteriorate... The latter even managed to fall through the $50/bbl mark for the first time since Feb 22, albeit temporarily, before short-covering helped lift the commodity 1.8% to close at $51.13/bbl (+$0.91)... But just as falling oil prices over the last two weeks weren't a source of strength for stocks, it would be a contradiction in the current environment to suggest that rising oil prices were a source of weakness behind today's broad-based move to the downside...
The lack of sector leadership, however, was a huge factor behind today's disappointing performance, as the indices again failed to find support near key technical levels... All ten economic sectors closed lower, with Materials (-2.8%) pacing the way for the second consecutive session due to slowing demand for Steel (-5.1%) and strength in the dollar... The greenback hit a two-year high against the euro (1.2818) and a monthly high against the yen (108.13) after the ECB said there are "no clear signs" of accelerated growth in the euro region... Technology (-1.3%) was weak across the board, with losses in excess of 1.0% witnessed in every sub-sector...
Pacing the way lower was Computer Hardware (-2.5%) amid profit taking in Apple Computer (AAPL 37.26 -3.78), due to its cautious Q3 sales outlook, and selling pressure in Sun Microsystems (SUNW 3.96 -0.06) ahead of its Q3 earnings report... Financials, Industrials, Consumer Discretionary and Utility also posted losses of more than 1.0% while not even a late-day rebound in Energy (-0.5%) was sustainable, despite a 1.8% surge in oil...
Transportation was also weak, as downgrades on a few railroad stocks offset better than expected earnings from Southwest Airlines (LUV 14.94 +0.22) while Consumer Staples (-0.2%), despite finding modest buying interest late in the day, failed to benefit from better than expected Q1 earnings and raised FY05 guidance from PepsiCo (PEP 54.99 +1.36)... Buyers became defensive about Drug stocks (+0.5%), however, as evidenced by gains in Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 69.25 +0.66), Merck (MRK 34.78 +0.26) and Pfizer (PFE 27.46 +0.18) - the only Dow components to finish to the upside...
Some other bright spots on the day were Kerr-McGee (KMG 78.90 +4.93), which surged after announcing a $4.0 bln buyback to head off a takeover attempt by Carl Icahn; Mentor Corp (MNT 37.97 +2.64), which soared after an FDA panel surprisingly voted in favor of bringing its silicone breast implants back to market; and Sherwin-Williams (SHW 45.44 +1.93), which climbed after raising FY05 guidance above consensus estimates... Meanwhile, Treasurys - largely responsible behind yesterday' sell off - had much less of an impact on equities today, as the only pieces of economic data checked in exactly as economists expected...
Initial claims fell 10K to 330K (consensus 330K), which was also consistent with monthly gains of 175K in non-farm payrolls, while Feb business inventories rose 0.5% (consensus +0.5%), following a 0.9% gain in January... The 10-year note finished up 3 ticks to yield 4.34%... DJTA -3.0, DJUA -1.1, DOT -1.3, Nasdaq 100 -1.4, Russell 2000 -1.8, SOX -1.6, S&P Midcap 400 -1.4, XOI -0.1, NYSE Adv/Dec 728/2580, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 744/2304
3:30PM: Stocks still mired in relatively tight trading ranges, as the major averages continue to drift sideways in negative territory going into the close... Meanwhile, although today's in-line economic data had little impact on market action, a slew of economic data tomorrow should provide investors with another perspective on the economy...
At 8:30 ET, April NY Empire State Index (consensus 18.0) will be released while Mar. Industrial Production (consensus +0.3%) and Capacity Utilization (consensus 79.6%) will be out 9:15 ET and a preliminary read on April Consumer Sentiment (consensus 91.7) will hit the wires 15 minutes after the market opens... Earnings reports from General Electric (GE 35.73 +0.09) and Citigroup (C 45.41 -0.40) could also be influential factors...NYSE Adv/Dec 827/2481, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 858/2139
3:00PM: Major indices continue to chalk up losses, spearheaded by broad-based selling in technology... While losses in excess of 1.0% have been realized in every tech sub-sector, Computer Hardware (-2.4%) continues to account for the most weakness... Profit taking in Apple Computer (AAPL 37.24 -3.80) has added the most pressure to the group, but weakness in shares of Sun Microsystems (SUNW 3.89 -0.12), ahead of its earnings report tonight, has also weighed on the space... Analysts expect SUNW to breakeven in Q3, following a loss of $0.08 a year ago, on revenues of $2.72 bln... SOX -1.1, NYSE Adv/Dec 873/2420, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 893/2108
2:30PM: Market pares some of its losses, as buyers step in late in the day to selectively pick up shares, but the indices remain under pressure... Attracting much of the renewed interest in a down market have been defensive stocks, as Consumer Staples (+0.2%) and Health Care (+0.2%) - amid strong follow through in the Drug space - have both recently turned positive and cling to modest gains... Energy (+0.5%), however, has seen the biggest turnaround, as short-covering in crude oil futures ($51.35/bbl +$1.13) has sent oil to fresh session highs heading into the close of commodities trading... NYSE Adv/Dec 842/2424, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 973/1996
2:00PM: Indices continue to languish near session lows as buying interest remains scarce across the board... Perhaps some of the hesitation on the part of buyers could be tied to subdued action in Treasurys, in light of another bond auction... After all, yesterday's meager indirect bidder participation of 28.2% in the 5-year note auction lifted yields on the 10-year note (4.38%) and subsequently pushed the indices to unrecoverable levels...
