DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

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Hello! Looked at charts again...nice two days here. I really want to jump in with thought that the force is strong with Trump! Lol... But All kidding aside, the prospect of tax plan in a few weeks was loved by the market yesterday. But in looking at daily charts, the MACD is still stealthily moving like a snakes weaving above and below its signal line but in a very slight sloping down trend while price continues to move up. Is that what they call divergence??

In any case, its too rich right now and if I am going to follow my strategy I must wait for Slow Stochastic to drop below 20. What causes me to want to go against that is that maybe all we have is weak but steady upthrusts...throughout Spring (the mother of all earnings season each year)! I don't want to miss out on that. So starting to think to buy in soon and ride out any drops. I think drops are temporary and long term market is continuing to move up. Certainly, for now, the WEEKLY charts support that with EMAs lines all sloped up and MACD above its signal line. But still holding in G for now. Ughhhh.....

Best wishes to you on your Investments and Hope you have a Fun weekend!!!!!!! :smile:
 
LOL...I agree with everything you said...but went in anyway! The F fund was the only thing that makes me thing the equities are going to crawl up so I am chasing the dream!
 
Well... still waiting for a pull back. MACD is still positive and the EMAs on Weekly Charts are all sloped up. I think this year will be an extraordinarily good year---at least that is how it looks now! Thinking to deploy 50% for the entire year (except in cases where 20 drops below 50) and try timing market ups and downs with the other 50 percent using my current strategy. Listened to Chris Ciovacco video on Saturday (Nnuut's Ciovacco thread) and he likes what he sees right now. I must agree. This is ZOOM Tuesday so will wait until tomorrow for entry of 50%. Will likely spread it around C-S-I.

Best Wishes to you on Your Investments!!!!!!!! :smile:

P.S. Staying away from F because it is still in an overall downtrend... as I read it.
 
Looks like this year is shaping up to be really, really good. I may be a little early on this call though. I've been burned too many times in the past by sitting on the sidelines watching the market run away. That's probably the biggest reason my tsp account is not worth another 200k.

I won't be spending much time out of the market this year.
 
Okay. Not sure when this awesome market will pull back but it's Probably sooner rather than later. Yes James... it probably is a little early.

But regardless, I am going in 50%.... 25C, 20S, 5-I fund -- plan to stay long-term and through any and all pull backs but likely exit by May.

Hope to deploy the other 50% before months-end/or during a pull back and use that for short term timing plays. One more IFT to go this month.

Best wishes to you and everyone on your Investments!!!!!!! :smile:
 
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My retirement investment strategy is to increase my equity position in October and November and then lighten up in April and May. I have between 35% and 50% in equities, with 20-25% bonds and 30-40% cash. I am retired so I do not want to have a high percentage in stocks.
 
Well we are a bit down today, but this is expected considering the run up. I'm staying in with the 50% longer term play. Maybe add to position on Monday. I would think it continues down through last two days of February and maybe into March. but feel confident about the future and direction, so no fear!

Hope you have a great weekend and best wishes on your investments!!!!! :smile:
 
What I thought was coming this afternoon never happened. Hope all is okay.

Well....Been difficult to figure what this market wants to do. But must say, I'm glad the late buyers (institutional investors???) bought the dip at the very end of the session. Whewwww...!!!!

Wishing you a Great Weekend and Best Wishes on your Investments!!!!!!!!!!! :smile:

P.S. I heard Ira Epstein on FBN today. He was cautious about market indicating he thought we were in Bull trap based on yesterday's action. He mentions it in his morning flash video that Nnuut posted. Hmmm......
 
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Ok, so moving in a bit more...before end of month to position for March.
Increase equities from 50% to 80%. Moving more into C as it looks stronger than S fund right now on both the weekly and daily charts. So i'm now at 60%C, 20%S and 20%G. Pulled the 5% out of the I fund its losing money and seems they will be having elections in Netherlands, France and Germany. Appears March 15, the Netherlands have some elections and more rumblings that these countries could seek to exit European union this year if certain politicians win and some are now talking about limiting immigration from Muslim countries. All that might bring more instability to those markets to some unknown extend. Ughhh... I think ill stay out altogether except maybe very short plays.

Best wishes to you on your investments and hope you have a good day !!!!!!!!! :smile:
 
 
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Looking at chart links above... C fund looks okay but S fund weekly chart looks like MAcD crossing to negative. That would not be good. Best wishes everyone!!!!!

I am seriously thinking to exit today
 
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Did you exit..I actually am watching you for my cues to take action..I'm not invested by much but I had to get out of the g fund. I'm retired and I need about 4% at least if not 6%.
 
