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clester's Account Talk
- Thread starter clester
- Start date
clester
Well-known member
I fund was WAY oversold. I have it as a buy but only 50% since its in a bear market. S fund should get up to its 50DMA for a test. The C fund needs to break above its 200DMA. That will happen first so lets hope for a bust though! S fund should outperform on this rally since it was down much more.
Still looking for a good 4th quarter!
clester
Well-known member
That means my error of not making the trade to S fund in my actual TSP has cost me 2% so far
I'm not sure if its worthwhile to make the trade now though.
jkenjohnson
Active member
That means my error of not making the trade to S fund in my actual TSP has cost me 2% so far
I'm not sure if its worthwhile to make the trade now though.
i went 100% s yesterday, and forgot to post on the autotracker
clester
Well-known member
Good for you.
I think we will go up to test the 50 Dma on s&p and pause. But we should bust through and head to new highs imo.
clester
Well-known member
Well the October "V" bottom happened like it does most of the time and we are now back to the 50DMA on the C fund. If we can bust through then we can head to the highs for a test.
I would like to see a jump over on Monday. If we fail Monday then we could may have to hang out below it for a few days. Last time we failed we had a big drop!I am still thinking that will happen and the 4th quarter will be good.
clester
Well-known member
We are now back up and over the 50dma! That's a great sign and should get us climbing back up to new highs. Its a strong buy form my system in C fund. S and I funds are still in bear markets (50 dma below 200dma) but the S&P should lead them out of it.Well the October "V" bottom happened like it does most of the time and we are now back to the 50DMA on the C fund. If we can bust through then we can head to the highs for a test.
I am still thinking that will happen and the 4th quarter will be good.
clester
Well-known member
We tested the 50 dma and bounce yesterday and looks like another test this morning is coming. If we can hold it then off we go to new highs imo.
I'm still looking for a good 4th quarter and expect to hold stocks for a while. I think the bull market will last until the fed starts raising rates next summer.
I'm still looking for a good 4th quarter and expect to hold stocks for a while. I think the bull market will last until the fed starts raising rates next summer.
clester
Well-known member
Getting close to new high on S&P! We should keep going past it. I'm now watching the RSI for overbought reading but we are still well below 70
bmneveu
Well-known member
What period do you use for RSI? I use 10 on a daily chart and see 88.5 for SPY.
jkenjohnson
Active member
Don't want to answer for Craig but I'm pretty sure he uses the 50sma. If you use a 50 day period for RSI it is about 55.5. He and I have talked about this before.
clester
Well-known member
We are looking good for the C fund to continue up another 1-2% IMO based on the RSI being below 70 at about 65-66. So, its still a strong buy.I fund failed at its 50 DMA and is in bear market. That's a sell. S fund has a buy because its above the 50 and 200 DMA's.
Just watching the RSI at this point!
Just watching the RSI at this point!
clester
Well-known member
RSI over 67...getting close to a 50% sell signal if we get to 70. Maybe next week?
InsaneZane1
Member
I'm thinking the same thing. As I just noted in my account thread, Micros are continuing to lag on a daily basis now, and S Fund's strength is alternating between value vs growth. With Small Caps still showing more strength than Large Caps, I agree that there appears to be a bit more room for gains - but not a lot - before I would expect a bear raid.
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