There is some really great analysis being done by reporter (former NYT) Alex Berenson on the Wuhan Virus (oh, did I just call it that? Well, yes, yes I did) on his Twitter account (
https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson). His focus has been mainly on hospitalizations and the number of available beds in various places across the country.
For example, he referenced the CA
COVID-19 public dashboard to point out that to date, there have been ~2,400 COVID-positive hospitalizations out of 73,000 available hospital beds. Another 3,200 hospitalizations are test pending. Approximately 1600 ICU patients. Meanwhile, hospitals across the country are furloughing or laying off employees, cutting doctor/nurse salaries, and are reducing capacity due to reduced revenue, in part because of the ban on elective procedures due in part to the expected surge in COVID-19 cases that hasn't yet come. I know, I know, the surge is coming, so what happens when hospitals cannot operate at full capacity due to staffing shortages?
I used to live in Upstate NY (Syracuse, REAL Upstate NY, not Westchester County). We Upstaters hated being lumped in with NYC. I wonder if the whole country now knows what it feels like to be considered synonymous with NYC, even in CA. However, even in NY, at least some model projections are way too high (
https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1246825831864963073)
For many, this has been a serious virus with serious consequences. I continue to pray for them, as we all should. But, I wonder if our "serious" response will result in consequences just as devastating, for more people. But, no I am not a doctor, a hospital administrator, or an economist, so I'm just speculating of course. Nevertheless, I will also pray for the millions of people impacted by the world's response who do not contract the virus or are asymptomatic.
Happy Palm Sunday everyone, stay healthy during your house arrest.
SC