Hi kb9,
Well right now is a good part of year to be invested. But there is always some ups and downs as that is the nature of how the market moves. I would suggest joining one of the premium services. Its not that expensive.

My strategy is under re-development right now as I try to improve it. My returns last year were not good. But i must admit i mainly had issues with not following through on my signals last year. This year working to make it a bit tighter to take emotions out of the decision. Really tough to do. But I believe that while it is good to read what others say, and consider those view points, it is really best to come into a decision with your own analysis and strategy if you plan to manage your TSP on your own. The amount of risk you can stand is unique to each person.

I am not an expert and have only been managing my funds since May or so of 2013. I've read a great deal to learn as much as I can about technical indicators. The more I learn, the more I realize the massiveness of the factors that are at play in the market. Very tough to time or come up with a method that works.

I wish you the best! :smile:

P.S. I ended up staying in...
 
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Looking at C fund (SPX) definitely see we are entering a short period of consolidation. Bollinger bands have contracted tightly and quickly. The Full Stochastic is at 58.72 per Stockcharts. Was hoping to exit as soon as it hits 80, but not sure it will make it that high given that the last dip only came down to about 36 and did not touch or get below 20. So, I am thinking weak small bounce and with tight range, it might be good time to exit.

I put in IFT to exit 100%to G fund tomorrow....but will see...i might make change to only reduce exposure from 80% to 50%, as my current strategy includes staying in 50% until end of April......but nothing is set in stone....for now planning full exit.

Of course anything can happen with the market, and it could go up with good earnings news this week...hoping i dont exit before a pop up... But oh well.....

Market is now very news driven by sentiments about what will or will not be legislated to help business (Obamacare) and also based on earnings news. I understand this week lots of earnings reports come out primarily regarding housing starts, etc. but at same time Obamacare legislative tinkering also making news that can definitely affect futures.

Best wishes to you all on your investments!!! :smile:
 
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Just for the record. As stated on Friday, I did put in an IFT to exit the next day (i.e. Monday). I did let that IFT go through so I got to G fund yesterday, but did not remember to post on the Auto Tracker. So, looks like my AT % maybe lower than REALITY for the rest of the year by today's loss. I'll need to figure that false loss this evening to know where I really stand. I will likely need to post my real earnings every now and then to keep it in mind. But I am very thankful that I did exit. I do think this drop is temporary and that it will go back up as soon as there is positive news that GOP is unified and Obamacare repeal will be passed by the house. Maybe it will still happen Thursday, causing markets to shoot up... or the week after.

l will wait for next buy in... seems market thinks there is risk the repeal will not pass but FBN commentators think it will pass after all the horse trading takes place next few days. Vote is on Thursday. Its a big deal because if not passed, it will push out work on the tax cuts and the market and businesses are counting on that.

Best Wishes to everyone on your Investments!!!!!!!!!!! :smile::smile::smile:

P.S. Yes...feeling very happy today and fortunate!! :D

Collective Soul - Shine........ Heaven Let Your Light Shine Down on Me
 
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Oh so awesome...Thanks Tom. He was able to fix it so... my earnings will be accurate. Gosh... now I feel even happier!!!! :D :banana:

Okayl.. now posting that video again. This time it shows the video....:D
I really like that part where he sings "yeah" in that really deep voice. Guitar, lyrics... everything just great!!! Makes me feel like cruising in my car...or dancing or singing or celebrating or something like that!!



Shine
Collective Soul


Give me a word
Give me a sign
Show me where to look
Tell me what will I find
Lay me on the ground
Fly me in the sky
Show me where to look
Tell me what will I find
Oh, heaven let your light shine down
Love is in the water
Love is in the air
Show me where to look
Tell me will love be there
Teach me how to speak
Teach me how to share
Teach me where to go
Tell me will love be there
Oh, heaven let your light shine down
I'm gonna let it shine
I'm…
 
Just testing to see if I can post a Stockcharts image.

C Fund - Stockcharts - 30-21-2017.png

Try to do one with colored lines... :) umm..well not quite what I wanted. But its okay for now.
So just trying to start posting charts via image as opposed to link. Using free Stockcharts not too easy to add line markers. But like this second image because it shows what I am looking at the most. I almost always use BigCharts but I really like Stockcharts better because I like the Full Stochastics better than Slow Stochastics although they are almost the same. But on Stockcharts I can see the actual chart point where its at each day. Also, I like using PMO instead of MACD because it provides a smoother line than MACD and due to the smoothing, it more often does not show a cross over when there is a bit of a whipsaw. Also, just discovered the last indicator at bottom regarding money flow and I really like that. Just started using it .... wish I had seen that a few days ago.

C Fund - Stockcharts - 30-21-2017-colors.jpg
 

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