James48843 Account Talk

[WorkFE]

James, if the current futures were to end the day at its current value, do you think there's room to run

I suppose if today holds that will answer my question.

 

[James48843]

James, if the current futures were to end the day at its current value, do you think theres room to run

What I’m seeing now is there is a significant pent up demand- greater than what I think is proper for this moment- so, yes, there is a little bit of upside here- simply because people want there to be optimism.

I’m going to ride a day and see what tomorrow looks like. If it continues up, I’ll stay for another day.

But I am still very, very concerned about two months from now- when shelves are empty in stores.

As soon as people start seeing that, and start seeing prices jump from tariffs, then I think it’s going to dive again.

The good news! Today I jump up more than 250 places on the auto tracker, and am now positioned to try and keep in the top ten percent on the auto tracker. That’s my goal this year. I still have a shot at making it.

 

[nasa1974]

What I’m seeing now is there is a significant pent up demand- greater than what I think is proper for this moment- so, yes, there is a little bit of upside here- simply because people want there to be optimism.

I’m going to ride a day and see what tomorrow looks like. If it continues up, I’ll stay for another day.

But I am still very, very concerned about two months from now- when shelves are empty in stores.

As soon as people start seeing that, and start seeing prices jump from tariffs, then I think it’s going to dive again.

The good news! Today I jump up more than 250 places on the auto tracker, and am now positioned to try and keep in the top ten percent on the auto tracker. That’s my goal this year. I still have a shot at making it.

The administration keeps saying counties are calling. Haven't heard any progress. China says no deal yet. Almost to the point of no return on empty shelves. Good luck hitting the 10% or better in AT.

 

[James48843]

Well, it sure was flat today. I’m thinking tomorrow is going to about all, and another descent is about to hit.

So I am thinking I’m about 75% inclines to move all back to G tomorrow. I will know one way or the other before noon tomorrow.

I’m seeing the P&F chart peg itself to a corner- indicating straight down ahead.
Maybe a day ahead, or three days ahead, but ahead nonetheless-the-less. One more X and it hits the top.

 

[James48843]

Well, it sure was flat today. I’m thinking tomorrow is going to about all, and another descent is about to hit.

So I am thinking I’m about 75% inclines to move all back to G tomorrow. I will know one way or the other before noon tomorrow.

I’m seeing the P&F chart peg itself to a corner- indicating straight down ahead.
Maybe a day ahead, or three days ahead, but ahead nonetheless-the-less. One more X and it hits the top.

Well, there is room for one more green X before it hits that red line- but then I’m very convinced the next move is back downward.

We shall see

 

[WorkFE]

Well, it sure was flat today. I’m thinking tomorrow is going to about all, and another descent is about to hit.

So I am thinking I’m about 75% inclines to move all back to G tomorrow. I will know one way or the other before noon tomorrow.

I’m seeing the P&F chart peg itself to a corner- indicating straight down ahead.
Maybe a day ahead, or three days ahead, but ahead nonetheless-the-less. One more X and it hits the top.

Think I've ridden that I Fund about as far as I feel comfortable doing, may take this chance to get off as well.

 

[James48843]

Ouch. Well, that was a stupid idea. I thought maybe one more X - but it’s too late. It’s going DOWN.

Now I’m moving back to the safety of G

At Close of business today- I am moving:

85% G fund
10%. F fund
1%. C
1% S fund.
3% I fund.


I’m thinking it’s gonna go lower for a while.

The good news: I hit #54 on the Auto tracker yesterday. That’s not too shabby. It was nice while it lasted.

 

[James48843]

Ouch. Well, that was a stupid idea. I thought maybe one more X - but it’s too late. It’s going DOWN.

Now I’m moving back to the safety of G

At Close of business today- I am moving:

85% G fund
10%. F fund
1%. C
1% S fund.
3% I fund.


I’m thinking it’s gonna go lower for a while.

