JTH's Account Talk

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JTH said:
Thank you my friend, your kind words are much appreciated. Between work, school, and my pursuit of a CISSP in the near future, I am happy to find the time to post here, it's about the only thing that relaxes me. :D
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right there with you, ive been studying for the CISSP as well in the past month
 
sniper said:
right there with you, ive been studying for the CISSP as well in the past month
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I'd wish you luck, but instead I'll wish you many uninterrupted days of studying :) May I ask what method of study you've chosen? I'm just now starting to research/gather the materials.
 
It's taken it in the shorts the whole month. It's the only fund that's negative for February. Anybody expecting it to get any relief soon?
 
i have a question for the MB. would it be a wise move to be allocated to buy the I fund for the last several years (every 2 weeks) in hopes that it will get back to the highs of $25 that it hit years ago??? i have been hoping for that to happen and you all with a whole lot more experience than i may be able to kinda confirm or negate my theory. i hope you confirm but if not there's nothing i can do about what i have been doing in the past.
thanks
guchi
:)
 
JTH said:
I'd wish you luck, but instead I'll wish you many uninterrupted days of studying :) May I ask what method of study you've chosen? I'm just now starting to research/gather the materials.
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just bought the study guide a while back and figured I'd read through it. prolly need to systematically pick it apart b/c that book is huge haha.
 
sniper said:
just bought the study guide a while back and figured I'd read through it. prolly need to systematically pick it apart b/c that book is huge haha.
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I'll be starting next week, probably picking up the dummy book reading it from front to back, then I'll start taking test, lots of test, and creating notes for the test areas I score the weakest in. The good news is I have loads of experience in the field, the bad news is I have loads of experience in the field :D

GUCHI said:
i have a question for the MB. would it be a wise move to be allocated to buy the I fund for the last several years (every 2 weeks) in hopes that it will get back to the highs of $25 that it hit years ago??? i have been hoping for that to happen and you all with a whole lot more experience than i may be able to kinda confirm or negate my theory. i hope you confirm but if not there's nothing i can do about what i have been doing in the past.
thanks
guchi
:)
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It sounds like you want to use the BirchTree DCA concept, but only apply it the the I-Fund. This is fine as long as your expectations don't try to impose your will upon the markets. Will this strategy work if the I-Fund goes down for the next 5 years? Diversification is the key to the DCA concept, If you choose to DCA, then I'd spread the risk to more than one fund. JMHO
 
Anyone who thinks of entering the I fund should think in terms of a longer horizon. I will own the I fund through this entire year primarily because it is a large cap fund and I'm using it as a proxy for exporting companies into the stronger emerging markets. It's perfectly fine to DCA into it for the next several years accumulating as many shares as possible. My household investments as a unit are diversified. My wife owns a S&P 500 index fund in her defined contribution plan and my humble oceanic account is probably upwards of 90% small caps. So I'm covered.
 
skycophigh said:
JTH, say your post on the I fund, could u explain what your thoughts r, is this a buy for the I fund?????
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Thank you, I try not to make buy/sell recommendations unless I am speaking about my own personal account. As for the I-Fund, those are just observations perhaps best suited for those already in the fund, so that it may add for them some additional incites. I myself have not made an entry into the I-Fund since late 2010, for me, it does not provide the risk/reward setups I like, therefore I don't use it, nor do I recommend anyone else use it.
 
Birchtree said:
Anyone who thinks of entering the I fund should think in terms of a longer horizon. I will own the I fund through this entire year primarily because it is a large cap fund and I'm using it as a proxy for exporting companies into the stronger emerging markets. It's perfectly fine to DCA into it for the next several years accumulating as many shares as possible. My household investments as a unit are diversified. My wife owns a S&P 500 index fund in her defined contribution plan and my humble oceanic account is probably upwards of 90% small caps. So I'm covered.
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Spot on, I was hoping you'd jump in on this, thanks!
 
JTH said:
Thank you, I try not to make buy/sell recommendations unless I am speaking about my own personal account. As for the I-Fund, those are just observations perhaps best suited for those already in the fund, so that it may add for them some additional incites. I myself have not made an entry into the I-Fund since late 2010, for me, it does not provide the risk/reward setups I like, therefore I don't use it, nor do I recommend anyone else use it.
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I should add, about half the charts I post don't end up working out. If I continue to post a chart it is because it is working, once it stops working I move on, not posting it again. This helps give me the appearance of always being right :rolleyes:
 
I sure hope Tom get the AT online soon, I'm starting to have withdrawal symptoms :)

Here is a hypothetical. Off the November low, If you draw/project Fibonacci lines over key areas of support and resistance, you could speculate a 1550 peak towards the End of March.

View attachment 22366
 
Not political, keep it that way.

Interesting observation, the President spent the first 10 minutes talking about a balanced approach by both cutting spending and reducing entitlements. Then over the last 30 minutes it's been nothing but talking about new programs, all of which cost money? The market is going to love this, don't fight the fed, spend, spend, spend!!!
 
JTH said:
The last time I followed my own advice and made an exit, the S-Fund took a 2.96% lead on me. As it may, I see some folks are considering making an entry into the markets this week. My personal thoughts are that based on timing/statistics/indicators we should top out this week. Ideally I'd like to make an exit on Friday, but each day is a chapter to a story and as the story unfolds, so shall my views on when to make the exit. If Monday is a strong up day, (based on my current 1.21% from my last entry) I may take the money and run.
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Good morning

There's a high probability I will make an exit today, I won't have eyes on the market tomorrow, so this does factor into my decision. I even thought of doing a split allocation, perhaps leaving some in the S-Fund, but I don't like to be torn between two positions at the same time. I'll still have 1 IFT left, but if I use it, I plan on remaining invested going into March, so it's very important I hit the right spot because if I don't, then I may be forced to absorb a pullback.
 
The S&P 500 appears to be putting in a reversal, but as long as the neckline holds, I believe the market upside is still in play, problem is I don't think we'll get that answer until after the IFT deadline.

View attachment 22373
 
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