alevin's account talk

Nate is one of the premier bloggers out there, IMO. His latest really scares the daylights out of me, makes me want to crawl in a hole somewhere, but there's no good place to hide-at least in this country. Not economically. Deflationary spiral dead ahead, despite of/because of... all the stupidity in high places. I have 2 guys bidding right now on installing heatpumps in my home this fall, I'm about that scared to turn loose of the money and commit to one of them, since it will severely deplete the cash cushion I've been rebuilding since paying down my house last year. Roofing/insulation yet to come between now and next year-not willing to go into debt to get it done, will the cash be available when I need it, even if I accumulate enough? Bank holiday rumors are spreading.

sure glad I'm working at becoming better food grower this year, before I really have to get good at it.

http://economicedge.blogspot.com/2009/08/week-in-charts-buckle-heck-up.html
 
His latest really scares the daylights out of me, makes me want to crawl in a hole somewhere, but there's no good place to hide-at least in this country.

Nor is there any good place to hide outside of this country.

Alevie - my sweet, wonderful friend ;)

It is a harsh - cold - uncaring - and insensitive world we live in and Money has pretty much dominated everything. Power and Control or Control and Power - one Nation against the other and everyone is determined to get whatever they can. Every industry or company is out to make a profit and it makes absolutely no difference if their products are damaging to people and the Planet. The Systems have become increasingly powerful and there is no way around it. REALITY is shocking - especially when it hits you in the face like a baseball bat.

But fear not my friend - for we know who is really in charge and essentially everything we know is just an illusion. But this is not the end; we will actually pull out of this eventually and things will return to normal. BUT WHAT IS NORMAL??? Normal is living and feeling like you are strong and growing in strength and stability - when in fact all the money is make believe - and the country is more and more a slave to China.

The Land of the Free and the Home of the Brave and the integrity and strength and Honor that started it all - are turned into the lazy and uncaring. The hard working and robust individuals were replaced with a society that was driven to spend and spend - to push the economy until the debt is too great to spend anymore. When that became 'the norm' and the values crumbled then it was too late.

Not economically. Deflationary spiral dead ahead, despite of/because of... all the stupidity in high places.

The people at the high places are representative of the society and systems that brought them to their positions. That's why it really makes no difference if they are 'Donkeys' or 'Elephants' or whatever because the Wheels spinning in place remain unchanged.

The stupidity - my incredibly insightful and markedly perceptive friend - stems from the way we regard one another; the huge divisons between us - the tendency to let 'ignornance' win out over 'understanding' and of course you know I could go on and on

I have 2 guys bidding right now on installing heatpumps in my home this fall, I'm about that scared to turn loose of the money and commit to one of them, since it will severely deplete the cash cushion I've been rebuilding since paying down my house last year.

Captial Preservation is the KEY to everything - whether it is by making progressive gains or simply avoid losses and building savings. If you ever need help send me a PM.

Roofing/insulation yet to come between now and next year-not willing to go into debt to get it done, will the cash be available when I need it, even if I accumulate enough? Bank holiday rumors are spreading.

The 'tought times' have only hit the excess fat up to this point. So companies and industries have shaved off the people they don't need to get to the bare bones.

Now it's time to hit the ones who have the jobs. Raise taxes across the board on everything possible. Make all things more expensive (both the essential and non - essentials )

sure glad I'm working at becoming better food grower this year, before I really have to get good at it.

http://economicedge.blogspot.com/2009/08/week-in-charts-buckle-heck-up.html

If ever I met a person who 'WILL NOT FAIL' it is you!!

I'll follow your example and reduce my 'risk'

Thank you !!
 
