Intrepid_Timer's PUBLIC Account Talk

[FUTURESTRADER]

SO what are you considering that he reconsider? :toung: - Im too lazy to go back and read your posts!

I was suggesting he might reconsider his strategy of NOT making an IFT in between his signals, e.g. if he had used his 2 IFTs for the month and was in the middle of a signal at the beginning of the next month. But now the market's up...so...I'm just a fickle b#$!@.

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

IT's,

entering F today, market looks like its pulling around.

Good luck! Irregardless, your timing was better than mine..............

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

Got a feeling a lot of mutual fund traders are going to be selling their longs today. These should be placed between 3-4pm. I'm expecting another late day drop........................

 

[Dutchy]

You were right about that IT! I bet this does'nt bode well for next week? I knew I should've to G fund today to lock in this month's gains.

 

[Warrenlm]

Doesn't look like much of a sell off at the end? Birchtree is predicting a rocket blast off Monday. Of course that's the prediction for every Monday.

 

[Handballer]

Doesn't look like much of a sell off at the end? Birchtree is predicting a rocket blast off Monday. Of course that's the prediction for every Monday.

Well, you know he is right most of the time?

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

That's why I had to invent a trading system, my clairvoyant skills are obviously lacking..................

 

[Afishegg]

Well, you know he is right most of the time?

Well birch is allocated at 40% c and the rest I fund. So although he may be right about a "blastoff" he won't be on the shuttle!

S fund all the way bay bee!!!!:nuts:

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

Finally finished a F fund strategy to incorporate with my trading system. My backtested results with this strategy look like this:

Year______Return___ Positive\Total Moves ____% Positive Moves
*2010____ 3.20% ________8\12 _________________67.00%
2009 _____6.80% ________8\11 _________________73.00%
2008 _____6.75% ________9\11 _________________82.00%
2007 _____3.66% ________8\11 _________________73.00%
*2006 ____2.44% ________6\6 _________________100.00%


*2010 has an active buy signal from 12|14 so the number of positive moves may go up to 9 out of 12 (75%)

* 2006 is based on half a year (July thru Dec). I wasn't tracking the necessary data to go beyond this.


Not too bad. This strategy will fit in nicely with my current trading system because I move into the F fund either right before my buy equities signal or right after. The rest of the time I'll be in the safety of the G fund (about 2 weeks per month).

 

[tsptalk]

Impressive!

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

Yes. I"m really looking forward to 2011 returns wise, no matter what the stock market does........THAT, is a great feeling............

 

[FUTURESTRADER]

LOL...that IS a great feeling...and no matter what else the priests of TSP board decree

 

[tsptalk]

I hear congress wants the large return accounts to spread their gains around to the smaller returns.

It wouldn't surprise me.

 

[agogley]

So good job, Intrepid, but we're confiscating the percentage you made above everyone else's.

Congress always knows how to motivate those most productive citizens.

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

Hey, I'm trying to do my part to abide by the "No Man Left Behind" unwritten rule as it equates to the stock market war between big institutional investors versus small average-Joe investors......................

 

[amoeba]

That latest F-move of yours worked so far; it was something I was thinking about - but did it in November early and unsuccessfully so I hesitate now. What do you see? A short term bottomfishing expedition (time to get out if in - money will continue to flow out of bonds, next year), or a reversal (money to go back in)? I've heard both sides on CNBC - unsure who is (will be) right...

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

That latest F-move of yours worked so far; it was something I was thinking about - but did it in November early and unsuccessfully so I hesitate now. What do you see? A short term bottomfishing expedition (time to get out if in - money will continue to flow out of bonds, next year), or a reversal (money to go back in)? I've heard both sides on CNBC - unsure who is (will be) right...

I'm not sure what it's gonna do, not good at predictions, obviously. I just do what my F fund system tells me to do. It would of had me in the F fund early in November also and I would of lost 0.69% myself. But with a profitable return over 75% of the time in four and a half years, I'm inclined to stick with it.........

 

[burrocrat]

i see your introduction, works fine, just click through create a new id, act like you own the place, it will let you in.

i would have been happy with any of those returns 2008 - 2010, but i didn't do so well.

congratulations.

 

[Intrepid_Timer]

i see your introduction, works fine, just click through create a new id, act like you own the place, it will let you in.

i would have been happy with any of those returns 2008 - 2010, but i didn't do so well.

congratulations.

Thanks!

 

[diverdan]

Intrepid Trader... will you still be posting your IFTs via the Tracker? I hope so, as this is how I have been tracking you now for about months. Thankyou kindly.