DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

[DreamboatAnnie]

Good move DBAnnie, sometimes staying too long in the F fund can begin to feel like being in a pigpen. Good clean start for next month's market action. Good luck in March.

Thanks TSP roulette, it was a hard decision with everything being so high but looking like it all could go higher...just thinking a short term pull back is in order. I really do nit like F fund at all...just can't seem to read it well... guess I'm betting market goes downward sometime next week...but definitely believe it will then continue to move up. Maybe just a little 2-3% pull back?---that's purely a hunch! Thinking that the Slow stochastic will maybe get down to 40-50 before it heads back up. Thinking Monday could even be a good buy back in day..but if it's down will still wait a couple more days just iPod see...

Good luck to you too! . I noticed you are doing very well. Best wishes!

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Here's one of the best articles I've read on combining use of the MACD and Stochastics. This past month I've been slacking off a bit, so decided to read through my older bookmarks. I ran across this one....I'd had forgotten about this article. Yep...one of my favorites!! . Gives some info on avoiding whipsaws and sideways trending.

http://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/08/macd-stochastic-double-cross.asp#axzz255l7Acrj

Here's a primer on MACD
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/082701.asp

 

[jkenjohnson]

Here's one of the best articles I've read on combining use of the MACD and Stochastics. This past month I've been slacking off a bit, so decided to read through my older bookmarks. I ran across this one....I'd had forgotten about this article. Yep...one of my favorites!! . Gives some info on avoiding whipsaws and sideways trending.

MACD And Stochastic: A Double-Cross Strategy

Here's a primer on MACD
A Primer On The MACD

Have you done any testing or back testing to verify this?

 

[ravensfan]

Here's one of the best articles I've read on combining use of the MACD and Stochastics. This past month I've been slacking off a bit, so decided to read through my older bookmarks. I ran across this one....I'd had forgotten about this article. Yep...one of my favorites!! . Gives some info on avoiding whipsaws and sideways trending.

MACD And Stochastic: A Double-Cross Strategy



Here's a primer on MACD
A Primer On The MACD

Thanks Dreamy! I've added these articles to my library for future reference...

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Decided not to jump back in this morning. Just got out Friday and I don't think the drop today alone will be enough to get me back in. Waiting to see the economic news later this week... Plus more provocative actions by Russia May cause more downside and better buy in...although it is enticing!! Will stick to plan.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Have you done any testing or back testing to verify this?

Hi JKJ, as far as the cross overs helping to avoid whipsaws, I have not done back testing. I'm just now looking into that.

However, my strategy does include use of both indicators in assessing entry and exits....my actual executions are a different story :blink:.

Also, had noticed that the MACD is slower to cross into negative territory and that Slow Stochastic is a little better at getting you out (as well as into market earlier), ahead of trend...but like the article says, it's a little riskier. These are the primary indicators I use for assessments...along with Bollinger Bands and the 10, 20 and 50 day EMAs.

Good luck on your investments! DBAnnie.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Well. ...what's to say? Markets so volatile and no downside easily in sight..it's hard to find an entry point....Monday would have been great but thought more downs might happen. But trying to stay patient and positive. Will now wait until next week to enter, or maybe do it a bit at a over time as Clester suggested on another thread. If I can muster enough patience, will wait until next little drop ....ugghhh ..bit by bit.

Still have not decided on revised strategy to help stay in market longer. Guess I should get to working on that! :worried:

 

[Dutchy]

I'm with you Annie!

I've been short this Market since late Feb., Took a huge hit in my Short ETF's on Tuesday..
Now, waiting and hoping for a 2-4% pullback to recoup those losses and get a good entry point to flip and go Long again..
That may be to much to hope for. I'm reading about predictions of a sideway consolation and next resistance
at SPX 1880 area.. I'm hoping the "Big Boys" decide to take some profits soon before the next leg up..

