Ebb's Account Talk

[ebbnflow]

Today's market action was tepid, but I'm okay with that. Good thing I didn't use double pattern 7-7 as an entry (2nd day's win percentage of 57.9% wasn't high enough).

Friday: Pattern 7/red-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 51.4%): C 54.1%, S 51.8% (2nd DP WP: 57.9%), I 48.2%.
Result: long C-fund was right; long S-fund was right; long I-fund was right. All funds follow the DP.
Unofficial (November 14, 2014): C +0.02%; S +0.00%; I +0.03%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (52.0%); 8/red-grn-red (52.0%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.1%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.5%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.3% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.3%; long > 55.3%.
Accuracy: 68/124 (55%). Long: 43/71 (61%). Short: 25/53 (47%). Cash: green (14 up, 11 down); red (10 up, 5 down).

Monday: Pattern 8/red-grn-red. Win Percentage (CSI 54.7%): C 55.6%, S 52.0%, I 56.4%.
Forecast: long C-fund; short S-fund; long I-fund.

Monday has pattern 8/red-grn-red. WP (S-fund): 52.0% (W 127, L 117). Strategy: Short <= 53%.

 

[ebbnflow]

If you're wondering why the C-fund was up while the S-fund was down today, you can blame pattern 8/red-grn-red for that. Its 7-year win percentage in the C-fund (55.7%) is good, but very bad in the S-fund (51.8%). Note: Pattern 3 is on tap for Tuesday and Thursday (it's the worst performing red pattern during the crash of 2008, so I'll have to keep an eye on it).

Monday: Pattern 8/red-grn-red. Win Percentage (CSI 54.7%): C 55.6%, S 52.0%, I 56.4%.
Result: long C-fund was right; short S-fund was right; long I-fund was wrong.
Unofficial (November 17, 2014): C +0.07%; S -0.46%; I -0.44%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (52.0%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.1%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.5%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (56.9%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.3% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.3%; long > 55.3%.
Accuracy: 69/125 (55%). Long: 43/71 (61%). Short: 26/54 (48%). Cash: green (14 up, 11 down); red (10 up, 5 down).

Tuesday: Pattern 3/grn-red-red. Win Percentage (CSI 56.4%): C 57.2%, S 56.9%, I 55.0%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; cash I-fund.

Tuesday has pattern 3/grn-red-red. WP (S-fund): 56.9% (W 124, L 94). Strategy: Long > 55.3%.

 

[ebbnflow]

The chart below shows how the patterns are doing in the C, S, and I-fund (win-loss percentage with gains/losses) this year. All the patterns are behaving as expected except for pattern 2 (it's uptrending instead of downtrending).

Tuesday: Pattern 3/grn-red-red. Win Percentage (CSI 56.4%): C 57.2%, S 56.9%, I 55.0%.
Result: long C-fund was right; long S-fund was right; cash I-fund was safe.
Unofficial (November 18, 2014): C +0.52%; S +0.60%; I +0.1.16%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (52.0%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.1%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.5%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.1%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.3% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.3%; long > 55.3%.
Accuracy: 70/126 (56%). Long: 44/72 (61%). Short: 26/54 (48%). Cash: green (14 up, 11 down); red (10 up, 5 down).

Wednesday: Pattern 7/red-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 51.6%): C 54.3%, S 52.0%, I 48.4%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; short S-fund; short I-fund.

Wednesday has pattern 7/red-grn-grn. WP (S-fund): 52.0% (W 116, L 107). Strategy: Short <= 53%.

 

[ebbnflow]

Pattern 7/red-grn-grn, the worst pattern for the funds, strikes again. And, TNA is down -3.09%, also.

Wednesday: Pattern 7/red-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 51.6%): C 54.3%, S 52.0%, I 48.4%.
Result: cash C-fund was safe; short S-fund was right; short I-fund was right.
Unofficial (November 19, 2014): C -0.15%; S -0.62%; I -0.29%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (51.8%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.1%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.5%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.1%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 70/126 (56%). Long: 44/72 (61%). Short: 27/55 (49%). Cash: green (14 up, 11 down); red (10 up, 5 down).

Thursday: Pattern 3/grn-red-red. Win Percentage (CSI 56.6%): C 57.4%, S 57.1%, I 55.3%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; cash I-fund.

Thursday has pattern 3/grn-red-red. WP (S-fund): 57.1% (W 125, L 94). Strategy: Long > 55.4%.

