ebbnflow's Account Talk

[fabijo]

On a side note, I celebrate passing my goal for the year (+30%).

Congrats! Now just share that tracker.

 

[ebbnflow]

Congrats! Now just share that tracker.

Thanks fabijo! It looks like the ebb tracker is working on it right now.

 

[fabijo]

That's one smart dog. I bet he'd destroy us monkeys.

 

[Birchtree]

Providing the twenty week cycle doesn't get you first. We are probably in the middle of it right now. And it ain't so bad. Remember the June/July 2006 bottom had the worst total put/call ratio in the last 12 years. It takes considerable time to turn all those doubting Toms around - the longer they remain negative the better I feel.

 

[ebbnflow]

That's one smart dog. I bet he'd destroy us monkeys.

I dunno about that, fabijo. The last time I checked the ebb tracker still has his darts under the desk.

 

[ebbnflow]

Providing the twenty week cycle doesn't get you first. We are probably in the middle of it right now. And it ain't so bad. Remember the June/July 2006 bottom had the worst total put/call ratio in the last 12 years. It takes considerable time to turn all those doubting Toms around - the longer they remain negative the better I feel.

I remember June all too well. Had one of my best gains during that month. Still feeling bullish like you -- it's December doncha know!

 

[airlift]

Ebbnflow,

What is your tracker signaling? Hope it stays on track! Thanks in advance.

 

[ebbnflow]

Hiya Sponsor! I'm planning to sit out the whole week. The ebb tracker would have had me on the I-fund for the 4th, 5th, and 6th. I just tried to stay away with the full moon in our midst, and for three months in a row it has cost me. It's damn if I do and damn if I don't. It seems that either way I play it, I take a hit. I'll be glad when the full moon's week is over. :notrust:

 

[fabijo]

I remember June all too well. Had one of my best gains during that month.

Hmmmmm.. That's the month that always comes up with at least a 3 to 4 % loss no matter what I put in my spreadsheet. Maybe because I am leaving out the F Fund!

 

[ebbnflow]

Hmmmmm.. That's the month that always comes up with at least a 3 to 4 % loss no matter what I put in my spreadsheet. Maybe because I am leaving out the F Fund!

No matter how you tweak it, June comes up short with your spreadsheet. Well, there's a time when you have to throw in the towel and just learn to accept facts. I wouldn't sweat it, there are other months to contend with. It's the reverse for me though, the ebb tracker seems to relish bad months more than good ones. :cheesy:

 

[ebbnflow]

We got a -.14 cents FV for the I-fund (-.15 cents) today. In all likelihood, it would be corrected on Monday unless we get another -FV. I was ready to take the plunge back to stocks next Monday, but the ebb tracker came up with downtrends from Monday thru Thursday. Glad this week is over.

I've been gathering all past patterns that gave up big losses (over 15 cents) to help me avoid the really big dippers. Saw two of the patterns pop-up for next week. I don't know if history will repeat itself, but just to be sure, I'm out till Friday. Enjoy your weekend.

 

[ebbnflow]

Made an IFT to the I-fund today (Thursday) and plan to stay for a couple of days. The trap has been set, but I don't think everyone's in yet. :blink: Watch out for the trapdoor, it could give way anytime soon. I'm not shutting the door behind though, just in case I need a quick exit. Let's all be nice and quiet now and see if the trapdoor holds. :worried:

 

[airlift]

Ebbnflow,

:blink: For better understanding, you are going 100% IFT today into the I fund. Your plan is to stay there for a couple of days, until when? Until Friday and then go back to the F fund as of the COB on Friday? That is, what signals are you looking at? What do you understand to be "the trap door"? Don't forget we have to factor-in the lag time for an IFT before 12:00 noon EST. Have a good day and thanks in advance for your answer!

Made an IFT to the I-fund today (Thursday) and plan to stay for a couple of days. The trap has been set, but I don't think everyone's in yet. :blink: Watch out for the trapdoor, it could give way anytime soon. I'm not shutting the door behind though, just in case I need a quick exit. Let's all be nice and quiet now and see if the trapdoor holds. :worried:

 

[ebbnflow]

Ebbnflow,

:blink: For better understanding, you are going 100% IFT today into the I fund. Your plan is to stay there for a couple of days, until when? Until Friday and then go back to the F fund as of the COB on Friday? That is, what signals are you looking at? What do you understand to be "the trap door"? Don't forget we have to factor-in the lag time for an IFT before 12:00 noon EST. Have a good day and thanks in advance for your answer!

Sponsor, my IFT was made today (Thursday), so it will be effective at COB. I was planning to stay on the I-fund for Friday thru next Wednesday. My reference to the trap being set was from people's call for a pullback and talk about how the market keeps teasing the bears to throw in the towel (capitulate). Once most of the bears are in, the market pulls the lever, the trapdoor opens and down we go. Wheee!

I saw Tom's TSPTalk Market And Fund Commentary with a chart of the Dow Transportation Index forming a head and shoulders pattern (very bearish). I thought, if and when it forms an arm, it's gonna slap us all silly.

 

[ebbnflow]

Dang, I'm missing out on all these small increases for the I-fund. Even though the ebb tracker was right about the dollar's continued rise all week, the I-fund had no 'quit' in this bull market. I've been tracking the I-fund's price and the dollar, but I might have to start tracking the C and S-fund's price, also. That way I could still go to either fund (C or S) when I can't play the I-fund.

 

[fabijo]

Dang, I'm missing out on all these small increases for the I-fund. Even though the ebb tracker was right about the dollar's continued rise all week, the I-fund had no 'quit' in this bull market. I've been tracking the I-fund's price and the dollar, but I might have to start tracking the C and S-fund's price, also. That way I could still go to either fund (C or S) when I can't play the I-fund.

Now you're talking!

 

[ebbnflow]

I hate to bail out when I see green today, but I got to follow the plan. I'm out until next week. Merry Christmas to all and good luck!

 

[airlift]

I am going 100% F today.

 

[ebbnflow]

We couldn't have asked for a better scenario, sponsor! The market went from green to red this afternoon, and if the OS market follows we could be looking at a greater buying opportunity next week. On top of that, the dollar seems to be on the rise again.

 

[ebbnflow]

It sure is no picnic parking on the F-fund. Planning to stay there until Tuesday next week and then back to the I-fund for Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. In the meantime, be safe and Happy Holidays to all!