Heres14U
Member
Good Morning; 
Okay, I had to do this as this is to much fun. I added one more column the ST 11am Read. ST stands for Short Term, LT for Long Term. The Long Term 11am Reading with its 13 day moving average is a trend following system. As long as the LT 11am Reading stays above its 13 day moving average things are looking good so you can hold the fund.
OB and OS stand for Overbought and Oversold. For example, > (greater than) +.45 is dangerously overbought, < (less than) -.45 is very oversold for the C fund. These numbers are good for both the LT 11am reading as well as the ST 11am reading. Keep an eye on the OB and OS ranges and where the 11am readings are in relation to them. Right now for example, the C-fund is still bullish longer term (rising 13 day moving average) of the 11am LT reading. The Short Term 11 am reading is at a +.16 which is climbing to +.45 but not there yet for a sell. Anything close to +.45 would still be dangerously overbought and ripe for a pull back so I would definitely take money off the table even at around +.40. This will help you to keep you on the right side of the market, either in it or out of it.
Good Luck to all! 14U.
---------Share--11am--13dy------LTTrend-OB-----OS-----ST11am
Date--- Price---LTRead-Avg------ Recm----Range-Range--Read
7/24 C 14.2985 +.238 -.180 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45
7/25 C 14.3578 +.199 -.142 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45
7/28 C 14.0916 +.198 -.093 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45 +.08
7/29 C 14.4214 +.162 -.058 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45 -.01
7/30 C 14.57est +.308 +.001 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45 +.29
7/24 S 17.7965 +.222 -.449 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50
7/25 S 17.9429 +.173 -.376 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50
7/28 S 17.6856 +.198 -.289 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.07
7/29 S 18.0727 +.217 -.215 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.06
7/30 S 18.21est +.362 -.121 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.30
7/24 I 21.4356 +.348 -.241 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50
7/25 I 21.3672 +.307 -.179 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50
7/28 I 21.1143 +.320 -.113 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.18
7/29 I 21.2588 +.270 -.059 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 0.00
7/30 I 21.38est +.376 +.013 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.20
7/24 F 12.0542 -.056 +.034 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50
7/25 F 11.9919 -.021 +.029 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50
7/28 F 12.0544 -.021 +.019 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50 +.03
7/29 F 12.0351 -.018 +.011 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50 +.05
7/30 F 12.02est -.019 +.003 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50 +.03
How to use the above chart & Recommendation Explanations;
There are only a few columns to the table. The Current Trend and Recommendation column is based on the relationship between the 11am Reading and its 13 day moving average. If the 11am Reading is higher in value than its respective 13 day moving average than an up trend is in force and you should be in the fund. If the 11am Reading starts to stall at its overbought range or goes down in value towards its climbing respective 13 day moving average than a change in trend (to down) is on the horizon. You should then think of selling the fund.
One other thing left to consider with the table below. In order to know if the 11 am Reading is nearing or in Over Bought or Over Sold territory, I’ve entered two more columns. To avoid confusion, OB Range means Overbought Range and OS Range means Over Sold Range in the column headings. For the C fund, for example an 11am Reading greater than +.45 would fall into the Over Bought range so think about selling or at least lightening up on shares. An 11am Reading Less than -.45 would fall into the Over Sold range so think about buying the fund or Dollar cost averaging into it. The best timing signals are given when 11 am readings are in Overbought or Oversold ranges and the 13 day moving average flattens out and starts to move in the opposite direction. Of course in a bear market stock prices can turn on a dime so I’m not sure if I would wait that long to sell. I think the first day I see the 11am Reading fall, that would be my day to sell as most of the move has already taken place. The flattening 13 day moving average sequence seems to work best when forming a bottom.
UP-HOLD - It’s fine to hold this fund as higher prices are expected.
GETTING OVERBOUGHT - Time to start thinking about selling the fund. The11am Reading is peaking or has already peaked in its overbought range.
DOWN-AVOID - Trend is down at this time. Avoid this fund for now.
GETTING OVERSOLD - Time to start thinking about buying the fund. The 11am Reading is bottoming or has already bottomed in its oversold range.
Disclaimer: Here’s14U is not a registered investment advisor. The analysis presented is not a solicitation to buy, avoid, sell or sell short any security. Anyone using this analysis does so at his or her own risk. Here’s14U assume no liability for the use of this analysis. There is no guarantee that the facts are accurate or that the analysis presented will be correct. Past performance does not guarantee future performance. Here’s14U may have positions in the securities analyzed and these may have been taken before or after the analysis was present.
