C-fund

[Heres14U]

Nasdaq Composite has broken it's January low today. Not a good sign. We are going lower, S&P 1230 - 1200 next stop?! Could get a 1 or 2 day bounce but its only an offramp for the pro's. Waiting for the panic to begin. I agree with you James.

 

[James48843]

And what do you know. All that negativity, and it looks like capitulation is finally here. Looks like a huge up day ahead.

I'm springing in for the swing- fingers crossed.

 

[DCguy]

now showing 3+% gain in c & s

 

[Bullitt]

Doesn't look like the ones who are the know entered this week playing the short side, yet the bearishness continues to persist amongst retail investors. www.marketgauge.com

 

[James48843]

This was a nice runup. I think we'll get maybe one more day eeeking out a little more, then it's time for the C fund to take a rest. It's been working very hard this week.

 

[Birchtree]

And if the C fund refuses to rest this week - then what? I believe that a price of $17.54 was the previous peak. We are now only $1.76 away from that all-time high. If a stampede kicks into high gear and all the overhead resistance lines are broken...the potential here is flat out enormous with a return to intermediate wave 3 of Primary wave 3 of Cycle wave 3. You simply have to run the risk of being in to win. We could be looking at a once in a generation bull leg and it would be a derelict shame to miss this one waiting for a pause that may not arrive until very much further up the rope and cost much more to fully participate. The bull does not want the bears to recognize the true trend.

 

[Birchtree]

The lows of October 2002 and January 2008 represent nothing more than important secondary or cyclical correction bottoms in the great secular bull market. If you don't know why the market is going up simply follow the money and seek the reasons later. This uptrend will soon appear undeniable and then you all better stand back or risk getting run over in the bullish stampede. The biggest up day in history can come at any time. We are still in the beginning stages of an accelerated parabolic move to the upside - look at the angle of ascent of the price pattern. Shorts at all time highs means people are still picking tops.

 

[TRAFFIC_DOG]

My read on things.......

SPX closed today at 1335. I think we will see a bounce off the weekly 200ma at around 1320, then a flurry up to the 1375 range, then right back down to 1325 in July.

Confirmation will be when the 3ema crosses back above the 8ema on the MONTHLY SPX chart ....... of course the bottom will be long gone by then, but......

This will be the time to get in for those paralyzed with fear and uncertainty...... safety first.

FWIW... I put a 40% toe in the water today as insurance.
Having side stepped much of the carnage since last summer...... I'm in the "out perform" mode.... and not trying to match my ego against the "Great Humiliator".

 

[TRAFFIC_DOG]

BTW...... only since the The Great Perma-Bull with the sluffing bark uses "oceanic" balances to garner credibility...... I'll add that my TSP total dollar balance is up exacly $130k since last June 30th statement.

 

[Birchtree]

A $130K gain is marvelous - you should join the automated tracker so the rest of us can see how it's done. By my calculations inorder to make a $130K gain in the G fund you would need 270,833 G fund shares with a gain from July'07 to now of $0.48. Way to go. On the other hand I'm sitting with a loss and a steep one at that.

 

[Scout333]

OK Guys, S or C????? S has been leading the pack which usually indicates C is following a few weeks behind. Time to move to C or keep riding the S train?

 

[James48843]

C fund is now officially 17% off it's October 9th high.

October 9th it was at 17.57

Today it's at 14.57.

Quite a hit, and we're not done yet.

 

[Birchtree]

I'd be happy to continue buying in the $14 range for the next three years, but I don't have that much time left. I sure do like these prices - 55 shares every two weeks is wonderful.

 

[cadet220]

I'M thinking since the market is down nearly 20% to move everything into C fund and buy cheap. Since I have 25-30 years. Is this a good idea????

 

[Guest2]

I'M thinking since the market is down nearly 20% to move everything into C fund and buy cheap. Since I have 25-30 years. Is this a good idea????

As of yesterday, the (C) Fund was down 13.74% YTD

 

[JTH]

I'M thinking since the market is down nearly 20% to move everything into C fund and buy cheap. Since I have 25-30 years. Is this a good idea????

That would be since Oct 07's peak...

 

[Guest2]

That would be since Oct 07's peak...

I'm constantly learning from those of better understanding.
Thanks my friend, I was wondering why so many thought we
were in the -20% area. Now I understand !

 

[USGubmintGenEnginer]

I also weighted heavily the C fund (70%) when reentering on the 3rd. My reasoning is that the smaller caps would likely have a rougher time as a group over the next few months with financing, etc. Now I am beginning to question this as S fund is up 2.5% while C fund is only up .855%. That said, I don't think the energy sector will be quite the drag on the C fund over the next few weeks if the market can gather some upside momentum. I'd expect relative performance to smoothe out quite a bit.

USGGE

I'M thinking since the market is down nearly 20% to move everything into C fund and buy cheap. Since I have 25-30 years. Is this a good idea????

 

[James48843]

Things looking ugly this morning-

Mon 8:10am ET- Briefing.com
S&P futures vs fair value: -40.90.
Nasdaq futures vs fair value: -45.80.

I heard a guy talking this morning, saying if you are already in, you might as well stay, because selling during a panic fall is about the worst thing you can do.

Remind me to mention that to the Thrift Board, who only allow a move TO the G fund, and not back, after the second move. Those who move to "G" today, and it's there second move, would lock in whatever downside there is today.

I'm in, and I'm basically stuck, so I'll roll with the punches today.

 

[malyla]

G and C are almost equal. The world has flipped. G 12.6305 C 12.6897


What next. Pod people (Palin), Evil Jedi (Paulson, Bernakie (sp?)), Good Jedi (The House Reps?????totally unexpected), hurricanes causing gas shortages in the SouthEast(why not stock pile the formulated gas????They knew the hurricanes were coming)? It is the............................................. beginning......................................................... of a true correction that will fix 10 years of greed and unregulated financial markets and lead to 6 years (after 2012) of healthy growth. GL everyone (we ARE going to need it). Just too much pressure.

This may be the death-knell of neo-con idealogy(we can only hope)!