Jkenjohnson's Account Talk

I think there is concern that I posted a 1% gain in the G fund when it was actually .04% (I was off by .006%). My mistake, but I still feel like it is best to stop posting my signals. If anyone is interested, you can private message me and I will give you the signal for the day and the YTD of my system as it is a little different than what is shown on the Autotracker as I don't follow my system 100%. Sometimes my system will flip back in one or two days. I think it is frustrating for some, but the system has provided excellent returns in the past.
As long as you make it clear that you are not posting these signals timely. The way you are posting it, it is too late for anyone to act and get the results you are saying. As I said:

You gave a sell signal at 7:21 PM ET on Tuesday, and that would mean you are in the stock funds on Wednesday, and would be out for Thursday, so how you show a gain for Wednesday is a mystery.

Maybe I'm just not understanding the way you are posting the signals.

Can you explain what a sell signal to the G fund on Tuesday at 7:21 PM ET would mean to a TSP account for Wednesday? To be in the G fund on Wednesday you would have had to have done an IFT before 12 noon ET on Tuesday.

If this is an insult to you and want to stop posting, sorry to hear it and no offense is intended. But it's more important for me to protect the readers who may not understand your method. It seem misleading to me, but if I'm wrong, please explain. Thanks.
 
I'm not sure I would say the signals are meaningless. We know the system gives a signal at the close of the day, for a move valid the next day.
OK, I guess that's what I am not undertanding.

So a sell signal to the G-fund at 7:21 PM ET on Tuesday means what? Be in the G fund on Wednesday or Thursday? If it's Thursday then I'm OK with it, and it was my misunderstanding.
 
As long as you make it clear that you are not posting these signals timely. The way you are posting it, it is too late for anyone to act and get the results you are saying. As I said:



Maybe I'm just not understanding the way you are posting the signals.

I simply presumed that if his stated signal is after IFT time for the day, then his signal is for the next day (unless there's an update before IFT time that next day). Maybe he just needs to say that to be clear if that's in fact how the signal announcement is intended. I appreciate your stating your plan and signals JKJ!
 
I appreciate your stating your plan and signals JKJ!
I agree with this. I appreciate your posts and hope that you continue to share your thoughts here.

The one thing I find confusing, however, is why post a signal from your system when you don't follow the system 100%? Maybe if I knew more of the inner workings of your system (I'm relatively new here) I would find the signal useful.
 
Don't stop posting. I don't follow your signal but any view on what might happen in the markey is a help in others decisions. Just put in your signature that your system is not based for TSP timing and is just an opinion based at the market close. There your covered. Remember critism increases when the market becomes news based and not Techinical Analysis based. Every system is tested by the market at one point or the other. If you can be right 51% of the time it's still a winning system.:) Look how well I've done this year.:embarrest:
 
I agree with this. I appreciate your posts and hope that you continue to share your thoughts here.

The one thing I find confusing, however, is why post a signal from your system when you don't follow the system 100%? Maybe if I knew more of the inner workings of your system (I'm relatively new here) I would find the signal useful.


My signal is posted after the close every night for the next day. Example, if I would post Sell tonight, tomorrow before 12pm I would put in an IFT for 100% G. If I would put in a Buy tonight, by 12pm tomorrow I would go 100% S. Pretty simple.

I do not act on each signal because it may flip back in one to two days occasionally, and with limited IFT's this causes a problem. This is why I don't always follow it 100%.
 
For what its worth, I thought that it was pretty clear to follow, and generally followed my gut feeling for buy/sell times as long as i have been folowing it(relatively short time).

Of course if I followed my gut feeling i woul dbe doing better than I am.
 
My signal is posted after the close every night for the next day. Example, if I would post Sell tonight, tomorrow before 12pm I would put in an IFT for 100% G. If I would put in a Buy tonight, by 12pm tomorrow I would go 100% S. Pretty simple.
OK, that clears it up for me. I misundertood. My bad.

I would recommend that when you post a signal, instead of:

System flipped back to a buy tonight and is 7.48% YTD

Say something like:

System flipped back to a buy signal so it will move to 100% X fund by COB (fill in day) - and is 7.48% YTD

Thanks!
 
I would say the part that is weird is that the signal is reported every day. I would say only report when the signal CHANGES
 
I would say the part that is weird is that the signal is reported every day. I would say only report when the signal CHANGES

I have been gone for several days.

It was reported every day for RMI's OCD chart, from which it has now been removed per my request.

Several people have asked me to continue posting or PM them with my signal. I spend a lot of time posting the signal every night and really don't have time for it. For those who are interested I will post the signal when it changes. Currently, it remains on a buy.
 
The market would take off today since I shorted it last week :mad:

So I take it your system is still on SELL? Just looking at the charts, I was wondering if the last couple of UP days is enough to say that the bear flag is NOT in play, and the market has started a new UP trend. Of course that may just be hopium on my part since I am long....and at the bottom of the AT. :blink:
 
There was not much conviction behind today's rally, and with so much headwind, today may be just "head fake"... Greece, Spain and Ireland, as well as Syria, Iran with Israel thrown into the mix... Case Schiller numbers, etc... May and go away... I thinks so. I don't think the market has really taken off, and it looks like trap doors, falling knives and other various obstacles ahead. Tread carefully and be nimble, or at least as nimble as one can be with only two IFT's per month (and the magic 3rd to G fund)!
 
Wow! Didn't intend to jinx the rally. Looks like a substantial reversal at the open... oops!

There was not much conviction behind today's rally, and with so much headwind, today may be just "head fake"... Greece, Spain and Ireland, as well as Syria, Iran with Israel thrown into the mix... Case Schiller numbers, etc... May and go away... I thinks so. I don't think the market has really taken off, and it looks like trap doors, falling knives and other various obstacles ahead. Tread carefully and be nimble, or at least as nimble as one can be with only two IFT's per month (and the magic 3rd to G fund)!
 
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