jpcavin's Account Talk

[jpcavin]

Just waiting on another down day...

 

[FAB1]

FAB, FAB, FABYou forget I know nothing about the market. All these analysis and graphs that everyone posts may as well be in Mandarin. They mean nothing to me. I just go where the mood moves me. Haven't you figured that out already? Ignorance is bliss.

Me neither but the comments were at the link you posted. The point is that the readers weren't buying the story. That's all. I fly by the seat of my pants as well as you do. Not really saying there is money to be made it just seems phony with our economy going to hell.

 

[FAB1]

Just waiting on another down day...

That was yesterday gal.

 

[jpcavin]

That was yesterday gal.

Just waiting on another down day...

 

[jpcavin]

It's not looking good.....
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-...ide-24-as-recession-looms-gmi-s-pal-says.html

 

[Birchtree]

Excuse me while I kiss the sky - this guy has been a bear for eleven years. Even JTH wasn't bearish that long.

 

[jpcavin]

Excuse me while I kiss the sky - this guy has been a bear for eleven years. Even JTH wasn't bearish that long.

Oh, well, in that case, scratch off this article...

 

[jpcavin]

Well, I guess I won't be jumping in today. Just doesn't "feel" right. Hey, when you can't read the charts, my good sense is all I am left with. Today is self-preservation mode!

 

[TSPIntel]

jpcavin: I am looking to exit Friday, 29th. Day before New Moon.

 

[SteelSaving]

Funny how that's getting close to August 2nd...

 

[jpcavin]

jpcavin: I am looking to exit Friday, 29th. Day before New Moon.

TSP,
Thanks for resurrecting my thread. I read somewhere that the stock market has a tendency to achieve its greatest gains during the last and next-to-last trading days of each month and the first two to four trading days of subsequent months. Gains in stocks during the favorable four-to-five-day turn-of-the-month trading period have typically equaled gains in stocks during all the rest of monthly trading days combined.

I don't think it's a good time for me to go in right now...but then there is this darn statistic. What to do, what to do.....

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

I read somewhere that the stock market has a tendency to achieve its greatest gains during the last and next-to-last trading days of each month and the first two to four trading days of subsequent months. Gains in stocks during the favorable four-to-five-day turn-of-the-month trading period have typically equaled gains in stocks during all the rest of monthly trading days combined.

But how many of those scenarios included a debt cap debate?

 

[jpcavin]

My point exactly! Was waiting for a big fear sell off so I could make my entry. Don't know if that's going to happen now. Seems the general public is reading Birchtree's Account Talk and staying invested. :laugh:

 

[jpcavin]

Not gonna bite into this market! Staying in "G" for now.

 

[jpcavin]

I know I am a newbie and nobody could care less what I type on this thread but I have managed to avoid this mess by keeping tabs on the below analysis. As of this typing, the NASDAQ is at 2727.71 which makes the composite -4.43.

Until the composite rate of change (roc) reverses in a positive direction, I am staying on the G fund. I am using the NASDAQ composite because it's more volatile so it tends to rise and fall at greater velocity than the NYSE. Anyway, just my two cents. Hope others can use this info..

[TABLE="width: 515"]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]DATE
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]NASDAQ[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5D ROC
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15D ROC[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25D ROC [/TD]
[TD="align: right"]COMP [/TD]
[TD="align: right"] W4500
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
[TABLE="width: 515"]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]08/01/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2744.61
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3.45
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2.07
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.46
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2.07
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]677.18
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/29/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2756.38
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3.58
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3.62
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.59
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-4.61
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]680.28
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/28/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2766.25
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2.41
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3.70
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.64
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2.47
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]682.00
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/27/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2764.79
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1.76
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2.44
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.89
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1.31
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]684.10
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/26/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2839.96
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.48
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.50
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.00
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.97
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]703.44
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/25/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2842.80
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.81
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.95
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.65
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.41
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]707.94
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/22/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2858.83
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.47
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.08
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.96
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.51
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]715.29
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/21/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2834.43
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.60
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.43
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.71
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13.74
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]713.29
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/20/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2814.23
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.62
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.06
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.79
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]706.25
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/19/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2826.52
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.60
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.14
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.08
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13.82
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]707.24
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/18/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2765.11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1.34
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.23
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.59
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.48
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]693.17
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/15/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2789.80
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2.45
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.84
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.91
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.30
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]703.13
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/14/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2762.67
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-3.83
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.50
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.26
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.94
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]697.46
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/13/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2796.92
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1.31
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.08
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.53
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.30
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]706.95
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/12/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2781.91
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1.55
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.79
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.94
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.17
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]702.56
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/11/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2802.62
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-0.48
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.56
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.19
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]705.52
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/08/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2859.81
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.00
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.12
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15.23
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]722.16
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/07/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2872.66
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.82
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.17
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.74
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17.73
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]726.36
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/06/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2834.02
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.84
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.80
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-0.05
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.59
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]717.65
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/05/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2825.77
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5.11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.05
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.03
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13.20
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]714.76
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]07/01/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2816.03
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.15
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.52
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1.19
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13.86
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]713.64
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]06/30/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2773.52
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.23
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3.30
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0.44
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.97
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]702.53
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]06/29/11
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2740.49
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.67
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2.43
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-0.21
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4.90
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]696.85
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[grandma]

I know I am a newbie and nobody could care less what I type on this thread but ...