The good news: I hit #54 on the Auto tracker yesterday. That’s not too shabby. It was nice while it lasted.

Oh, double nuts!

I’m surprised at the resiliency right here. I thought it was going to drop a solid 2% today, and then more in the next few days.

Buyers are out now boosting it back. Strength in reserve. I’m having second thoughts about the move to G.

Although G never hurts.

Shucks- well, I’m not going to change- I’m going with the G move as described above, but I’m not feeling real happy about it.

 

[Whipsaw]

Same here, maybe we get that gap filled sooner than later.

 

[James48843]

Well, sometime you win, and sometimes not.

Moving to:

50% C
40% S
10% I

And hoping for the best. The economy seems to be much stronger than I thought. I still think those tariffs are going to harm everything- big maybe not as quickly as I imagined.

Good luck!

 

[James48843]

Another great day! I’m up over 8% for the year, (my target goal in retirement is to make 8% per year) AND I hit a fund balance milestone I had been wanting to get back to.

And I’m moved up to the TOP 40 on the auto tracker! I always wanted to make it to be a TOP40 hit!

Now to find the best use for that which the Lord has blessed me with. Have a great day!

 

[tsptalk]

Fantastic!

 

[rangerray]

Nice!!


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[James48843]

That “Greed” marker hit 70 tonight- and I’m happy where I’ve been the last week.

Taking a rest- because I think the risk is very high over the next two weeks- including risks of House Budget disaster.

Moving to safety:

G= 90%
F= 2%
C= 2%
S= 2%
I= 2%
L income= 2%

Taking a rest- effective close of business today-

 

[tnwhiskey]

That “Greed” marker hit 70 tonight- and I’m happy where I’ve been the last week.

Taking a rest- because I think the risk is very high over the next two weeks- including risks of House Budget disaster.

Moving to safety:

G= 90%
F= 2%
C= 2%
S= 2%
I= 2%
L income= 2%

Taking a rest- effective close of business today-

Interesting distribution with the 2%s. Don't believe I've seen that one before. Any reason why behind the method?

 

[James48843]

Interesting distribution with the 2%s. Don't believe I've seen that one before. Any reason why behind the method?

Yes. I used to do a “1%”, just to leave something in, so that I could utilize the secret “move 1% at a time “ and round up or down. It only is valuable if you have already moved twice that month.

But one time I got caught that it went below 1%, so I could only move TO 1%, but it wouldn’t go to 2% the next time I tried. (This was like 7 years ago…)

I started using 2% in each so that I could do the Third move (or 4th, 5th, 6th if I wanted) rounding 1% up each time to buy back in.

That seemed to make it work.

My record is I once moved among multiple 2%’s, moving 1% more each like five times over ten funds. I was able to move a significant amount back into stocks that way over a week, even though I was out of official moves.


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[tsptalk]

That's still working? I haven't tried but some have been saying it doesn't work anymore. Someone else said they couldn't even make the 3rd G-fund move, but I think they must have been doing something wrong.

 

[James48843]

It still works. You can only round up to the next whole digit.

 

[BelboztheBest]

It still works. You can only round up to the next whole digit.

James, can you explain how does that work exactly when you say you move 1% without violating your two move limit, please?


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[tsptalk]

This is old, but this was how it used to be done. Maybe James can explain any changes.

Click on this to see the full post / thread...

G

Thread '< 1 pct. IFT Option'

Mar 19, 2009

<1%IFT Option

At the request of some friends and fellow members, I decided to make this
thread to help others understand the meaning of a <1%IFT. We can use
this thread to ask questions concerning this option at any time and I will
try my absolute best the answer them in a timely manner.

Definition: A <1%IFT is defined as a "a less then 1% Interfund Transfer".
It is the ability to move small amounts of money within your TSP Account.
Similar to the (L) Funds, it enables you to rebalance your account within
percentages that are <1% either to the next whole percentage...

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