burrocrat's Account Talk

[MrBowl]

-1.5-2% day one, -0.5%. day two, roller coaster pit of the stomach drop day 3 at -2% right out of the gate on the open. heavy 3 day down pressure.

if one sees that then one pushes all their chips in before noon on day 3. dream profit scenario, no way to lose. it will bounce back on days 4 and 5 for a quick 2-4% gain. if it doesn't bounce right back at least you missed out on the first 5% haircut. if it never bounces back then it don't matter, the digital money flying through the ether at light trading speed was worthless to begin with. get your rocks and sticks and mud huts here.

that is the market action i look for. that cycle. rarely does it happen over such a great range 6%. it does happen frequently within a tighter range say 1-2.5%. that is your money maker right there, if it flashes and you see it then don't hesitate or overthink, just hit it. then gtf out, back to the bunker, count and stack your new supply of mre's or cans of alpo, clean your trading guns. you only get to shoot them once a month. be ready.

that is my entire trading strategery in a nutshell. i depend on a range of tsp investor's sentiment and allocation to inform me when a good wave might be coming. if you've spent time on a boat or the flat bare prairie then you know the wind always changes just before a storm hits. that is what you watch for.

When this happens, and so far you are spot on, I try to get out at the topping pattern (easier said than done) and be out during the cascade. When we finally see two up days in a row in the S&P I consider that the dead cat bounce, wait two more days, then jump in. Sometimes we see lower lows after the dead cat bounce and the lower buy in day comes 1-3 days later. Since we are limited on IFTs I wait to buy in. Of course, the market doesn't like to make it so easy too often so this strategy isnt optimal sometimes.

 

[Whipsaw]

are these considered spectator shoes? the tie is there but wrong shirt and no shorts. am i close? i like tequila.

I was trying to describe my trading style, which is about that in a Hawaiian shirt! Too funny! Spectator Shoes, for the record:

 

[burrocrat]

oh. i don't have any shoes like that. and even if i did i wouldn't tell anyone.

the 3 day cycle i was looking for is closed with the positive finish today, whether up or down tomorrow, it is now a different scenario. the earliest move now could be friday, but i am on travel after then for a bit with no chance mon thru wed that would make a friday buyin comfortable to hold until next thursday. you can count me out right here.

i hope it crashes hard now. let 'er rip tater chip. bring down the house. i'll look at a move maybe a week from now at the earlyist.

 

[burrocrat]

ark update: i was looking for to jam all my chips in but i didn't like the flop. you can't control what cards come out of the deck (well you can if you're good but if you get caught you're dead), you can only control your action. there's only 3 things to do when it's your turn: check, bet, or fold.

alevin/mouse, 5, 0.47%, g, check.
amoeba/hare, 5, 1.77%, g, check.
birchtree/elephant, 5, 3.3y%, mix, bet.
bmnevue/penguin, 4, 10.34%, g, check
boghie/lion, 4, 4.41%, mix, check.
burrocrat/donkey, 1, 6.05%, g, fold, next time.
fwm/racoon, 10, (-6.79%), s, bet.
jonfresno/kangarooo, 10, 1.99%, s, bet.
jpcavin/cougar, 5, 6.01%, mix, check.
jth/wolf, 10, 7.71%, s, bet.
mrbowl/owl, 5, 2.02%, g, fold.
pessoptimist/squirrel, 5, 5.82%, mix, check
whipsaw/hawk, 3, 2.71%, g, check.

el vira = 72-65 = 7/65 = 11%.

i got skeered and ran away, screaming like a girl. nothing against girls. i just didn't see the odds working out in my favor so i bet on the ravens instead. hell yeah, ship it.

 

[burrocrat]

ixnay arkay update, eh?

travel and a hectic schedule behind, travel and a hectic schedule ahead. homecoming week for an important youngster and planned family time this weekend free time. i'm not going to run the numbers this week, gonna revert to gut feel. off the top of my head the ark is still bullish, although slightly less so than last week, roughly 8%. bullish means bearish for the contarion play so i'm still out market, out of pocket for another week, and still looking for the drop and pop setup before i push all my chips in.

it looks like i could be waiting awhile.

but tread lightly folks, when you hear the ice crack it's too late you're going for a swim.