Judy - have yet to notice anyone signing in as `nobody' so guess that isn't us! Judging by responses to your posts,
I would say you are `kept up with...' -thank you for sharing -

 

[jpcavin]

Having some computer problems. Not ignoring anyone, just can't access todays postings.

 

[jpcavin]

Ok.. Everything seems to be working now. (crossing fingers).

My regret right now is that I did not go to the F fund a few days ago. What are your thoughts?

 

[FAB1]

I know I am a newbie and nobody could care less...

This may be true, but youre in good company. Thanks for posting I am very interested in the TMTM.
Your choice to stay put was a wise one. You may hit the top ten before long girl!

 

[jpcavin]

Yesterdays close. As you can see the composite rate of change is at -10.77 (momentum is still in downtrend).

[TD="class: xl65, width: 64"] Date
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, width: 82"] NSDQ
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, width: 75"] 5d roc
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, width: 78"] 15d roc
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, width: 65"] 25d roc
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, width: 78"] composite
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl67, width: 71"] W4500
[/TD]

[TD="class: xl68, align: right"]08/02/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, align: right"]2669.24[/TD]
[TD="class: xl79, align: right"]-6.01[/TD]
[TD="class: xl79, align: right"]-4.05[/TD]
[TD="class: xl79, align: right"]-0.71[/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, align: right"]-10.77[/TD]
[TD="class: xl70, align: right"]656.00
[/TD]

[TD="class: xl68, align: right"]08/01/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, align: right"]2744.61[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-3.45[/TD]
[TD="class: xl79, align: right"]-2.07[/TD]
[TD="class: xl79, align: right"]3.46[/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, align: right"]-2.07[/TD]
[TD="class: xl70, align: right"]677.18[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/29/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, align: right"]2756.38[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-3.58[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-3.62[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]2.59[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]-4.61[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]680.28[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/28/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2766.25[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-2.41[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-3.70[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.64[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]-2.47[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]682.00[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/27/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl75, align: right"]2764.79[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-1.76[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-2.44[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]2.89[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]-1.31[/TD]
[TD="class: xl75, align: right"]684.10[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/26/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl75, align: right"]2839.96[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]0.48[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]0.50[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]8.00[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]8.97[/TD]
[TD="class: xl74, align: right"]703.44[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/25/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl75, align: right"]2842.80[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]2.81[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]0.95[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]8.65[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]12.41[/TD]
[TD="class: xl76, align: right"]707.94[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/22/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2858.83[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]2.47[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.08[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]8.96[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]14.51[/TD]
[TD="class: xl76, align: right"]715.29[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/21/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2834.43[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]2.60[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.43[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]7.71[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]13.74[/TD]
[TD="class: xl76, align: right"]713.29[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/20/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2814.23[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]0.62[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]5.06[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]8.79[/TD]
[TD="class: xl76, align: right"]706.25[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/19/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2826.52[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]1.60[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]5.14[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]7.08[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]13.82[/TD]
[TD="class: xl76, align: right"]707.24[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/18/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2765.11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-1.34[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]4.23[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]4.59[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]7.48[/TD]
[TD="class: xl76, align: right"]693.17[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/15/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2789.80[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-2.45[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.84[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.91[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]5.30[/TD]
[TD="class: xl76, align: right"]703.13[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/14/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2762.67[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-3.83[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.50[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.26[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]2.94[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]697.46[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/13/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2796.92[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-1.31[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]4.08[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.53[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]6.30[/TD]
[TD="class: xl76, align: right"]706.95[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/12/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2781.91[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-1.55[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]5.79[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]2.94[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]7.17[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]702.56[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/11/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2802.62[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-0.48[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]7.11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]2.56[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]9.19[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]705.52[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/08/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2859.81[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]9.00[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.12[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]15.23[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]722.16[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/07/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2872.66[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]4.82[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]9.17[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.74[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]17.73[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]726.36[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/06/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2834.02[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]3.84[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]5.80[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]-0.05[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]9.59[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]717.65[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/05/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2825.77[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]5.11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]7.05[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]1.03[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]13.20[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]714.76[/TD]

[TD="class: xl71, align: right"]07/01/11[/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, align: right"]2816.03[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]6.15[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]6.52[/TD]
[TD="class: xl80, align: right"]1.19[/TD]
[TD="class: xl77, align: right"]13.86[/TD]
[TD="class: xl72, align: right"]713.64[/TD]