 

[Frixxxx]

Pattern 7/red-grn-grn, the worst pattern for the funds, strikes again. And, TNA is down -3.09%, also.

:blink: No no no no no!

 

[ebbnflow]

Erased this one. It posted twice.

 

[ebbnflow]

Wow, the ebbchart's S-fund signal has gotten it right for the 6th time in a row.

Thursday: Pattern 3/grn-red-red. Win Percentage (CSI 56.6%): C 57.4%, S 57.1%, I 55.3%.
Result: long C-fund was right; long S-fund was right; cash I-fund was safe.
Unofficial (November 20, 2014): C +0.19%; S +0.74%; I -0.32%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (51.8%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.1%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.5%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.3%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 71/127 (56%). Long: 45/73 (62%). Short: 27/55 (49%). Cash: green (14 up, 11 down); red (10 up, 5 down).

Friday: Pattern 2/grn-grn-red. Win Percentage (CSI 54.0%): C 55.6%, S 53.1% (1st DP WP: 38.5%), I 53.3%.
Forecast: short C-fund; short S-fund; short I-fund. All funds follow the DP.

Friday has pattern 2/grn-grn-red. 1st DP WP (S-fund): 38.5% (W 10, L 16). Strategy: Short <= 53%.

We have a bearish double pattern 2-2 (Friday and Monday), so it will be short Friday and cash Monday.

 

[ebbnflow]

TNA is only up +0.36%. :blink:

Friday: Pattern 2/grn-grn-red
Result: short C-fund was wrong; short S-fund was wrong; short I-fund was wrong. All funds follow the DP.
Unofficial (November 21, 2014): C +0.52%; S +0.36%; I +0.88%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (51.8%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.3%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.5%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.3%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 72/129 (56%). Long: 45/73 (62%). Short: 27/56 (48%). Cash: green (14 up, 11 down); red (10 up, 5 down).

Monday: Pattern 2/grn-grn-red. Win Percentage (CSI 54.2%): C 55.8%, S 53.3% (2nd DP WP: 53.8%), I 53.5%.
Forecast: short C-fund; short S-fund; short I-fund. All funds follow the DP.

Monday has pattern 2/grn-grn-red. 2nd DP WP (S-fund): 53.8% (W 14 L 12). Strategy: Cash > 53% and <= 55.4%.

We have the 2nd day of bearish double pattern 2-2 on Monday, so it will be cash Monday.

 

[ebbnflow]

I corrected the call for Monday. It's not short C, short S, short I for Monday (all the funds follow the DP in cash).

TNA is only up +0.36%. :blink:

Friday: Pattern 2/grn-grn-red
Result: short C-fund was wrong; short S-fund was wrong; short I-fund was wrong. All funds follow the DP.
Unofficial (November 21, 2014): C +0.52%; S +0.36%; I +0.88%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (51.8%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.3%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.5%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.3%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 72/129 (56%). Long: 45/73 (62%). Short: 27/56 (48%). Cash: green (14 up, 11 down); red (10 up, 5 down).

Monday: Pattern 2/grn-grn-red. Win Percentage (CSI 54.2%): C 55.8%, S 53.3% (2nd DP WP: 53.8%), I 53.5%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; cash S-fund; cash I-fund. All funds follow the DP.

Monday has pattern 2/grn-grn-red. 2nd DP WP (S-fund): 53.8% (W 14 L 12). Strategy: Cash > 53% and <= 55.4%.

We have the 2nd day of bearish double pattern 2-2 on Monday, so it will be cash Monday.

 

[ebbnflow]

I will be dropping by the bulls' party tomorrow, uninvited. I hate to be a party pooper.

Monday: Pattern 2/grn-grn-red. Win Percentage (CSI 54.2%): C 55.8%, S 53.3% (2nd DP WP: 53.8%), I 53.5%.
Result: cash C-fund was safe; cash S-fund was safe; cash I-fund was safe. All funds follow the DP.
Unofficial (November 24, 2014): C +0.29%; S +0.83%; I +0.10%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (51.8%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.4%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.5%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.3%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 72/129 (56%). Long: 45/73 (62%). Short: 27/56 (48%). Cash: green (15 up, 11 down); red (10 up, 5 down).

Tuesday: Pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 52.9%): C 53.8%, S 56.4%, I 48.4%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; long S-fund; short I-fund.

Tuesday has pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. WP (S-fund): 56.4% (W 162 L 125). Strategy: Long > 55.4%.

