alevin's account talk

[Guest2]

I just had the priviledge of signing a card for the husband and 15-year old daughter of our Law Enforcement officer who was killed on the job Saturday. Our law enforcement people go through the same fed LE training at FLETC as all other Fed LE's aside from FBI. She will be missed, 21 years in at age 51. Our LE commonly work alone, never knowing what they'll run into in the 100's of square miles they work in every day. If you are so inclined, send prayers their way.

A sad reality we face everyday. Buster said it all.

 

[justbizness45]

It's pretty well all been said but I will add my prayers also.

 

[alevin]

thanks guys. Us civvies in our agency work in the same outdoor environment and offices as our LEs, main difference is its their job to deal with the baddies and the maybe baddies. Ours is to spot the off-kilter situations and people early, get out of the way and let the LEs know so they can deal. Most days we agency civvies don't even have to think about what the LEs do for us out there, we just get to enjoy being out there, which is why we joined the agency in the first place, well one of the reasons. The LEs never get to let down their guard so completely even when its a beautiful day out there.

 

[alevin]

One last post on the subject then I'll move on. The SecAgriculture is having flags flown halfmast for our deceased officer from today through the 30th-at all USDA offices in the country. So if you see a flag at halfmast in USDA world the next several days, that's what it's about.

Still watching and waiting otherwise. Talked to a fairly skookum (that's NW talk for 'savvy') :nuts: coworker today in another office, he's been on the TSP sidelines since March, uncertain as many of us about benefits of the bailout.

 

[alevin]

http://www.financialsense.com/editorials/engdahl/2008/1001.html

and

http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/kasun072408.html

I just keep learning more economic history. We relearn the lessons when those who lived them before us have passed on. I read The Fourth Turning last winter-written by Strauss and Howe. It prepared me mentally and emotionally to some extent for what's happening now, although I don't think anyone could possibly be fully prepared for what may be still to come.

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[Steadygain]

Hi Dear One,
Wanted to let you know that Tom passed away over the weekend. I sincerely appreciate your thoughtful response. I am very grateful that the Lord was willing to take him home and this was his desire. Towards the end he needed a machine to move air in and out of his lungs. So PTL it's over!! Now he's not confined to the very large body he's had since I met him, he is totally free, and is experiencing a life that can only be understood by actively being there. Our limited imagination could never grasp the full beauty of what it's like to be totally FREE and totally COMPLETE.

Anyway, thank you once again. Have a wonderful day.

 

[alevin]

I just keep learning more economic history. We relearn the lessons when those who lived them before us have passed on. I read The Fourth Turning last winter-written by Strauss and Howe.
View attachment 4799View attachment 4800

The Fourth Turning-book, is well worth reading, helps put LONGterm perspective on current conditions-long cycles in history. It doesn't predict precise events, just lets us know from generational perspective how things may go-culturally, socially, economically, politically in broad terms.

 

[alevin]

I debated whether to put this up, but decided to let people see and think about it. I'm making absolutely no recommendations as to what people may do with the information, especially since I'm still undecided what I will do with it besides sit and stare at it awhile longer. The <20 level on the slowsto says one thing, the ADX says another. (ADX between 20-40=whipsaw territory and negative DM is peaking, of course, while DM+ is bottoming). Previous times the monthly Slowsto went below 20, the ADX and DM+ were both higher than the DM- except back in 74 and 02. Makes me go HMMM, I'll probably sit and stare quite awhile longer. :notrust:

View attachment 4822

 

[vectorman]

I debated whether to put this up, but decided to let people see and think about it. I'm making absolutely no recommendations as to what people may do with the information, especially since I'm still undecided what I will do with it besides sit and stare at it awhile longer. The <20 level on the slowsto says one thing, the ADX says another. (ADX between 20-40=whipsaw territory and negative DM is peaking, of course, while DM+ is bottoming). Previous times the monthly Slowsto went below 20, the ADX and DM+ were both higher than the DM- except back in 74 and 02. Makes me go HMMM, I'll probably sit and stare quite awhile longer. :notrust:

View attachment 4822

Stare at this for awhile. Dow 7500?:worried:

Banks and other financial institutions are the heart and life-blood of a 'Capitalist Nation'.
If they stop pumping, the whole nation goes into a coma.

View attachment 4823

 

[KevinD]

I debated whether to put this up, but decided to let people see and think about it. I'm making absolutely no recommendations as to what people may do with the information, especially since I'm still undecided what I will do with it besides sit and stare at it awhile longer.

Can you post a little higher resolution capture? Or a link?

 

[KevinD]

Stare at this for awhile. Dow 7500?:worried:

Banks and other financial institutions are the heart and life-blood of a 'Capitalist Nation'.
If they stop pumping, the whole nation goes into a coma.

