burrocrat's Account Talk

[burrocrat]

some generalities (format is total tracker v. total ark)

double digit winners: 0.1% / 0.0%. yay tracker.
double digit losers 2.3% / 7.7%. yay tracker.
better than g fund 19.2% / 30.8% yay ark.
worse than g fund 73.2% / 69.2% yay ark.
better than s fund: 70.1% / 69.2% yay tracker.
worse than s fund: 21.8% / 30.8% yay tracker.

that's like 2/3 random folks are doing better than those who think about it and try. kinda discouraging if you stop to think about it, but who has time to stop and think about it, what with all this volatility going on and stuff?

some random observations then...

penguin is a lucky bastard.
buy and hold (elephant, lion, squirrel) produces varying results.
cougar pretends buy and hold but adjusts allocations to match variance of contributions and wants to trade so bad so that's not really b&h, is it?
some really nice folks are getting their asses kicked.
some other really nice folks have no balls and are going nowhere.
one arker has managed to find their own personal venezualan communist wealth redistribution strategery in a sea of the largest capitalist opportunity in history of the world, i swear it will be different this time.

burro is a smart ass.

 

[burrocrat]

omg, i just realized my undershorts have panels! not like gussets i don't need those. like on my hips there are two pieces that connect to the rear part which seems to be contoured to perfectly fit my uhh, rear. in the front it is like 2 lawyers put together for what can only be described as the sole purpose of cradling and protecting me. if i had know they could sew like this, i would've green card married a gal from bangladesh a long time ago.

 

[Boghie]

Just noticed The Donkey captured more denizens for the Ark. Welcome Bmneveu and Whipsaw. Just in time to get publicly whipsawed by the market:cheesy:.

Well, when I first looked around I thought I saw everyone shifting to the left - to safety. I was going to start hollering that if everyone rambles over to port the Ark will capsize. I think the watch spotted ContrarianJeff off the port bow just waiting for the traders to panic. We know you are out there O'Contrarian. I saw your name vanish from the rolls of the AutoTracker - and then re-appear. You can't shake Captain Ahab man, you just can't shake em. Oh well, so I thought everybody was going to the deep with this absolute crash of 4% or 5%. I, personally, am devastated. I have no confidence and will never recover. But, even as devastated as I am I will accidentally keep some assets in funds that make money during Santa Claus Rallies. What a rambling, shambling discussion, so back to it eh.

Well surprise, surprise, only JTH sauntered daintily over to port, leaned over, and puked. In fact, Burro and da'Bowl shucked everything and streaked to starboard. Burro ain't smilin' about it, but I will probably join him if the market absolutely collapses by another crushing point or so. Gotta be in to win. So here are the stats none of us understand:





Get your sticky pants on, this could be a bit of a ride but I don't think it is likely to be another 2008. As for me, I think I will test the waters at about 1880 to 1900 range. I will be watching some markers like JTH to see if he moves back to risk and then start over-weighting to risk and return...

Smile, it ain't so bad. Just think, you last contribution was made during an equity sale. Yummy...

 

[burrocrat]

layers, not lawyers. i hate lawyers.

 

[JTH]

Get your sticky pants on, this could be a bit of a ride but I don't think it is likely to be another 2008. As for me, I think I will test the waters at about 1880 to 1900 range. I will be watching some markers like JTH to see if he moves back to risk and then start over-weighting to risk and return...

Smile, it ain't so bad. Just think, you last contribution was made during an equity sale. Yummy...

Thanks friend, I do believe there will be a time to get back into the markets, I just don't believe that time is now. On the Daily chart, for all intensive purposes, the Head & Shoulders pattern has met its price objective. For now, we have major bottom support at 940 & 925, so I'll be watching to see if we can reach those levels. On the way back up, we have multiple bands of resistance, at this time I won't entertain an entry below 985.

View attachment 30586

 

[Whipsaw]

At -.56% I'm not as bad off as I thought; and we're near the bottom, maybe! Last buy was on sale big time

 

[konakathy]

omg, i just realized my undershorts have panels! not like gussets i don't need those. like on my hips there are two pieces that connect to the rear part which seems to be contoured to perfectly fit my uhh, rear. in the front it is like 2 lawyers put together for what can only be described as the sole purpose of cradling and protecting me. if i had know they could sew like this, i would've green card married a gal from bangladesh a long time ago.[/QUOTE


* nevermind they're something all together different than what I thought.