 

[ebbnflow]

Notice: We have a late revision to the patterns (Nov. 25 - Dec. 01). Today, instead of a pattern 1, it's now pattern 6. The call for today is still long due to a double pattern 6-6. Nothing much has changed in terms of moves. The daily ebbchart has been revised.

 

[ebbnflow]

The patterns have been revised.

Tuesday: Pattern 6/red-red-grn . Win Percentage (CSI 53.6.%): C 53.3%, S 54.5% (1st DP WP: 58.6%), I 53.1%.
Result: long C-fund was wrong; long S-fund was wrong; long I-fund was right. All funds follow the DP.
Unofficial (November 25, 2014): C -0.11%; S -0.01%; I +0.51%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (51.8%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.4%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.3%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.3%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 72/130 (56%). Long: 45/74 (61%). Short: 27/56 (48%). Cash: green (15 up, 11 down); red (10 up, 5 down).

Wednesday: Pattern 6/red-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 53.6.%): C 53.1%, S 54.3% (2nd DP WP: 55.2%), I 53.3%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; cash S-fund; cash I-fund. All funds follow the DP.

Wednesday has pattern 6/red-red-grn. WP (S-fund): 55.2% (W 16 L 13). Strategy: Cash > 53% and <= 55.4%.

Daily EbbChart:

 

[ebbnflow]

Happy Thanksgiving!

Wednesday: Pattern 6/red-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 53.7.%): C 53.1%, S 54.7% (2nd DP WP: 55.2%), I 53.3%. Corrected (S-fund was positive Tuesday).
Result: cash C-fund was safe; cash S-fund was safe; cash I-fund was safe. All funds follow the DP.
Unofficial (November 26, 2014): C +0.28%; S +0.23%; I +0.35%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (51.8%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.4%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.8%). Corrected (S-fund was positive Tuesday).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.3%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 73/130 (56%). Long: 46/74 (62%). Short: 27/56 (48%). Cash: green (15 up, 11 down); red (11 up, 5 down). Corrected (S-fund was positive Tuesday).

Friday: Pattern 6/red-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 53.9.%): C 53.3%, S 54.8% (TP WP: 66.7%), I 53.5%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; long I-fund. All funds follow the DP.

Friday has pattern 6/red-red-grn. TP WP (S-fund): 66.7% (W 2 L 1). Strategy: Long > 55.4%.

Double-Patterns Chart

7-yr. EbbTally

Daily EbbChart

 

[ebbnflow]

Mr. Market woke up with a hangover.

Friday: Pattern 6/red-red-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 53.9.%): C 53.3%, S 54.8% (TP WP: 66.7%), I 53.5%.
Result: long C-fund was wrong; long S-fund was wrong; long I-fund was wrong. All funds follow the DP.
Unofficial (November 28, 2014): C -0.28%; S -0.89%; I -0.49% (added Thursday's MSCI EAFE loss of -0.33%).

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (51.8%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.4%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.6%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.3%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 73/131 (56%). Long: 46/75 (61%). Short: 27/56 (48%). Cash: green (15 up, 11 down); red (11 up, 5 down).

Monday: Pattern 3/grn-red-red. Win Percentage (CSI 56.6%): C 57.6%, S 57.3%, I 55.0%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; cash I-fund.

Monday has pattern 3/grn-red-red. WP (S-fund): 57.3% (W 126 L 94). Strategy: Long > 55.4%.

Double-Patterns Chart

7-yr. EbbTally

 

[ebbnflow]

Bad start for the month. What's with all the rotten news? :suspicious:

Monday: Pattern 3/grn-red-red. Win Percentage (CSI 56.6%): C 57.6%, S 57.3%, I 55.0%.
Result: long C-fund was wrong; long S-fund was wrong; long I-fund was wrong.
Unofficial (December 01, 2014): C -0.68%; S -1.53%; I -0.28%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (51.8%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.4%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.6%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.0%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 73/132 (55%). Long: 46/76 (61%). Short: 27/56 (48%). Cash: green (15 up, 11 down); red (11 up, 5 down).

Tuesday: Pattern 7/red-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 51.3%): C 54.0%, S 51.8%, I 48.2%.
Forecast: cash C-fund; short S-fund; short I-fund.

Tuesday has pattern 7/red-grn-grn. WP (S-fund): 51.8% (W 116 L 108). Strategy: Short <= 53%.

Double-Patterns Chart

7-yr. EbbTally

 

[ebbnflow]

Relief rally.