 

[Whipsaw]

Markets so volatile and no downside easily in sight..it's hard to find an entry point....:worried:

DBA, here's something to ponder, I'd like to know what you think... In the past, in the days of 1 IFT/day, if the market was going up I didn't look for an entry point and just dove in. Of late, with the specter of a crash (Hindenburg Omens, 1939 rhyming charts, etc.), and IFT limits, I've been remiss to go that route obviously missing gains. If there is no apparent near-term downside, would it make sense to jump in now as a future pull back may not reach down to today's level? Just some considerations from my cluttered mind. You are obviously a very smart lady, your thoughts and insights are grealtly appreciated. (BT, I know you're game here!)

 

[weatherweenie]

If there is no apparent near-term downside, would it make sense to jump in now as a future pull back may not reach down to today's level?

GREAT question!

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

DBA, here's something to ponder, I'd like to know what you think... In the past, in the days of 1 IFT/day, if the market was going up I didn't look for an entry point and just dove in. Of late, with the specter of a crash (Hindenburg Omens, 1939 rhyming charts, etc.), and IFT limits, I've been remiss to go that route obviously missing gains. If there is no apparent near-term downside, would it make sense to jump in now as a future pull back may not reach down to today's level? Just some considerations from my cluttered mind. You are obviously a very smart lady, your thoughts and insights are grealtly appreciated. (BT, I know you're game here!)

Hi Whipsaw, Yes.... that definitely is something to consider. Been thinking about that a lot. I am not seeing a pullback...maybe Monday and that would be only because it seems like market tanks a lot of times on Monday. Surely someone has stats on that.

Issue is that I just go back and forth... but lately been thinking what the heck...just jump in. Especially earlier today...I believe the market is going to continue going up but with small pull backs just like it did in 2013. Looks like its in a channel above the 10 day EMA. I want to wait to formulate a better strategy but have not had time. I would like to take a look at historical closing prices and just trying to formulate a strategy that would involve using the EMA much more...like say stay in while price is within the 10 or 15 day EMA and definitely jump out when it hits 20 day... obviously would need to adjust every year or so (as far as the EMAs to use) to match better with current market environment.

I feel like the 50 day EMA is too long to wait to get out...lose too much. When I was looking at flash crashes, the 10 crossing 20 was a good indicator. But really need to look at that a little more, and go back and look at my old posts where I posted the results of that review... late December/early January.

Would like to do something very quick (like this weekend) to find a better entry and exit point. Obviously would still look at MACD and Stochastics, but the EMAs are awesome. Want to find just the right combination to stay in longer through the smaller downs but something that gets you out in time to not lose much. Just trying to find that sweet spot.

Definitely not there right now, but I'm confident it can be done!! The sooner we get in the better but at what price? Market is so high if it turns sharply for some unforeseen reason, you take a big hit. So it gets down to what does my crystal ball say now? If I get in at a high price, I will need to psych myself out to think... stay with jumping out at a 15 EMA to minimimze the loss and then jump right back in when it bumps a few times off the lower BB---NO fear!!!! Need more confidence in the Stochastics and really stick to it. Get totally disassociated from an emotional standpoint. With that in mind, then jumping in even when it is high should work out in the long term as the market is going to continue upward in the long term. But before I do that, I MUST HAVE A ROCK SOLID strategy based on actual price related technical indicators...that I can use as my basis for entry/exit points regardless of what else is happening and then stick to it, and that would limit losses. Will see ....... bye for now DBA

 

[Whipsaw]

DBA, thank you! Your last paragraph describes where I want to be, agile, agressive (i.e. I missed the jump in w/the last pull back), based on technicals. Buying high at this point is an obstacle, JTH sees 1907 as a potential target, I'm willing to watch this next area play out, buy the dip (if there is one! :notrust and then I will be in the '50% in' crowd for riding this bull. Too much time on the lilly pad for me this past year. Thanks again, time is scarce, the time you(and others) spend on this forum is appreciated by many.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

It's been awhile since I posted...been under the weather ..but I've been listening to this song today...and my does it take me back... It's on a car commercial lately... Bobby Caldwell. Wow ..beautiful velvety voice! I just may have to sing this one the next time I go karaoke. Enjoy! Bring the stress levels down, and let your love shine!