Okay, I had to do this as this is to much fun. I added one more column the ST 11am Read. ST stands for Short Term, LT for Long Term. The Long Term 11am Reading with its 13 day moving average is a trend following system. As long as the LT 11am Reading stays above its 13 day moving average things are looking good so you can hold the fund.
OB and OS stand for Overbought and Oversold. For example, > (greater than) +.45 is dangerously overbought, < (less than) -.45 is very oversold for the C fund. These numbers are good for both the LT 11am reading as well as the ST 11am reading. Keep an eye on the OB and OS ranges and where the 11am readings are in relation to them. Right now for example, the C-fund is still bullish longer term (rising 13 day moving average) of the 11am LT reading. The Short Term 11 am reading is at a +.16 which is climbing to +.45 but not there yet for a sell. Anything close to +.45 would still be dangerously overbought and ripe for a pull back so I would definitely take money off the table even at around +.40. This will help you to keep you on the right side of the market, either in it or out of it.
Good Luck to all! 14U.
---------Share--11am--13dy------LTTrend-OB-----OS-----ST11am
Date--- Price---LTRead-Avg------ Recm----Range-Range--Read
7/24 C 14.2985 +.238 -.180 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45
7/25 C 14.3578 +.199 -.142 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45
7/28 C 14.0916 +.198 -.093 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45 +.08
7/29 C 14.4214 +.162 -.058 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45 -.01
7/30 C 14.57est +.308 +.001 Up-Hold >+.45 <-.45 +.29
7/24 S 17.7965 +.222 -.449 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50
7/25 S 17.9429 +.173 -.376 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50
7/28 S 17.6856 +.198 -.289 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.07
7/29 S 18.0727 +.217 -.215 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.06
7/30 S 18.21est +.362 -.121 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.30
7/24 I 21.4356 +.348 -.241 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50
7/25 I 21.3672 +.307 -.179 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50
7/28 I 21.1143 +.320 -.113 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.18
7/29 I 21.2588 +.270 -.059 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 0.00
7/30 I 21.38est +.376 +.013 Up-Hold >+.50 <-.50 +.20
7/24 F 12.0542 -.056 +.034 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50
7/25 F 11.9919 -.021 +.029 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50
7/28 F 12.0544 -.021 +.019 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50 +.03
7/29 F 12.0351 -.018 +.011 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50 +.05
7/30 F 12.02est -.019 +.003 Down-Avoid >+.50 <-.50 +.03
How to use the above chart & Recommendation Explanations;
There are only a few columns to the table. The Current Trend and Recommendation column is based on the relationship between the 11am Reading and its 13 day moving average. If the 11am Reading is higher in value than its respective 13 day moving average than an up trend is in force and you should be in the fund. If the 11am Reading starts to stall at its overbought range or goes down in value towards its climbing respective 13 day moving average than a change in trend (to down) is on the horizon. You should then think of selling the fund.
One other thing left to consider with the table below. In order to know if the 11 am Reading is nearing or in Over Bought or Over Sold territory, I’ve entered two more columns. To avoid confusion, OB Range means Overbought Range and OS Range means Over Sold Range in the column headings. For the C fund, for example an 11am Reading greater than +.45 would fall into the Over Bought range so think about selling or at least lightening up on shares. An 11am Reading Less than -.45 would fall into the Over Sold range so think about buying the fund or Dollar cost averaging into it. The best timing signals are given when 11 am readings are in Overbought or Oversold ranges and the 13 day moving average flattens out and starts to move in the opposite direction. Of course in a bear market stock prices can turn on a dime so I’m not sure if I would wait that long to sell. I think the first day I see the 11am Reading fall, that would be my day to sell as most of the move has already taken place. The flattening 13 day moving average sequence seems to work best when forming a bottom.
UP-HOLD - It’s fine to hold this fund as higher prices are expected.
GETTING OVERBOUGHT - Time to start thinking about selling the fund. The11am Reading is peaking or has already peaked in its overbought range.
DOWN-AVOID - Trend is down at this time. Avoid this fund for now.
GETTING OVERSOLD - Time to start thinking about buying the fund. The 11am Reading is bottoming or has already bottomed in its oversold range.
Disclaimer: Here’s14U is not a registered investment advisor. The analysis presented is not a solicitation to buy, avoid, sell or sell short any security. Anyone using this analysis does so at his or her own risk. Here’s14U assume no liability for the use of this analysis. There is no guarantee that the facts are accurate or that the analysis presented will be correct. Past performance does not guarantee future performance. Here’s14U may have positions in the securities analyzed and these may have been taken before or after the analysis was present.