 

[burrocrat]

ok, i figured it out. have you ever played that bored game 'you don't know jack'? You Don't Know Jack (video game series) - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

my problem is not that i don't know jack, i know jack well. my problem is i don't understand jack. or maybe that is jack's problem, who knows?

 

[Frixxxx]

I can't get that damn song out of my head, try to read the posts here and there's your tag line!

DAMN YOU!:cheesy:

 

[burrocrat]

are you sure it's not nicki minaj you can't get out of your head and the song just tags along?

 

[burrocrat]

i bought some new fancy undershorts and i can't believe how cool they are! it feels like somebody with really soft hands is cradling my package all day long. no more barn door troubles here. they make me feel irresistable! i wish i had figured this out sooner.

 

[Frixxxx]

are you sure it's not nicki minaj you can't get out of your head and the song just tags along?

Sorry b,

Not a Nicki fan per se. But Jessie J has that sultry R&B roar, whew!

And Ariana is too cute fo her own good!

 

[burrocrat]

i'm just glad they let me wear slacks to work because i think these shorts are made out of the same fabric as those lululemon yoga pants. they sure are comfortable though.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

i bought some new fancy undershorts and i can't believe how cool they are! it feels like somebody with really soft hands is cradling my package all day long. no more barn door troubles here. they make me feel irresistable! i wish i had figured this out sooner.

Ok Burro, You got my attention. What kind of fancy underpants are these?? Please doooo share! Whats the brand??? Now please don't tell me you don't know....

 

[jpcavin]

Donkey in LuluLemon yoga pants. Now there's a visual for you, Frixxxx!

 

[burrocrat]

Ok Burro, You got my attention. What kind of fancy underpants are these?? Please doooo share! Whats the brand??? Now please don't tell me you don't know....

adidas climalite althletic stretch boxer briefs. the reason the packaging is empty is because i'm wearing them. unfortunately, they don't make my belly look like that but who cares with all the other benefits they offer.

View attachment 30331

i'm going to get a pair of 'saxx' for if i get really fancy.

 

[konakathy]

Donkey in LuluLemon yoga pants. Now there's a visual for you, Frixxxx!

:laugh::laugh::laugh: I have have so many good one liners...

Donkey Yoga Pants | Donkey Sweatpants - CafePress

 

[ravensfan]

Ok Burro, You got my attention. What kind of fancy underpants are these?? Please doooo share! Whats the brand??? Now please don't tell me you don't know....

adidas climalite althletic stretch boxer briefs. the reason the packaging is empty is because i'm wearing them. unfortunately, they don't make my belly look like that but who cares with all the other benefits they offer.

Now Burro don't be giving my sweet Annie any ideas. You didn't mention a banana hammock did you?

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

adidas climalite althletic stretch boxer briefs. the reason the packaging is empty is because i'm wearing them. unfortunately, they don't make my belly look like that but who cares with all the other benefits they offer.

View attachment 30331

i'm going to get a pair of 'saxx' for if i get really fancy.

well now those do look comfortable... i can see how they would show your assets. As for "saxx" they look good too... Kinda like "mansilk". Check out mensunderwearstore.com ..Mansilk knit trunks!! That'll drive the women crazy!!!

 

[burrocrat]

well now those do look comfortable... i can see how they would show your assets. As for "saxx" they look good too... Kinda like "mansilk". Check out mensunderwearstore.com ..Mansilk knit trunks!! That'll drive the women crazy!!!

women are not that easy to keep happy dba. besides, if there is underwear that hug the family jewels this good, who needs a woman? the shorts are a lot cheaper to keep and don't complain when i stuff them in a duffle bag.

 

[burrocrat]

adidas climalite althletic stretch boxer briefs. the reason the packaging is empty is because i'm wearing them. unfortunately, they don't make my belly look like that but who cares with all the other benefits they offer.

Now Burro don't be giving my sweet Annie any ideas. You didn't mention a banana hammock did you?

i don't like bananas so i've never felt a need for hammock. on a related note, my grandma always said 'if you eat a banana a day, you'll live forever'. she died almost 10 years ago now.

 

[DreamboatAnnie]

adidas climalite althletic stretch boxer briefs. the reason the packaging is empty is because i'm wearing them. unfortunately, they don't make my belly look like that but who cares with all the other benefits they offer.

Now Burro don't be giving my sweet Annie any ideas. You didn't mention a banana hammock did you?

My dear Raven, I have a surprise for you, but don't worry ....you will like it!!! .