Incomplete followthrough means continued climb monday 7/8/13
Well, the SPY fell between my first (1,626) and second revised (1,640) daily prediction - around1,630 - easily cresting the 50 and 20 EMAs. Same for small caps, I-fund has a ways to go, hovering below the 200 EMA, while one of the forward indicators I have been following (ITB), just broke BELOW the 200 EMA, largely based on the spector of rising interest rates.
A closer look into the favorable headline jobs number reveals alot of part-timers; accordingly, I think once sorted out, this correction (meaning less than 10% drop) is not over. However, short term momentum and the someone middling friday reaction should result in a moderate, but significant climb, monday 7/8/13 - but the rest of the week remains questionable - if not risky.
My prediction for the C-fund share price change monday is about 5 pts in the S&P, or about 0.30 in the share price. Anything north of 1,640 will cause a reverse deadcat - meaning sell off big on tuesday.
No huge economic numbers coming, but there will be digestion of the jobs and interest rate changes this week.