Intrepid_Timer's PUBLIC Account Talk

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Intrepid_Timer said:
Current three month return: 5.71% S&P 500: 4.71%

As long as I can keep that three month rolling return at around 6%, I stand a very good chance of reaching my goal of averaging 24% per year.
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Current 3-month return: 2.93% S&P 500: 9.54%

Looks like I'm going to have to step it up a bit. Of course it could just be that my Timer system sucks and all my past yearly returns were just flukes.............

Oh wait, I was down over 1% at the end of Feb in 2010 and ended up making over 29% that year. Guess it's all about perceptions............;)
 
Just a reminder, if you don't like someone's posts, mine included, there is an "ignore" feature available when you click on someone's profile page.

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Also, just because you might say something someone doesn't like, it doesn't mean you've broken any "rules".

Don't let the herd determine your future and don't let the fear of being chastised keep you from exploring the facts.

Disclaimer: I don't work for JP Morgan and I approve this message................;)
 
Don't just love how some say they sold something a few days ago right before the markets drop? Or they come out a few hours after a stock tanks and say they sold it right before it did? They sure are good at getting out just in the nick of time, but they sure aren't very good at posting what they did in a timely manner.................

“If you look for truth, you may find comfort in the end; if you look for comfort, you will not get either comfort or truth, only soft soap and wishful thinking to begin, and in the end, despair.”

― C. S. Lewis​
 
WorkFE said:
Do you have someone in mind?
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Not particularly. It's something I've observed from various financial message boards and LinkedIn groups I've participated in over the years. You'll find also find people going from site to site talking about how good they are timing the markets only to get proven they aren't as good as they thought. They just move on to the next site. Not sure why they do this, but they are out there.
 
“Some of us will do our jobs well and some will not, but we will be judged by only one thing - the result.”

― Vince Lombardi



I only made 2.34% in the first quarter, but you never want to show them all you got too early as the other team is always trying to steal your signals. There's a lot of game left. Stay low, maintain your center of gravity and keep on driving. Most importantly, when it's time to go long, watch out for those weak side blitzes on your blindside. Sometimes the best offense is a good defense..................;)​
 
2.34% is respectable period. I recall that last year I was on the top of the tracker looking down at you thinking you'd never catch up, part of me felt like gloating, I'm glad I didn't...


​
 
JTH said:
2.34% is respectable period. I recall that last year I was on the top of the tracker looking down at you thinking you'd never catch up, part of me felt like gloating, I'm glad I didn't...


​
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I think we've both been around long enough to know better than to gloat, especially in the short term. Some buy and holders may have gloated after the 1st quarter, but they probably don't realize that the S fund is only up 0.76% over a year's period. Some get over-confident at half time and don't mentally finish the game.............;)
 
Hey, don't cry for me Argentina. I just gave back 7% but it's all coming back by next week - no myopic loss aversion here guys.
 
Birchtree said:
Hey, don't cry for me Argentina. I just gave back 7% but it's all coming back by next week - no myopic loss aversion here guys.
Click to expand...

Wish I read this before I moved 75% out of S fund Friday.
images
 
“Every great man, every successful man, no matter what the field of endeavor, has known the magic that lies in these words: every adversity has the seed of an equivalent or greater benefit.”​


― W. Clement Stone​
 
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