burrocrat's Account Talk

Re: burros-ark

burros-ark update: oohhhh, lots of folks gettin' some market love! don't fight the trend. that was a good week for most, hung tough and scored. many are in the neighborhood of 2-3% gains only a month and a half into the year. there's nothing like a little extra caching in the account to say happy valentine's day and put a spring in your step. this year is going to be a fun ride, this one. wheeee!


mouse: 7, 1.74%, 30, *, lover
turtle: 6, (0.25%), 11, <, fighter
elephant: 5, 3.85%, 100, *, lover
penguin: 2, 0.22%, 0, <, fighter
lion: 5, 2.35%, 75, *, lover
donkey: 4, 0.24%, 0, *, fighter
racoon: 7, 2.73%, 100, *, lover
kangaroo: 6, 2.32%, 50, *, lover
cougar: 5, 3.10%, 100, *, love
wolf: 2, 2.82%, 0, <, fighter
owl: 3, 2.74%, 0, <, fighter
squrrel: 5, 1.41%, 60, lover
hawk: 6, 2.86%, 100, *, lover

el vira = 63-65 = -2/65 = -3%. sell. that is a switch. break break break. the system will execute a sell effective close of business tuesday. arkers are net long only 48%, slightly more out than in.

of note: two heavies bailed. wolf took profits and is looking for a score now in the f fund. and penguin locked his stash down too. generally i have found that is something to pay attention to. also, it is nice to see elephant's do nothing strategery finally do something. and mouse is in the house kickin' it with the trades and partial allocation new leaf.

good luck and thanks for playing, happy trading all.
 
Re: burros-ark

Wonder if my upcoming move would change those calculations. I got a signal change late last week also, deciding what to do about it and how much to do about it. Will post my decision in the appropriate thread. That change will be effective COB Tuesday.
 
Re: burros-ark

i am happy the ark system is out to g fund positive 2.59% ytd and with one trade left for february should the signal flip. it got it's 1% per month goal and is in safety. my personal burro account has been g fund all year, but i smell rear and risk developing and am waiting for a 3-5% off sale sometime in the next week or two.
 
Re: burros-ark

burros-ark update: well, we got some folks out there slinging chips around like larry flynt at a pool party, and others just holed up tight as a church lady. definately some gains out there to be made and some arkers are nailing it down good. system is buy, personal account is hold g, i'm just not feeling it this year, yet. you never know just what might knock on your door, but it's always a treat.

mouse: 6, 1.85%, 15, <, swinger
turtle: 8, 0.42%, 50, >, swinger
elephant: 5, 5.69%, 100, *, girl scout
penguin: 3, 0.25%, 0, *, girl scout
lion: 5, 3.15%, 75, *, girl scout
donkey: 5, 0.27%, 0, *, girl scout
racoon: 2, 3.63%, 0, <, swinger
kangaroo: 5, 3.79%, 50, *, girl scout
cougar: 5, 3.99%, 100, *, cookie
wolf: 3, 2.45%, 0, *, girl scout
owl: 8, 3.36%, 100, >, swinger
squrrel: 5, 1.86%, 60, girl scout
hawk: 6, 3.79%, 100, *, girl scout

el vira = 66-65 = 1/65 = 2%. buy. that is a switch. break break break. the system will execute a buy effective close of business monday. arkers are net long exactly 50%. very reluctant buy, but it is what it is.
 
Re: burros-ark

if i ever find myself hungry in taiwan, i am going to eat here... chocolate soft-serve ice cream in a toilet bowl? brilliant! uhhh, yeah, i'll have the #2.

Modern Toilet Restaurant - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The chairs are actual unworking toilets, dishes are served on plastic miniature toilet bowls, and drinks in miniature urinals.[2] Owner Wang Tzi-Wei opened Modern Toilet after the success of his ice cream shop that sold swirls of ice cream served in mini toilets.
 
