burrocrat
Well-known member
Re: burros-ark
burros-ark update: housekeeping. the burros-ark system finished the week at 0.69% month to date, a top performer so far, but the month is young. anytime you get 69 in a month is a good thing though so no looking back, just enjoy it. hawk made the comment that 'burro might have nailed it' (refering to the system's withdrawal i assume) so i just wanted to clear things up. it was burros-ark that nailed the timely exit, not burro. the ark system is an aggregate of 13 denizens' positioning bounced off market conditions and mashed through a magic number generator, and yes it is doing well at +3% on the year, already got march's gains locked in and hitting the 1% per month goal. but the ark system does not have the luxury of arbitrarily resting on its laurels, if the calculation comes out 'go long' then it goes long, no matter what i might want to do in my personal account. my burro trading account has remained in g fund out of fear all year and is getting kicked hard, languishing in no trade land waiting for opportunities and sentiment to collide while picking up bread crumbs. so for the record: burro = hot hit trades during volatility at my whim and liesure; burros-ark = system aggregated from arkers and follows the rules while only trading on the first day of any given week and holding that position until the weekly signal changes.
i live in the north central u.s. so this time of year is particularly special for me after the long harsh winter, again. i'm sure mother nature is not done yet and will come around and kick on us a few more times, but this week i heard the birds singing. and it's time to spring forward, time for change. i think they were swallows, usually the first to come out. i don't get to see the terns very often anymore as i am far from the coast. some vultures have been picking apart the market for good gains this year, while my personal account is just dead meat. but i swooped in on friday's drop and hope to grab a morsel or two here in the next few days then fly right back out. it's what i do. several arkers cut their losses, swallowed their pride, and took off all out of the market this week. very interesting set of developments
burros-ark: 2, 3.09%, 0, <, contrarian. the system got out at cob last monday based on a contrarian reaction to percieved unsupported bullishness. it appears to have been a timely good move. but every week is a new chance to fly or die. so far its been flappin its wings pretty good though.
mouse: 7, 1.41%, 35, >, tern
turtle: 1, -0.70%, 0, <, swallow
elephant: 5, 4.14%, 100, *, vulture
penguin: 5, 0.31%, 0, *, carrion
lion: 5, 1.91%, 75, *, tern
donkey: 8, 0.34%, 100, >, carrion
racoon: 7, 2.28%, 100, *, vulture
kangaroo: 5, 1.46%, 100, *, vulture
cougar: 1, 3.21%, 0, <, swallow
wolf: 1, 2.67%, 0, <, swallow
owl: 7, 1.95%, 100, *, vulture
squrrel: 5, 0.76%, 60, *, tern
hawk: 1, 3.74%, 0, <, swallow
el vira = 58-65 = -7/65 = -11%. buy. that is a switch. the system will execute a buy effective close of business monday. arkers are net long equities
only 43%.
big bearishness flip from sentiment last week with just a minor market hiccup for a trigger. that must mean sentiment is still captaining the ship. high levels of pessimism as evidenced by reallocation and underweighted in stocks? contrarion buy signal, everytime. buy. buckle up buttercups, this could be another interesting week in the markets.
burros-ark update: housekeeping. the burros-ark system finished the week at 0.69% month to date, a top performer so far, but the month is young. anytime you get 69 in a month is a good thing though so no looking back, just enjoy it. hawk made the comment that 'burro might have nailed it' (refering to the system's withdrawal i assume) so i just wanted to clear things up. it was burros-ark that nailed the timely exit, not burro. the ark system is an aggregate of 13 denizens' positioning bounced off market conditions and mashed through a magic number generator, and yes it is doing well at +3% on the year, already got march's gains locked in and hitting the 1% per month goal. but the ark system does not have the luxury of arbitrarily resting on its laurels, if the calculation comes out 'go long' then it goes long, no matter what i might want to do in my personal account. my burro trading account has remained in g fund out of fear all year and is getting kicked hard, languishing in no trade land waiting for opportunities and sentiment to collide while picking up bread crumbs. so for the record: burro = hot hit trades during volatility at my whim and liesure; burros-ark = system aggregated from arkers and follows the rules while only trading on the first day of any given week and holding that position until the weekly signal changes.
i live in the north central u.s. so this time of year is particularly special for me after the long harsh winter, again. i'm sure mother nature is not done yet and will come around and kick on us a few more times, but this week i heard the birds singing. and it's time to spring forward, time for change. i think they were swallows, usually the first to come out. i don't get to see the terns very often anymore as i am far from the coast. some vultures have been picking apart the market for good gains this year, while my personal account is just dead meat. but i swooped in on friday's drop and hope to grab a morsel or two here in the next few days then fly right back out. it's what i do. several arkers cut their losses, swallowed their pride, and took off all out of the market this week. very interesting set of developments
burros-ark: 2, 3.09%, 0, <, contrarian. the system got out at cob last monday based on a contrarian reaction to percieved unsupported bullishness. it appears to have been a timely good move. but every week is a new chance to fly or die. so far its been flappin its wings pretty good though.
mouse: 7, 1.41%, 35, >, tern
turtle: 1, -0.70%, 0, <, swallow
elephant: 5, 4.14%, 100, *, vulture
penguin: 5, 0.31%, 0, *, carrion
lion: 5, 1.91%, 75, *, tern
donkey: 8, 0.34%, 100, >, carrion
racoon: 7, 2.28%, 100, *, vulture
kangaroo: 5, 1.46%, 100, *, vulture
cougar: 1, 3.21%, 0, <, swallow
wolf: 1, 2.67%, 0, <, swallow
owl: 7, 1.95%, 100, *, vulture
squrrel: 5, 0.76%, 60, *, tern
hawk: 1, 3.74%, 0, <, swallow
el vira = 58-65 = -7/65 = -11%. buy. that is a switch. the system will execute a buy effective close of business monday. arkers are net long equities
only 43%.
big bearishness flip from sentiment last week with just a minor market hiccup for a trigger. that must mean sentiment is still captaining the ship. high levels of pessimism as evidenced by reallocation and underweighted in stocks? contrarion buy signal, everytime. buy. buckle up buttercups, this could be another interesting week in the markets.
As it is, I am waiting for another shoe to drop..I just don't know what it is. I may miss out on some rebound but I don't think the damage is done yet. As always, I am probably wrong, but I am playing this time frame with a lot of caution.