However, even though today's $9 bln 10-year TIPS auction grabbed a more respectable indirect bidder participation of 42.4% (near an average of 44.3%), relatively quiet action in bonds - driven primarily by technicals ahead of tomorrow's economic data - has been overshadowed by the fact that nine of ten economic sectors remain underwater...NYSE Adv/Dec 786/2438, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 830/2117
1:30PM: Bearish tone persists in stocks as the indices extend their reach into negative territory... The lack of sector leadership continues to weigh on the proceedings, as the major indices have again failed to find support near key technical levels... The S&P 500, however, continues to vacillate just above its Jan/March lows near the 1163 level... Also of note, widespread weakness in small caps - which have paced this year's declines - has taken the Russell 2000 Index below the psychological 600 level for the first time since last November... NYSE Adv/Dec 934/2258, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 907/1999
1:00PM: Broader market action leaves little to be desired, but there are some individual stories of note that are generating excitement... Shares of Kerr-McGee (KMG 79.11 +5.14) have surged after announcing plans to buy back up to $4.0 bln of its stock (between $85 and $92 a share) to head off a takeover attempt by Carl Icahn...
Mentor Corp (MNT 37.92 +2.59) has also surged after an FDA panel surprisingly voted in favor of its silicone breast implants returning to the market while shares of Sherwin-Williams (SHW 45.56 +2.05) have climbed after the company raised FY05 guidance amid better than expected Q1 earnings... NYSE Adv/Dec 1116/2038, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1035/1844
12:30PM: Sellers remain in control of the action as the major averages continue to trade near session lows... On the Dow, General Motors (GM 27.27 -1.06) has paced the way to the downside, after the SEC subpoenaed documents regarding a transaction conducted with Delphi... Alcoa (AA 29.83 -0.57), Caterpillar (CAT 86.94 -1.66) and DuPont (DD 48.19 -0.50) have also been under pressure, arguably victims of a stronger dollar, while defensive components like Coca-Cola (KO 42.30 +0.20), Proctor & Gamble (PG 55.43 +0.22) and Altria (MO 66.09 +0.22) have actually faired rather well...NYSE Adv/Dec 1080/2050, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1054/1772
12:00PM: Major indices remain under pressure midday, as concerns over slowing economic growth amid mixed earnings and guidance weigh on sentiment... Even though most of the earnings reports have checked in better than analysts expected, a sell the news reaction has underpinned a negative tone to trading... For instance, Apple Computer (AAPL 38.90 -2.14) handily beat analysts Q2 forecasts and issued upside Q3 EPS guidance, but a cautious Q3 sales outlook has invited selling pressure in the stock that has spread through the rest of the technology sector...
Other notable names posting strong earnings reports today have been PEP, LUV, UNH, DJ, NAV and PGR; but perhaps more earnings data may be needed to get the market back on track, as it is still too early in the earnings season to draw more optimistic conclusions... A breakdown in key technical levels has also had an impact on equity trading, as both the Dow and the Nasdaq have touched new lows for 2005 while the S&P has found modest support just above its lowest levels of the year...
Meanwhile, market participants have found little else to get excited about following the Nasdaq's worst performance (-1.6%) in two months, as activity in Treasurys has been quiet all morning - as the 10-yr note is up 1 tick yielding 4.35% - amid lackluster economic data and oil's influence on trading continues to deteriorate... Both weekly jobless claims (330K) and Feb business inventories (+0.5%) have both checked in exactly as expected while crude oil prices ($50.60/bbl +$0.38), despite quickly falling through $50/bbl, have also been of little interest to investors as concerns over a weakening economy continue to hold precedence...
Eight out of 10 economic sectors continue to trade lower, with Materials (-1.6%) pacing the way for the second consecutive session due to slowing demand for Steel (-3.6%) and strength in the dollar... The greenback has hit a two-year high against the euro (1.2816) after the ECB said there are "no clear signs" of accelerated growth in the euro region... Technology has been weak across the board, led by losses in Hardware (-1.6%) - due in part to Apple's cautious Q3 sales outlook - while Transportation (-2.2%) has been weak following downgrades on a few railroad stocks...