Re: burros-ark

burros-ark update: this is an unusual condition in the market right now, still water. despite political and world events that should be draining the market, and economic news that should be floating all boats, we are just sitting here at that calm quiet moment when nothing moves, neither here nor there. which way will the tide turn? a couple of arkers are in a defensive position expecting momentum to ebb, about half are content to float along in their allocation wherever the slack water may lead, but several dove headlong into the market this week as if expecting a rushing flood. i have a feeling this could be an exciting week, one way or the other.

burros-ark: 8, 2.37%, 100, >, flood. i haven't been tracking the system's activity and performance at the end of each week so it occurs to me i should start. last week was a buy on monday (all trades are executed at cob on the first trading day of the week).

mouse: 5, 1.95%, 15, <, slack
turtle: 9, 0.69%, 88, >, flood (good number)
elephant: 5, 6.02%, 100, *, slack
penguin: 4, 0.28%, 0, *, ebb
lion: 5, 3.15%, 75, *, slack
donkey: 5, 0.31%, 0, *, ebb
racoon: 9, 3.97%, 100, >, flood
kangaroo: 5, 2.97%, 100, >, flood
cougar: 5, 3.70%, 100, *, slack
wolf: 8, 2.71%, 0, >, flood
owl: 8, 3.03%, 100, *, slack
squrrel: 5, 1.72%, 60, slack
hawk: 7, 3.49%, 100, *, slack

el vira = 83-65 = 18/65 = 28%. whoa! sell. that is a switch. the system will execute a sell effective close of business monday. arkers are net long equities 72%.

big bullishness from last week with no apparent event trigger. that must mean sentiment is captaining the ship. high levels of optimism as evidenced by reallocation and overweighted in stocks? contrarion sell signal, everytime. sell. buckle up buttercups, the sea is starting to shift.
 
Re: burros-ark

Well Ark Denizens...

Only the Penguin ran for serious cover. I am watching Gotham - which is a rather good show by the way - and in the most recent episodes The Penguin is also running for cover. Gotta ask. Since I have never seen our Penguin in the same room as Gotham's Penguin are they the same guy? Just asking...

So, both Penguins went full burka. It must be nice and warm in there. The mouse is showing a little leg. But, then again, mice have little legs so it kinda makes sense. Kangaroo and the Racoon kinda spread out their thong into a more flush T-Back (I am very experienced in this kind of thing. I am very observant, you see). The Lion (me!!!) and the lovely Cougar just kinda moved their strings around to get a better tan.

Then we get to our turtle. A turtle in a thong. I can't see that lasting too long. That is a very odd visual. My guess is that we have a very nervous turtle who will quickly hike up his burka. That burka is waiting around his ankles. One look by someone and up it goes. Never happened. Move along folks, nothing to see here.

Here are the annual returns. 2015 is now multiplied by 6 because we have just completed 2 months:

ArkAnalysis_20150228_Annual.jpg

Here are the Compound Annual Growth Rates and Risky Thingys...

ArkAnalysis_20150228_CAGR.jpg

As you can see, all the stats are rather different from last month. That is why day to day and even month to month stuff really doesn't matter. Long term financial management is where the nice money is. But, I think the short game has importance as well. Our House Mouse helped herself quite a bit by stepping her little legs to the side in January. She just watched us all flail about and get dunked in the Tijuana River. Not a nice place... So, now she can wear her burka with pride knowing that she is plus for the year...
 
Re: burros-ark

Weird - I haven't visited here in over a month or been able to trade (due to illness) and I come back to find out Burrocrat moved his money on the exact same day AGAIN as me. We both sat in G Fund same days. Quit looking at me!

donkey goin' in, too delicious this drop. why? ahhh hell, why not?

75c, 25s, cob today.
 
Re: burros-ark

Weird - I haven't visited here in over a month or been able to trade (due to illness) and I come back to find out Burrocrat moved his money on the exact same day AGAIN as me. We both sat in G Fund same days. Quit looking at me!

obviously one of us is fine company then, i don't care which one as long as we make money.
 
Re: burros-ark

so some of you may have noticed i've been changing my signature line a lot lately, kind of like a daily devotional. i got this book 'as a gentleman would say,' it's part of my retraining program. it has all these tips and examples and stuff to help you learn to be a gentleman.

at first i was discouraged when i started reading it, because obviously almost none of those things would occur to me to say. my first thought was 'what kind of limp, whipped, metro-sexual weenie reads this crap?', but i didn't say it so maybe there is hope for me.

there is actually some good stuff in there, but i disagree with today's lesson. when you learn a friend is going to be married, that is not what you say. you find a discreet moment and whisper where only she can hear 'do you want to slip out back and knock a quick one off for old time's sake before you're off the market for good'? that is perfectly acceptable, and actually beneficial for the potential union as it allows the bride to instantly check her commitment and demonstrate her dedication and readiness for marriage. you are also doing your buddy a favor and maybe saving him some trouble down the road.