Steady, you're one in a mill. The cash will be in the bank, so long as the banks don't crash FDIC (which is already borrowing funds from treasury to cover Colonial as of last Friday-and certain parties are requesting the fed budget cap be lifted to cover foreseeable developments). thing is, if universal bank holiday is declared-indefinite closures, nobody will be able to get their money OUT of the bank (see Argentina). Or as our past history suggests from S&L days, we will only be allowed to withdraw x amount from our accounts per month/per week-for an unknown amount of time. Imagine a big home remodel/mtc/repair bill coming due but you can't pay the whole amount cash as you had planned-because .gov has declared you can't take that much $ out of your account at any one time.

I paid little attention to the S&L crisis in the day, so I didn't know they limited withdrawals for a period of time. I didn't have any accounts at S&L's so their crisis didn't affect me. If banks shutter-in, that will affect far more people today. Sure I could get a loan from existing HELOC before that happens, but what if .gov won't allow payment of the monthly note because it's a bigger withdrawal than allowed from checking account? Or make the monthly note then can't withdraw enough additional to meet monthly utility/food/gas etc. bills? Even tho the checkbook is balanced and says the necessary funds are sitting there? Just can't use them due to bank holiday? that would affect most everyone everywhere immediately whether they are still getting a paycheck or not.

The main strategy I've come up with to deal with that scenario, is to diversify checking accounts among several institutions all 4- or 5-star safety ratings per Bankrate.com. Credit Union/regional bank/community bank. That way, I can withdraw the monthly limit from each of them and reduce risk of not being able to withdraw enough from any one of them. It might not succeed either, but it's a working theory I'm putting into play. :cool:
 
The only way 'we' could straighten things out is by letting them fully run their course and bring the world to the point of collapse.

Anything less - the global population would expect the typical 'bandaid approach'

At this point in time the stronger banks will swallow up the weaker ones. That is what has been traspiring since the bomb exploded. Here I mean the Financial Sector BOMB - not 9/11. Equal to that is more Government Control.

Shaddow Banking has to be addressed; Hedge Funding and the vast array of other problems that have pleged our world and made it hugely susceptable to attack and weakness. So everything you're seeing is simply part of the transition of those deemed 'acceptable' overtaking all the others.

There is nothing wrong with you safeguarding your money. It's rare I use 'cash' - I pretty much use the credit or debit card for everything and send a check for whatever is due.

If the 'collapse' you're fearing is to happen there is probably little anyone can do to prevent it or do anything about it. Somehow I think that was already projected through the 'Stress Tests' to the banks (as they called it).

I wish I could tell you everything is fine and you have nothing to worry about; but I have no idea how good (or bad) things really are. I simply know the bottomline truth:

I know not what the future holds, but I know who holds my future
 
Steady, when I say cash, I'm talking debit card and checkwriting too, not just cash in the wallet. The S&L bank holiday grandfathered checks already written to end of month the S&Ls went on holiday, then limited further funds withdrawals/month period.

And yes, I have to remind myself daily that I do know who holds tomorrow. Doesn't mean we won't share the hard times if they become universal. It does mean we will be given the strength and courage and wisdom needed to carry on in the face of hardship. we do the best we know how in any given day to deal with the challenges of the day and deal with the outcomes accordingly.
 
And yes, I have to remind myself daily that I do know who holds tomorrow. Doesn't mean we won't share the hard times if they become universal. It does mean we will be given the strength and courage and wisdom needed to carry on in the face of hardship. we do the best we know how in any given day to deal with the challenges of the day and deal with the outcomes accordingly.

Thank you so much !!!

This is one to come back to once in awhile.

I've been sharing this message with churches and my Sunday School Class for years. We have been sheltered for so long that none of us expect the 'Hard Times to befall us'. We (on the whole) think because we've been 'comfortable' throughout that it will inevitably continue as long as we live.

Very few in this country - at least in all the churches I've attended throughout the years - have ever had their faith tested. But you are so incredibly RIGHT - when the hardships become universal and spread across the board WHO WILL STAND?

It is this STRENGTH - COURAGE - WISDOM - that you have and will undoubted receive in even greater portions that sets us apart. Gives us a 'PEACE' when all around is dispair.