What You Won't Do For Love ...
BOBBY CALDWELL

 

[konakathy]

It's been awhile since I posted...been under the weather ..but I've been listening to this song today...and my does it take me back... It's on a car commercial lately... Bobby Caldwell. Wow ..beautiful velvety voice! I just may have to sing this one the next time I go karaoke. Enjoy! Bring the stress levels down, and let your love shine!

What You Won't Do For Love ...
BOBBY CALDWELL

Hope you're feeling better, DBA. I love this guy's voice too. I had his album, played it a lot.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Hope you're feeling better, DBA. I love this guy's voice too. I had his album, played it a lot.

Thanks Konakathy...you know I remember the song but never had his album. I really like him! Lots of his song out on YouTube. I'll have to post it out on the music thread too!! Just wanted to have it here so I can play it more often while doing financials. Take care .. Aloha girl!!
P.S. Love your new avatar!

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Hello....Just wanted to share this very good video on candlestick analysis (including Shake out candles and support and resistance). Was browsing Youtube today and ran across it...it's a class on candlesticks and looks to be almost two hours long...I'm an hour in right now.... This is one area that I really needed to study and it's exactly the right amount of detail. It starts a little slow (intro a bit long...5 mins) but the material is great! Well worth the time as it really concentrates on using shake out candles and retests of support and resistance to show how to pick entry and exit point. Perfect!! Bye for now..DBAnnie

TNA 1 = Technical Analysis Tutorial Candlesticks - YouTube

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Just want this on my thread. Love it! Only Hope by Mandy Moore...from the movie:
A Walk to Remember. Very good movie, Beautiful vocal, beautiful young lady- angelic!

http://youtu.be/IaGPN7hsRIU

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Daily charts. Think we should see a retest of support as we move into consolidation and as Bollinger Bands constrict. When that happens, that should provide a good entry point. Can hardly wait!!!

DWCPF - seeing support at 1020

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Index&symb=XX%3ADWCPF&time=7&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=5%2F11%2F2013&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=6&maval=10%2C20%2C50&uf=8&lf=4&lf2=32&lf3=16&type=4&style=370&size=4&x=56&y=8&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11


SPX - seeing support at 1845-1850

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?show=&insttype=Index&symb=SPX&time=7&startdate=1%2F4%2F1999&enddate=6%2F20%2F2013&freq=1&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&comptemptext=&comp=none&ma=6&maval=10%2C20%2C50&uf=8&lf=4&lf2=32&lf3=16&type=4&style=370&size=4&x=54&y=6&timeFrameToggle=false&compareToToggle=false&indicatorsToggle=false&chartStyleToggle=false&state=11

 

[ravensfan]

Daily charts. Think we should see a retest of support as we move into consolidation and as Bollinger Bands constrict. When that happens, that should provide a good entry point. Can hardly wait!!!

DWCPF - seeing support at 1020

Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index, XXWCPF Advanced Chart - (DJW) XXWCPF, Dow Jones U.S. Completion Total Stock Market Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com


SPX - seeing support at 1845-1850

S&P 500 Index, SPX Advanced Chart - (SNC) SPX, S&P 500 Index Stock Price - BigCharts.com

I'm with you on this one Annie. Although I'm not so sure we will get to those support lines. Yesterday, DWCPF closed at 1036.12, which is barely above the 10 dma. S&P closed at 1860.77, just a bit above the 20 dma. For the month of March, we keep flirting with the 50 dma/lower bollenger bands, only to head back up again. Maybe we get there with late March's seasonality, but at this point I may jump in if we fall below the 20 dma. Good news is the futures are down this morning...

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

Yes this market has lots of momentum and volatility. Looks like we had a shakeout candle two days ago, but it might come back down and test support around 1850 on SPX but looks like it might only come back to 1860. I'm thinking any day now with a small pull back for entry. Really do not want to chase this wild thing!! :nuts: dang it....patience...Monday awaits...but I am tempted to enter now....bye and well wishes to all ...DBAnnie

I did get a bit of that SPX run up from feb 10 to 28th but was not fully invested... Too conservative. Gotta change that!