if she says yes, then you take it and tell your buddy about it later, say something like 'bro, i don't think this marriage thing is a good idea, she is not the one for you, trust me on this one.' if she says no, then that is the perfect time to make small talk with her about the wedding details, brides love to talk about their wedding details. start with something light and casual like 'so who are going to be your bridesmaids, what kind of dresses have you picked out for them?' or something.

it may come across as crude, but it is a gentleman's responsibility to assist his friend make the proper decision in such weighty matters as marriage. after all, they wouldn't have told you about the engagement if at least one of them didn't want your input.

p.s. it may not be a good idea to invite me to weddings. but if i invite you to mine, be careful what you whisper to the bride, you try that move and she will kick your ass. it's called faith, and if you're going to get married you both better have lots of it. that is my advice for would-be-gentlemen.
 
Re: burros-ark

so some of you may have noticed i've been changing my signature line a lot lately, kind of like a daily devotional. i got this book 'as a gentleman would say,' it's part of my retraining program. it has all these tips and examples and stuff to help you learn to be a gentleman.

at first i was discouraged when i started reading it, because obviously almost none of those things would occur to me to say. my first thought was 'what kind of limp, whipped, metro-sexual weenie reads this crap?', but i didn't say it so maybe there is hope for me.

there is actually some good stuff in there, but i disagree with today's lesson. when you learn a friend is going to be married, that is not what you say. you find a discreet moment and whisper where only she can hear 'do you want to slip out back and knock a quick one off for old time's sake before you're off the market for good'? that is perfectly acceptable, and actually beneficial for the potential union as it allows the bride to instantly check her commitment and demonstrate her dedication and readiness for marriage. you are also doing your buddy a favor and maybe saving him some trouble down the road.

if she says yes, then you take it and tell your buddy about it later, say something like 'bro, i don't think this marriage thing is a good idea, she is not the one for you, trust me on this one.' if she says no, then that is the perfect time to make small talk with her about the wedding details, brides love to talk about their wedding details. start with something light and casual like 'so who are going to be your bridesmaids, what kind of dresses have you picked out for them?' or something.

it may come across as crude, but it is a gentleman's responsibility to assist his friend make the proper decision in such weighty matters as marriage. after all, they wouldn't have told you about the engagement if at least one of them didn't want your input.

p.s. it may not be a good idea to invite me to weddings. but if i invite you to mine, be careful what you whisper to the bride, you try that move and she will kick your ass. it's called faith, and if you're going to get married you both better have lots of it. that is my advice for would-be-gentlemen.

A gentleman doesn't question his friend's judgement on the happiest day of his life and he certainly doesn't disrespect the bride on her happiest day. :pat:
 
Re: burros-ark

Had a friend years ago, people told him she was a bad idea-for many reasons, not including the above. He didn't listen, of course, self-esteem and testosterone running riot for having "won" her at last. marriage lasted 6 months before he acknowledged the truth, which was that she had started slipping out with the wedding photographer almost as soon as the ink on the marriage certificate was dry. some won't listen, no matter what their friends say, until it's too late.
 
Re: burros-ark

When my daughter was a teenager she said to me one time, doesn't mom's vibrator intimidate you, I responded that I was a lazy lover. She now has her own toys and is going to be a mom sometime this month. I recently told her that when her daughter turns 14 that I was going to buy her her first nicotine vaporizer - well that didn't set to well. So I'm looking forward to being a Grandpa.
 
Re: burros-ark

When my daughter was a teenager she said to me one time, doesn't mom's vibrator intimidate you, I responded that I was a lazy lover. She now has her own toys and is going to be a mom sometime this month. I recently told her that when her daughter turns 14 that I was going to buy her her first nicotine vaporizer - well that didn't set to well. So I'm looking forward to being a Grandpa.

honesty is the best policy. might as well lay it all out on the table up front. it aids in critical decision making. it's only fair, to everyone involved.
 
Re: burros-ark

I recall back in my youth having so called "friends". In retrospect, they were complete losers, now days I'm selective about who I spend my time with, I call it "having standards" you have to believe you have self-worth by not letting others drag you down to their level.
 
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