 

[burrocrat]

* nevermind they're something all together different than what I thought.

i went on a date like that one time. fortunately, i did not get arrested and that was before facebook and twitter so there are no surviving pictures.

 

[konakathy]

i went on a date like that one time. fortunately, i did not get arrested and that was before facebook and twitter so there are no surviving pictures.

lol! it was a picture of someone else. :toung:

 

[burrocrat]

i don't care who you are or where you come from, over the knee boots are always trouble. always. you will only make that mistake once, there's no two ways about it.

View attachment 30590

thanks for getting my pop up ads away from those feelupino gals.

 

[burrocrat]

i came across some rather disturbing stuff while searching the google for 'face' and 'bikini' (don't ask). apparently in china tanned skin is a sign of a poor farm worker who spends their days laboring outside so the wealthy will go to great lengths to protect a pale complexion.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...ches-of-china-to-pages-of-a-fashion-magazine/

View attachment 30596

also, a related link on my research journey revealed this i don't even know what to call it.

View attachment 30597

 

[burrocrat]

file this one under 'truth is stranger than fiction'.

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2014/10/1...ls-into-race-for-governor.html?referrer=&_r=0

apparently the first lady of the night in waiting (oregon's gov kitzhaber's fiancee) sold her marital relations to an etheopian immigrunt for five grand for a green card way back when. she is coming up on her 4th such contract human contract and he is on multiples too. does that make her a whore? and for reals, his name is john. you can't make this stuff up.

i wonder if she is an ebola carrier? at a minimum john is going to need some powerful antibiotics. did oregon ever get their 100's of millions of federally subsidized free healthcare dollars website to work? things that make you go hmmm.

 

[konakathy]

also, a related link on my research journey revealed this i don't even know what to call it.

View attachment 30597

OMG! That is freaky ! He could get a part on the tv show 'American Horror Story: Freak Show' ..... creepy.

 

[jpcavin]

OMG! That is freaky ! He could get a part on the tv show 'American Horror Story: Freak Show' ..... creepy.

That has to be photoshopped.

 

[konakathy]

That has to be photoshopped.

It looks like it. Still creepy.

 

[Boghie]

JTH, maybe I'll wait a bit:worried:

Thanks friend, I do believe there will be a time to get back into the markets, I just don't believe that time is now. On the Daily chart, for all intensive purposes, the Head & Shoulders pattern has met its price objective. For now, we have major bottom support at 940 & 925, so I'll be watching to see if we can reach those levels. On the way back up, we have multiple bands of resistance, at this time I won't entertain an entry below 985.

View attachment 30586

 

[Boghie]

JTH, maybe I'll wait a bit:worried:

Looking at it - since I finally figured out you are using the 'S Fund' - shows we are on the same wavelength. I will migrate some G/F (mostly F) to C/S/I if we fall about 2% or so. My goal will be to have more assets invested for an upswing than I had invested during the stagnant and declining period. Since I might miss, I will have a bailout plan for around 10% - 12% where I will quickly reduce my equity holdings. A decline through 10% implies a potential bear market (the slope will tell) and I don't want to take part in that. But, if things turn around between the 7% mark and somewhere north of the 12% mark than I will move more assets into equities. That will imply a standard correction and rebound - which I definitely do want to take part in...

My crystal ball is lame so I trust to prudence.

 

[Boghie]

Uh, that slope is starting to look like a Diamond Run...

I'm at the -7% mark I said I was going to start reinvesting. Yowser... Gotta review my buy in move. Hate it, but...

 

[burrocrat]

Uh, that slope is starting to look like a Diamond Run...

I'm at the -7% mark I said I was going to start reinvesting. Yowser... Gotta review my buy in move. Hate it, but...

nooooo! don't bail now! we're in this together, how bad can it get? c'mon cuz, it'll be fun! rides like this only come around a couple times a year, wheeee!

 

[Boghie]

I looked at JTH's chart site because it is hard to deal with the 'S Fund'. I think I like StockCharts.com - Simply the Web's Best Financial Charts.

Here are our four bond/equity funds in a 'Performance Chart'. All the equity funds are starting to look awfully correlated. Bond (F) holdings are helping a bit, but it would be nice to have a little help from Europe and Japan, eh...