Intrepid_Timer's PUBLIC Account Talk

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jpcavin said:
UPTREND did well in 2011. Give him credit for that instead of knocking him down for not doing better in 2010!
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Let me make sure I have this straight. You come here saying how we should "all just get along" and then you proceed to call me a bully even though I wasn't the one starting with the comparisons? Umm, okay.............

I believe that I started off my post TO UPTREND with "congratulations". I then pointed out that he didn't beat my return in 2010. Perhaps I wasn't as tactful as I should have been, but I sometimes have trouble "sugar coating" things. I'd asked to borrow your book on tactfulness, but it's pretty obvious you haven't finished reading it yet............;)
 
Intrepid_Timer said:
Let me make sure I have this straight. You come here saying how we should "all just get along" and then you proceed to call me a bully even though I wasn't the one starting with the comparisons? Umm, okay.............

I believe that I started off my post TO UPTREND with "congratulations". I then pointed out that he didn't beat my return in 2010. Perhaps I wasn't as tactful as I should have been, but I sometimes have trouble "sugar coating" things. I'd asked to borrow your book on tactfulness, but it's pretty obvious you haven't finished reading it yet............;)
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I'm not the only one that thought your comment to Uptrend was both unkind and in poor taste. Be gravious enough to accept criticism when you are clearly the one in the wrong.
 
jpcavin said:
I'm not the only one that thought your comment to Uptrend was both unkind and in poor taste. Be gravious enough to accept criticism when you are clearly the one in the wrong.
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That is YOUR opinion and a couple of other people that I've runs in with before, nothing more. Just because you see something one way, it doesn't mean everyone else does, or should. I believe I mentioned that I could have been more tactful, I guess you just choose not to read that part. I'd say butting into someone else's conversation is poor taste also, but that's just me and I don't expect you to see things the way I do.
 
JTH said:
Check out the Equal Weighted S&P 500, it has broken above the previous 3 tops...
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Interesting, thanks. It also interesting that this months gains have basically come on 3 trades. After each big up day, we get 4 fairly flat days. Today looks like it could be day one. Will we get 3 more flat days before another big up day? Only time will tell, but if so, the next big up day will fall on the same day as the next Fed announcement.........:suspicious:
 
Intrepid_Timer said:
For anybody that lives in Texas and thinks they smell something fishy...........literally and figuratively..........:blink:

http://www.naturalnews.com/034696_rabies_vaccines_airdrop_Texas.html
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I think these folks are up for membership in the tin hat club with this one. This air dropped rabies vaccine has been used for decades in Europe and in other places in the US. They did it here in NY a few years ago and to date I haven't seen Gonzilla Raccoon or anything else of negative impact.. They tend to drop this stuff in wooded areas so hardly anyone will ever see it . They have an ongoing ear tag /. needle vaccination program here that they have been actively involved in at least locally. No big whoopie except most of the raccoons are now sporting silver ear tips. If I was in Texas I would be more worried about urban water supplies diminishing and a couple of those municipalities using fuzzy math and some aggressive down-rounding. to hide the radon levels being considerably beyond the EPA standards:rolleyes:.
 
Current one month return: 0.74% S&P 500: 4.29%

Current three month return: 5.71% S&P 500: 4.71%

As long as I can keep that three month rolling return at around 6%, I stand a very good chance of reaching my goal of averaging 24% per year. That would be for not only for bullish years, but bearish years and everything in between also. As you probably know, the buy and holders having just one good month isn't going to cut it.
 
I almost forgot, I was only in equities for 21 days out of a possible 63. This reduced my risk of some outside event causing a big drop in the markets, and therefore causing major damage to my account balance, by about 67%. :)
 
Intrepid_Timer said:
Current one month return: 0.74% S&P 500: 4.29%

Current three month return: 5.71% S&P 500: 4.71%

As long as I can keep that three month rolling return at around 6%, I stand a very good chance of reaching my goal of averaging 24% per year. That would be for not only for bullish years, but bearish years and everything in between also. As you probably know, the buy and holders having just one good month isn't going to cut it.
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Excellent 3 month return rate. You might not be able to keep that rate. The Wall of Worry has been going the past three monhs and has been real bullish. Good time frame to use though. Wish I did that good with it.:).
 
Bquat said:
Excellent 3 month return rate. You might not be able to keep that rate. The Wall of Worry has been going the past three monhs and has been real bullish. Good time frame to use though. Wish I did that good with it.:).
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Not sure why you'd say I might not be able to keep it? I see the Wall of Worry only occurring for January. There has only been two times since 2006 that the S fund hasn't dropped more than 1% on any given day over a month's time, that was last month and Dec of 2010. These Walls of Worry don't happen often. When they do, they usually just add fuel to the buy and holder theorists. There are many people here that have proved this theory wrong. Some over and over again.....;)
 
I am with you

I like your outlook here with 24% plus. I am tiding with mostly S & I. How do you stand right now?

I am open for ideas
 
Intrepid_Timer said:
Current one month return: 0.74% S&P 500: 4.29%

Current three month return: 5.71% S&P 500: 4.71%

As long as I can keep that three month rolling return at around 6%, I stand a very good chance of reaching my goal of averaging 24% per year. That would be for not only for bullish years, but bearish years and everything in between also. As you probably know, the buy and holders having just one good month isn't going to cut it.
Click to expand...

I should also add that my 3-month return is based on actual TSP moves that are verified by the autotracker, as are all my returns, and are based only on signals that my systems gives in which I can actually use with TSP. If I wanted to post the return for ALL of the signals produced by my Timer system, that would be 8.67% over the last 3 months. The way I see it though, why post it if you can't use all the signals with TSP right? ;)
 
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