Bulls Charge Ahead

The most notable point to make for this week's tracker charts is that the herd (total tracker) got much more bullish in the wake of recent weakness (and subsequent rally). Let's look at the charts:

Top 50 Fund Allocation.jpg
2012 Top 50 Trend.jpg

The Top 50 have been holding relatively steady for weeks now. Total stock exposure is 83.2%, although that number dipped almost 5% for the coming week.

Total Tracker Fund Allocation.jpg
2012 Total Tracker Trend.jpg

The herd ramped up their stock exposure by 9.02% to a total stock allocation of 61.98%. That's not overly bullish, but this the highest stock exposure for this group since December. And given our sentiment survey flashed a sell for the coming week (the first sell signal in 15 weeks) I'd expect to see some weakness sometime this week.

Sentiment continues to spike in various surveys depending on short term technical indicators, which is contributing to volatility.

The Seven Sentinels remain in an intermediate term sell condition.
 
After about 3 years of a daily blog I've had to curtail my activity. Largely it's due to increased work and travel requirements, but I really needed the break too. I may get more active again down the road, but we'll have to see.

Unregistered;bt5246 said:
Kind of hard to find you these days. What happened?
 
It's been a good run. I appreciate the insight and thoughts on the market. I was always hoping that you would promote the unrestricted trading with TSP, but you can't always get what you want. I will miss your daily blog. Have a good one coolhand.
 
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