Tuesday: Pattern 7/red-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 51.3%): C 54.0%, S 51.8%, I 48.2%.
Result: short C-fund was wrong; short S-fund was wrong; short I-fund was right.
Unofficial (December 02, 2014): C +0.64%; S +0.67%; I -0.01% (could turn positive with adjustment).

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (52.0%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.4%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.6%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.0%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 73/133 (55%). Long: 46/76 (61%). Short: 27/57 (47%). Cash: green (15 up, 11 down); red (11 up, 5 down).

Wednesday: Pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 52.9%): C 53.8%, S 56.4% (1st DP WP: 65%), I 48.4%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; long I-fund. All funds follow the DP.

Wednesday has pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. 1st DP WP (S-fund): 65.0% (W 26 L 14). Strategy: Long > 55.4%.

Double-Patterns Chart

7-yr. EbbTally

 

[ebbnflow]

Yesterday's I-fund for pattern 7/red-grn-grn did turn positive, so its win percentage went from 48.2% to 48.4%. So, pattern 1/grn-grn-grn has finally regained possession of having the lowest win percentage in a fund at 48.4% (by a fraction), and today's result makes it even lower at 48.3%.

Wednesday: Pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 52.9%): C 53.8%, S 56.4% (1st DP WP: 65%), I 48.4%.
Result: long C-fund was right; long S-fund was right; long I-fund was wrong. All funds follow the DP.
Unofficial (December 03, 2014): C +0.38%; S +0.82%; I -0.16%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (52.0%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.4%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.6%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.6%); 3/grn-red-red (57.0%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 74/134 (55%). Long: 47/77 (61%). Short: 27/57 (47%). Cash: green (15 up, 11 down); red (11 up, 5 down).

Thursday: Pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 52.9%): C 54.0%, S 56.6% (2nd DP WP: 62.5%), I 48.3%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; long I-fund. All funds follow the DP.

Thursday has pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. 2nd DP WP (S-fund): 62.5% (W 25, L 15). Strategy: Long > 55.4%.

Double-Patterns Chart

7-yr. EbbTally

 

[ebbnflow]

Nice turnaround.

Thursday: Pattern 1/grn-grn-grn. Win Percentage (CSI 52.9%): C 54.0%, S 56.6% (2nd DP WP: 62.5%), I 48.3%.
Result: long C-fund was wrong; long S-fund was wrong; long I-fund was wrong. All funds follow the DP.
Unofficial (December 04, 2014): C -0.13%; S -0.26%; I -0.06%.

The S-fund is used to get our daily TNA calls (short, cash, or long).

Short Patterns (S-fund): 7/red-grn-grn (52.0%); 8/red-grn-red (51.8%).
Cash Patterns (S-fund): 2/grn-grn-red (53.4%); 4/grn-red-grn (55.1%); 6/red-red-grn (54.6%).
Long Patterns (S-fund): 1/grn-grn-grn (56.4%); 3/grn-red-red (57.0%); 5/red-red-red (59.8%).

S&P 500: 55.4% (7-yr. win percentage).
Strategy: short <= 53%; cash > 53% and <= 55.4%; long > 55.4%.
Accuracy: 74/135 (55%). Long: 47/78 (60%). Short: 27/57 (47%). Cash: green (15 up, 11 down); red (11 up, 5 down).

Friday: Pattern 3/grn-red-red. Win Percentage (CSI 56.4%): C 57.3%, S 57.0% , I 54.8%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; cash I-fund.

Friday has pattern 3/grn-red-red. WP (S-fund): 57.0% (W 126, L 95). Strategy: Long > 55.4%.

Double-Patterns Chart

7-yr. EbbTally

 

[Mcqlives]

Thanks for doing these Ebb. They are almost always my first stop for after market overviews.

 

[ebbnflow]

Friday: Pattern 3/grn-red-red. Win Percentage (CSI 56.4%): C 57.3%, S 57.0% , I 54.8%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; cash I-fund.

Friday has pattern 3/grn-red-red. WP (S-fund): 57.0% (W 126, L 95). Strategy: Long > 55.4%.

Note: I've been alerted to a change in one of the cycles I follow, so the daily ebbchart patterns from Dec. 05 - 10 have been revised. The forecast for tomorrow didn't change because the new pattern that replaced it is still bullish. Here's the new pattern:

Friday: Pattern 5/red-red-red. Win Percentage (CSI 59.5%): C 60.4%, S 59.8% , I 58.2%.
Forecast: long C-fund; long S-fund; long I-fund.

Friday has pattern 5/red-red-red. WP (S-fund): 59.8% (W 134, L 90). Strategy: Long > 55.4%.