DreamboatAnnie's Account Talk

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DreamboatAnnie said:
Daily charts as of a few mins ago. I am suppose to enter, albeit a day or two late but having reservations. Might just enter 40% or so.

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I had a trade in on Tuesday when my chart was telling me is was about time to get in. I was thinking the Fed wouldn't disappoint but there were to many unknows going on I felt why chance it and pulled it. Anyway that is all water under the bridge now. I just wonder if this run up is a week early if so then there will be another chance to get in later in Oct early Nov if last years chart plays out the same. Plus the next Fed meeting is 2-3 Nov and all the taper talk will come back.

Seems the market used to drop fast and rise slow but that changed awhile ago and now we drop slower and rise fast making the decision harder to get in. Its like if you don't time it right you miss the big jump.
 
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Charts. Still no entry for me. With the quick rise over last few days since Monday's drop, it looked like a good time to enter but just not liking it somehow. I expected a little drop today but will continue waiting. Wishing you all a Great weekend! :D:D:D

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SPX now.png

I FUND - EFA. now.png
 
charts. Not entering.... Missed boat :( at least for now...plus do see some weakness on C and I. S fund looks good. Best wishes to you all...:D:D:D


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I FUND - EFA. now.png
 
DB, how I wish I know how to read those candlesticks..it must be very interesting.
I envy you guys: Bquat, Nnuut, etc.
I just go with the news and filter what others are talking about.
 
DreamboatAnnie said:
charts. Not entering.... Missed boat :( at least for now...plus do see some weakness on C and I. S fund looks good. Best wishes to you all...:D:D:D


SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY:NYSE) has crossed 50 day Moving Average. This bearish signal indicates that the index may fall from the close of $442.64, and confirm the intermediate-term weakness. iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM:NYSE) regains 21 Day Moving Average. Is this a start of a normalization between large-cap tech and small-cap stocks or all boats are going to sink together? Maybe there are chances for entering for a bounce the rest of this month and/or more deep dips in October. Anyhow, best luck to everyone to…enter or not enter :-)


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Charts... Not entering. I would like to see direction. S fund has lower High and higher low, which is not a trend.

Is today's move a knee-jerk reaction to bond rates going up? Not sure I think any reaction to bond rate increases are knee-jerk. It does have an impact on the future economy ...doesn't it?

So which way will the S fund pie wedge break? I am thinking it beaks further downward this week. Notice the lime green 200 dMA... Getting closer....:worried: Hope we stay above it. Earnings season (3rd quarter) starts soon.



Dwcpf.png

SPX now.png

I FUND - EFA. now.png
 
Cedarpine, Thanks for posting about SPY! :smile: I also like looking at that S&P 500 Exchange Traded fund. Meanwhile, the SPX C fund also has dropped below 50dMA just like it did early last week. Also, the 10EMA dropped below 50 and that is also very bearish.

cedarpine said:
DreamboatAnnie said:
charts. Not entering.... Missed boat :( at least for now...plus do see some weakness on C and I. S fund looks good. Best wishes to you all...:D:D:D


SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY:NYSE) has crossed 50 day Moving Average. This bearish signal indicates that the index may fall from the close of $442.64, and confirm the intermediate-term weakness. iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM:NYSE) regains 21 Day Moving Average. Is this a start of a normalization between large-cap tech and small-cap stocks or all boats are going to sink together? Maybe there are chances for entering for a bounce the rest of this month and/or more deep dips in October. Anyhow, best luck to everyone to…enter or not enter :-)


Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums
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Hello Quabit! Lol.. Yes I am happy! :D:D:D. I keep thinking I should have entered partly for quick 1-2 day bounce, but hindsight is always 20/20. I do believe it will generally continue in a downward path at least for a day or two based on today's charts. :rolleyes: Plus market does seem a bit unstable. Will see how it goes... I definitely do not have a crystal ball!
quabit said:
I'm thinking you may be feeling better about your decision on 23 Sep to wait. Now you can turn that :( into a :smile: if today continues its path downward.
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COB charts. -notice how price closed right at drawn support line for both S and C fund. C fund was also supported by100 dMA (gold line).
I fund broke below short-term trendline and now looks to be sitting very close to the lows in July.

