amoeba's Account Talk

[amoeba]

Re: IFTs to G must reduce ALL equity funds or IFT will be rejected

I learned nothing today. Made an earnings bet on HOV that paid off yet, unlike most earnings reactions, this one rose all day (I sold at 219; it continued to 240). This was single digits in 2020; has had great multiples and the stock price never caught back up and I lost interest. I know it's only money; I just wish I could hit one over the fence instead of these bunts. The opportunities are out there.

 

[amoeba]

Jeepers, that debate was a sheet throw from both sides, no more, no less. And nothing stuck. Hence not the stuff which could influence elections or markets. I expect further updrift, lessened volatility, for the rest of the week

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[amoeba]

Jeepers, that debate was a sheet throw from both sides, no more, no less. And nothing stuck. Hence not the stuff which could influence elections or markets. I expect further updrift, lessened volatility, for the rest of the week

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Well, markets/polls suggest otherwise on post debate day one. Will this get worse before it gets better, or vice versa?

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[amoeba]

Well, markets/polls suggest otherwise on post debate day one. Will this get worse before it gets better, or vice versa?

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Or maybe just get better, as I originally forecast. I thought I was wrong, but I was mistaken.

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[nasa1974]

Or maybe just get better, as I originally forecast. I thought I was wrong, but I was mistaken.

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It sure ended better than it started. At one point today I saw the VIX at plus 9.55. :1244:

 

[amoeba]

Theory - JDV's debate superiority was heard by enough undecideds in PA to shift the scale ahead of mail ballot casting. Markets are watching and may bid up now in anticipation.

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[amoeba]

Theory - JDV's debate superiority was heard by enough undecideds in PA to shift the scale ahead of mail ballot casting. Markets are watching and may bid up now in anticipation.

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And so it appears.

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[amoeba]

Very tight election getting tighter, middle east not exploding (yet); but this and more is "to be determined"; it isn't horseshoes - there will be a new president, and something will or won't happen across the pond.

Place your market bets accordingly.

 

[rangerray]

Trump just got a standing ovation at the introduction of his interview on Bloomberg moments ago. The audience was business people, at least that’s the presentation.


Scott Harrison
Senatobia, MS

 

[amoeba]

Did the Angry Bird act on Fox facilitate limited market volatility ahead of election day? Seems that way.

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[amoeba]

This is a very odd market; every day seems to be building on what seems to be a foregone conclusion of an election result. This threat to democracy/fascist/Nazi stuff is having the opposite effect on the target audience (swing state undecideds). Not that KH could have ever won - but at least an honorable campaign would have been appreciated. Given a possible landslide of sorts; will a quick election result cause the market to blow throw the roof, or sell?

 

[rangerray]

It’s a flip of the coin, but I feel that the cost of groceries, energy, etc is going to be the tipping point issue that seals the deal.

 

[WorkFE]

I bet on Horses, never elections.

 

[amoeba]

I'm staying out, these markets are bid up, due for another August size event. Sometimes between now and end of January is my guess.

 

[amoeba]

What a stinker of a day, and that swan dive at the finish, does not portend well for tomorrow.

 

[amoeba]

Deadcat bounce today. Staying out.

 

[amoeba]

I'm staying out, these markets are bid up, due for another August size event. Sometimes between now and end of January is my guess.

That was October 30.....I did get back in and managed a mere 2% of the mammoth S fund return for November, but as witnessed today....easy come easy go. I missed today's losses (100% G currently); still have an IFT to play with.

 

[amoeba]

aaii bull-bear spread is no-where near the low single digit early August and late November readings that preceded a bounce. This market is going lower. I know where to get a $10 haircut; I don't need a $10,000 haircut. Seeya end of next week.

 

[nasa1974]

aaii bull-bear spread is no-where near the low single digit early August and late November readings that preceded a bounce. This market is going lower. I know where to get a $10 haircut; I don't need a $10,000 haircut. Seeya end of next week.

I wish I could get a $10 haircut. Current barber $22. I'm out of TSP. Hoping my financial advisor knows what he is doing. Good luck.

 

[dannyboy]

At XMAS I'm all in. Yesterday was a bad day. Today looks like it was a great day. I'm still praying that on XMAS day, the Santa rally kicks off and continues through early January? I've been following markets since the '80's and that has been the usual routine?
D