Dr Faustus's Account Talk

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< ASCII Echo On >

Now ow ow ow ... Hear this! iss! iss! iss ...

My charts arts arts arts ...
Are Indicating ating ating ating ...
An Alert Status atus atus atus ...
Indicating ating ating ating ...
A Strong Performance ance ance ance ...
In the S Fund today ay ay ay ...
Will lead to a buying opportunity tea tea tea ...
Tomorrow oh oh oh ...

That is all all all all ...

< ASCII Echo Off >
 
lol ... what I was trying to say was that if the S fund had a strong performance today, that would have led my charts into indicate a buying opportunity. As it is however, the S fund isn't doing too well, so it appears it is best to maintain the status quo - ie, don't get in just yet.
 
My charts are showing that it's a good time to be in the S fund. (actually, they started showing this several days but I haven't gotten around to logging on.) I think Im gonna be able to make a good run next year, Intrepid! :)
 
My charts are telling me to get out of the S fund today. However, the S fund has been relatively flat for the past few days and this can cause my predictors to act squirrelly. Short term is down but the Medium Term and Long Terms are up. Today's market chart looks like we're in for more of the same, so I think it would be better to override the predictors today. Today's Call : Remain In
 
Looks like I made the right call .. today's charts indicate that I should continue to be in the S fund. Onward and Upward!
 
I'm getting an ALERT signal in the S fund ... either a flat market or selloff today would likely trigger a SELL indicator on Monday. Forewarned is forearmed ...
 
My charts say to get in the S fund, so in I go. They also say that they C fund and I funds are looking good as well. Going 100% S on Monday, Jan 7
 
Yesterday's drop generated an ALERT status, signifying a potential change in strategy. If the today's yield on the S fund is -0.25% or lower, my charts suggest it's time to get out. As of this writing, the Wilshire 4500 was down 0.42% but it had been climbing over the last hour or so. So ... what to do? If you think today is going to remain a significant down day, then I suggest you get out. Otherwise, you might want to ride it out. There's no other fund besides G to really jump back into right now, which would blow your IFT's for the month. (We used up 1 getting into the S fund.) I have a feeling that we're going to close above the -0.25% mark but you'll need to decide this for yourself.
 
DrFaustus said:
Yesterday's drop generated an ALERT status, signifying a potential change in strategy. If the today's yield on the S fund is -0.25% or lower, my charts suggest it's time to get out. As of this writing, the Wilshire 4500 was down 0.42% but it had been climbing over the last hour or so. So ... what to do? If you think today is going to remain a significant down day, then I suggest you get out. Otherwise, you might want to ride it out. There's no other fund besides G to really jump back into right now, which would blow your IFT's for the month. (We used up 1 getting into the S fund.) I have a feeling that we're going to close above the -0.25% mark but you'll need to decide this for yourself.
Click to expand...

I see you stayed in, and the Wilshire 4500 closed with a -.15% :)
 
Well, today was a nice up day. Alas, it was not enough to keep my charts from generating an "OUT" (ie, sell) signal.

S010913.jpg

Green = Price; Blue = Short Term; Yellow = Medium Term; Red = Long Term

Looking ahead, here's the way things are shaping up.
If Thursday's market is up by more than 0.2209%, my charts generate a "IN" (ie, buy) signal.
If Thursday's market is down by more than 1.2041%, my charts generate another "OUT" signal.
Anywhere between there and my charts generate an "ALERT" signal which indicates a possible change in strategy.

Personally, I don't like these "OUT to IN" and (conversely) the "IN to OUT" swings - they make my flesh crawl. But because the market has been trading relatively flat over the last couple of days, these kind of wild swings can happen.

So, what to do? Check the markets around 11:30 tomorrow. If the S fund looks like it's going to close down more than 1.2%, I'd get out. Otherwise, I think I'd stay in. A 1.2% drop is a serious down day, so I think we're gonna be OK with sticking to our guns.
 
DrFaustus said:
Well, today was a nice up day. Alas, it was not enough to keep my charts from generating an "OUT" (ie, sell) signal.

View attachment 21841

Green = Price; Blue = Short Term; Yellow = Medium Term; Red = Long Term

Looking ahead, here's the way things are shaping up.
If Thursday's market is up by more than 0.2209%, my charts generate a "IN" (ie, buy) signal.
If Thursday's market is down by more than 1.2041%, my charts generate another "OUT" signal.
Anywhere between there and my charts generate an "ALERT" signal which indicates a possible change in strategy.

Personally, I don't like these "OUT to IN" and (conversely) the "IN to OUT" swings - they make my flesh crawl. But because the market has been trading relatively flat over the last couple of days, these kind of wild swings can happen.

So, what to do? Check the markets around 11:30 tomorrow. If the S fund looks like it's going to close down more than 1.2%, I'd get out. Otherwise, I think I'd stay in. A 1.2% drop is a serious down day, so I think we're gonna be OK with sticking to our guns.
Click to expand...

Thanks for your chart info. Lookin for a time to get in again and your advice could be the ticket. The way the market is humming, I think it's time to get in.
 
"Nice. Not thrilling ... but nice." ( anyone know what movie that line comes from? )

So the S fund generated an ALERT status for today ... what to do tomorrow? Well, if the market drops by 0.122%, we'll generate another alert signal. Anything higher than that generates an "IN" signal - which means you should get in. I havent run the numbers but I assume its going to take a very significant down day to generate an "OUT" signal. So, once again ... watch the markets around 11:30 and check where you think they're gonna go. Another up day means we stay in. A moderate day will probably trigger another ALERT. A true disaster will generate a OUT signal.

Good luck, sports fans!
 
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