View attachment 4823

The volume is what strikes me in this chart. It coincides with the computer and the internet.

I don't know what to make of it but it just stands out to this uneducated Federal Employee.

 

[alevin]

I debated whether to put this up, but decided to let people see and think about it. I'm making absolutely no recommendations as to what people may do with the information, especially since I'm still undecided what I will do with it besides sit and stare at it awhile longer. The <20 level on the slowsto says one thing, the ADX says another. (ADX between 20-40=whipsaw territory and negative DM is peaking, of course, while DM+ is bottoming). Previous times the monthly Slowsto went below 20, the ADX and DM+ were both higher than the DM- except back in 74 and 02. Makes me go HMMM, I'll probably sit and stare quite awhile longer. :notrust:

View attachment 4822

I do a save image from BigCharts to home and then upload from there. The upload images are restricted on # pixels and dimensions. I know other people manage to post bigger snapshots so it can be done, I just don't know how myself. Anyone help? BigCharts link is below, but you'll have to do your own settings for the Advanced chart option-Time Frame all data, lower indicators=DMI and Slow Stochastics, frequency monthly.

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/advchart/frames/frames.asp?symb=spx

 

[KevinD]

Heres how it's done.

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/faq.php?faq=vb3_reading_posting#faq_vb3_attachments

You can host the images for free here.

http://imageshack.us/

http://www.flickr.com/

http://xs.to/

And also TSPtalk has an "album" for members where you can host pics.

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/faq.php?faq=vb3_user_profile#faq_vb3_albums

Sorry about the thread jack. Back to the financial crisis...

 

[alevin]

Heres how it's done.

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/faq.php?faq=vb3_reading_posting#faq_vb3_attachments

You can host the images for free here.

http://imageshack.us/

http://www.flickr.com/

http://xs.to/

And also TSPtalk has an "album" for members where you can host pics.

http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/faq.php?faq=vb3_user_profile#faq_vb3_albums

Sorry about the thread jack. Back to the financial crisis...

Not a thread jack, no need to apologise. Howsomever, I do know how to post attachments and even create an album. THAT is not the problem.

Problem is the images are too wide and/or too high pixelwise, files get too big pixelwise when I try to show prices plus SloSto and ADX charts as a bigger image set than what I posted. Only way to show all 3 sets of data same time so you can see the comparison/contrast in pattern, is if I use the Moderate-size of chart in BigCharts. If I use Large or Big-sized formatted charts of what I'm trying to show, the files too big, the MB won't let me post them that size, so the mystery continues of how other people manage to post full-page charts. I give up for now.

 

[KevinD]

Here. I'll give it a shot. This is fun to me.

http://www.possumholler.net/alevina.jpg

 

[Birchtree]

I suspect the monthly SPX will place a bottoms above bottoms foundation or formation - and off we go into the light blue yonder.

 

[alevin]

Ohhhkay Kevin, I thank you, and now could you please explain how you got the pixel density down? My version with those dimensions was 38+ KB, but GIF attachment only allows for 22KB, max allowable pixel height is 280, my version that size was 665 pixels, etc. How did you DO that? Even in image editor I couldn't get the pixel size down. :embarrest:

 

[alevin]

I suspect the monthly SPX will place a bottoms above bottoms foundation or formation - and off we go into the light blue yonder.

Think I'll wait til the blue DM+ pops back up over the brown DM- and the ADX drops under the DM+ but continues to rise, so far waiting for it (the daily ADX) has saved my butt lately (no resemblance to Busters' ,not at all :nuts, as well as my bacon, now that I'vestarted really understanding the ADX and respecting what its been telling me.

I don't doubt that we are very close to heading back up, based on the monthly RSI, I just need the ADX to hold my hand and give me that little extra reassurance before I move back in.

 

[KevinD]

I'm using a version of ACDSee that came with a cheap Pentax digital camera I got a long time ago.

Hit "PrtScn" key on keyboard and open Paint. Edit>Paste>save as and give it a name. Open in ACDSee and crop. Then I upload to my web space (possumholler.net) and link it from there with the "insert image" button on the forum.

 

[alevin]

Forgive my continued confusion. The image limits for a gif file attachment are 29.2 KB. I copied your version of the chart and saved it to my harddrive as a gif. It says its 750x565 and 86.9KB now.

How big was the file after you edited it and before you uploaded it,and what were its dimensions heightxwidth in pixels????

I can't figure out how you uploaded it, according to the rules it should have shrunk to a 22KB file that's only 620x280 pixel size or the MB was supposed to reject it and keep you from posting it. But its bigger than the rules allow. How's that work? I truly don't get it. A step is missing in the explanation-gotta be.