Airline (+2.2%), however, remains strong following better than expected earnings from Southwest Airlines (LUV 15.04 +0.32) while Energy (+0.4%), due to higher oil prices, and Drug (+0.6%), amid decent follow through from yesterday's strong performance, have also posted modest gains... Consumer Staples (+0.3%) has also found modest buying interest amid better than expected Q1 earnings and raised FY05 guidance from PepsiCo (PEP 54.96 +1.33)...DJUA -0.4, DOT -0.7, Nasdaq 100 -0.7, Russell 2000 -0.4, SOX -0.3, S&P Midcap 400 -0.5, XOI +0.7, NYSE Adv/Dec 1128/1987, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1090/1718
11:30AM: Little changed since the last update as the major averages continue to vacillate in roughly the same ranges... Meanwhile, the Dow Transports (-2.2%) continue to get pummeled, after JP Morgan downgraded railroad stocks Burlington Northern (BNI 47.80 -3.59) and Norfolk Southern (NSC 31.89 -1.59) to Neutral... Sure, Southwest Airlines (LUV 15.07 +0.35) has beaten analysts' Q1 expectations by $0.04, as its aggressive fuel hedging strategy helped protect it from rising fuel costs, but the air carrier has been the only bright spot in a group inundated with weakness... NYSE Adv/Dec 1231/1787, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1138/1618
11:00AM: More of the same as selling remains widespread and market internals still suggest a bearish bias... Decliners on the NYSE hold a more than 2 to 1 advantage over advancers while declining issues on the Nasdaq outpace advancing issues by a 17 to 9 margin... Meanwhile, the Dow - which since 1950 has averaged a gain of 1.9% in April and earmarked the month as its best - has recently touched a new low (10343) for 2005 while the Nasdaq has slipped to its lowest level (1962) since last October...
The S&P, however, has shown resilience, finding enough support near the 1168 mark to prevent the index from falling below its lowest level (1163) of the year...NYSE Adv/Dec 960/2000, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 950/1717
10:30AM: Major indices spike to fresh session lows despite a decline in oil prices to below $50/bbl... From an economic standpoint the pullback in oil prices is certainly a good thing; however, it is noteworthy that the stock market hasn't been more enthused by the retreat... Arguably, there may be concern that, as oil prices come off, energy stocks, which have comprised one of the few pockets of strength for the broader market, may follow... On that note, oil prices have dropped 13.0% from their April 4 high, while over that same period, the Energy sector has declined 6.1%...NYSE Adv/Dec 1094/1716, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1030/1530
10:00AM: Equities still on the defensive as the bulk of sector leadership remains negative... Pacing the way lower again has been Materials (-0.9%), due to slowing demand for Steel (-2.1%), while Financial (-0.2%), amid weakness in Brokerage and Banks, has also been under pressure... Technology has been weak across the board, with losses in Hardware (-0.8%) - due in part to Apple Computer's (AAPL 39.43 -1.61) cautious Q3 sales outlook - preventing the influential sector from recovering much of what was lost yesterday...
Consumer Discretionary and Utility have also been weak while Transportation (-1.2%) has been under pressure following downgrades on a few railroad stocks... Airline (+3.7%), however, has been strong following better than expected earnings from Southwest Airlines (LUV 15.30 +0.58) while Energy (+0.9%) has also been strong as oil prices hold onto modest gains...NYSE Adv/Dec 964/1597, Nasdaq Adv/Dec 1044/1269
9:40AM: Stocks open with little fanfare, in line with futures indications, as investors find little in the way of market-moving news to get them excited following yesterday's sell off... Meanwhile, the market had some economic data out this morning that could have perhaps unnerved investors had the data come in worse than expected... But weekly jobless claims of 330K, which is also consistent with monthly gains of 175K in nonfarm payrolls, and a rise of 0.5% in Feb business inventories, have both checked in exactly as expected, failing to aggressively nudge stocks or bonds in either direction...
9:15AM: S&P futures vs fair value: flat. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.5.
9:00AM: S&P futures vs fair value: flat. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.5. Still shaping up to be a relatively steady open for the indices, as futures indications continue to fluctuate around the unchanged mark... While most of this morning's earnings reports (i.e. PEP, LUV, UNH, DJ, NAV, PGR) have checked in better than analysts expected, it appears more data may be needed to give the market more of a boost since it is still too early in the earnings season to draw more optimistic conclusions
8:32AM: S&P futures vs fair value: -0.6. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +1.0. Futures trade still denotes a mixed bias, possibly signaling a flat open for the cash market... Meanwhile, the Labor Dept. has just released a 10K decline in initial claims to 330K, in line with estimates, while Feb Business Inventories have also matched expectations, with a gain of 0.5%, following a 0.9% gain in January... Both stocks and bonds remain relatively unchanged in response to the data
8:00AM: S&P futures vs fair value: -1.0. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +0.5. Futures market versus fair value suggesting a flat to slightly higher open for the cash market as oil tests the $50/bbl mark and investors await economic data... Technology will be in focus after Apple Computer (AAPL) reported strong Q2 earnings, but guided Q3 revenues in line with forecasts, while Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), despite missing Q1 expectations, has been upgraded by two analysts amid plans to spin off its flash business in an IPO...
At 8:30 ET, Initial claims (consensus 330K) and Feb Business Inventories (consensus +0.5%) will be released
6:22AM: FTSE...4951.60...-9.20...-0.2%. DAX...4396.08...-9.61...-0.2%.
6:22AM: S&P futures vs fair value: +1.3. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.0.
6:22AM: Nikkei...11563.17...-74.35...-0.6%. Hang Seng...13772.40...-27.22...-0.2%.