Dwcpf.png



SPX now.png


I FUND - EFA. now.png


AGG now.png
 
Charts as of few mins ago. I am considering entry....again ... My typical entry parameters not yet hit but do see some promising signs....mainly in F and I funds. F fund is rising from 20 level in Slow Sto and 10 year interest rates look like they will be moving down. I Fund near 20 on Slow Sto and today's candle is doji. Seems that sometimes occurs at reversal area although it could go down a bit more. C Fund is in decending wedge, which is bullish....once it gets closer to end of wedge, but Slow sto only at about 38.... Hummm.... Positive news this morning is that continuing resolution might go out into December and separated from another bill that likely would not have passed.

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SPX now.png


I FUND - EFA. now.png


AGG now.png
 
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Charts. Definitely not entering yet. Notice how 13 EMA has dropped below 50 dMA. That is one of those crossovers that I try to observe, based on a study out on internet about longer term investment strategies and best crossovers. I do believe the best is 13 over 48.5, but 50 is close enough for me.

Best wishes to you all! Wishing you all a Great weekend!! :D
Likely will not post tomorrow, but will if I can.

Dwcpf.png


SPX now.png


I FUND - EFA. now.png


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Lol...so I say I am gone, and here I am with COB charts. So, quick note. Like I mentioned this morning, the 13 EMA drop below 50 MA Is not a good omen. The Slow Stochastic for bot C and I funds are below 20. S fund is still headed that way. I will look at market tomorrow, but will not enter until I see a turn around. Will be looking for funds to be under 20 for Slow Stochastic, and for MACD 5.9.2 to be below -10 or -15 and for market to start heading back up, hopefully with a good candle.

She will eventually bounce but when and for how long??? :blink: That's the thing, even with good up signals the next question will be whether its a dead cat bounce. Because price is under 50 dMA, almost feel it might be necessary to only go in partly when the green signal happens and get idea in my brain about a very short 2 day play. Humm....will see if I can handle that....and of course depends on how much more it drops. I will just keep an open mind and see about next week...

Best Wishes to you All* in your Investments! :smile:


S Fund- had 10 EMA drop below 50dMA two days ago. It broke through short-term (purple) trendline yesterday and is now sitting on mid-term (purple) trendline going back to July. But now, price ended today right at the longer-term (blue) trendline that goes all the way back to January 2021. Will be watching that closely because a break below that would be very significant and now just 12 points above the 200 dMA (lime green line).
Dwcpf.png

C Fund - had 10 EMA drop below 50dMA on Monday. Today, it broke through the bottom of the decending wedge and below the 100dMA. Had thought it would hold at 100dMA, but I guess not...:(.
SPX now.png

I Fund is in similar situation as the C fund.
I FUND - EFA. now.png


AGG now.png
 
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okay, I finished revising the above post, Then I see that MACD 5.9.2 is already hit parameters.... May be she bounces tomorrow???? But I still would not enter...I would want to see some follow through. Also, the more I think on it, I can start to convince myself that I should employ a bear market strategy and take a better look at the weekly charts. :...or am I just spooked????? Well.... October can be spooky!

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Okay Blackbird, I'm not sure that was the message I thought was going out..... I guess your not spooked! :rolleyes: Give me some of what your having there! Lol..:D:banana:
I guess I do need to chill.... Maybe this weekend! :friday: :smile:

OIP (1).jpg
 
Great idea!!! Yum....:D. Lately I've been having mango margaritas! But also moved away from Mexican martinis and going back to a good ole Tequila Sunrise! Can never go wrong with good tequila! Patron... Lol

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