Thank you for this beautiful message. I'm way behind but couldn't resist sending 1 last message (for today).
 
I really did intend to hang onto the sticky pants long enough to see if the TD DeMark weekly 13-count sell signal combined with ADX/ATR signal would get us to 1042 before the real sell, just a weak-kneed chicklet I guess. The AGG short-to-longterm positive reading from SA this morning finally did me in, that and the Shanghai blowoff I read about/saw charts of this morning-I didn't know til then that Shanghai leads the turns, or at least has been lately. Guess I'll sulk on the sidelines if my original strategy plays out before end of month after all. :cheesy:

To console myself, I got the TD DeMark Indicators book today that I ordered from Bloomberg Press about a week ago. I've been wanting to learn more without actually signing up for his service. Homework! Love it!

The DeMark Indicators are the only thing I've found so far that are NOT trend-following but trend-predicting indicators that seem to work well for intermediate trends, but I knew there's more to it than what I've been able to pick up from a few articles and mb remarks here and there. I plan to get much much better at using them. :D
 
Hmmm ... haven't seen my 'pip squeak' little sister today

Just a drive by ! Hope all is well


When you're 6'6" - 230 - everyone's a pip squeak ;)
 
Hmm, I swing danced with a really nice guy 6'6 years ago. That was easy, slow dance not so much, his neck was a long ways away. :p :laugh:
 
Awww man. Just got word an agency employee from just over the hill (another unit) died today participating in a maryj grow eradication effort. I've been in this part of the world a long time, know a lot of people the other side of the hill, don't know who it is yet pending family notification, am wondering if someone I know. This sucks.
 
Awww man. Just got word an agency employee from just over the hill (another unit) died today participating in a maryj grow eradication effort. I've been in this part of the world a long time, know a lot of people the other side of the hill, don't know who it is yet pending family notification, am wondering if someone I know. This sucks.


Sorry Alevie - you're right ... it sucks big time :(

You'd be amazed how often I still think about the police officer who passed away and the ordeal the family had to deal with. You'd mentioned it a good while back and I've never followed through to ask but many times (even recently) I wonder how they are doing.

I don't know how to take your message here :confused: ... if it was a random heart attack and it happened by a fluke while he was out cutting down a bunch of hemp then that's one thing...

but if someone shot him down while he's doing his job :mad: then I'd be very mad - so send whoever to me for proper punishment.

You've got a great heart Alevie - PLEASE don't ever change
 
they used the word "fatality" which makes me think line of duty, no other details other than investigation team and CISD team ordered up. I am a member of the regional CISD team, last one I participated in was about 4 years ago.
 
they used the word "fatality" which makes me think line of duty, no other details other than investigation team and CISD team ordered up. I am a member of the regional CISD team, last one I participated in was about 4 years ago.

Thanks Alevie

Would really appreiate an update on the other situation if you know how they're doing

Good night my good friend.
 
Your're a good friend Steady, and all around good guy. I didn't know the downed officer personally from last year, just know people who knew her, in fact one of them (retired last year-I went to his party), was in the office shortly after we got the word today on this incident. I didn't talk to him, figured he had other things on his mind, like preparing to go to another funeral.

I work fairly closely with wife of the retired officer, I know she must be utterly thankful every day this past year that he made it to retirement alive after 20+ years as LEO.
 
Well, I'm grateful the employee wasn't murdered. A dead tree decided to fall on him while he was helping LEs get rid of maryj. Still waiting to hear who it was.
 
This is disturbing:
Firefighters get rude welcome home: (headline)

by Mike Ross
Tuesday, August 18, 2009

WASILLA, Alaska -- A group of elite firefighters got a disturbing welcome home Tuesday: while they were out protecting Alaskans from wildfires, they became crime victims as well.
They're called the Pioneer Peak Hotshots, a Type I crew that's usually right in the thick of things when major wildfires break out.
But when they returned after two weeks on the fire line near Fairbanks, they faced a man-made disaster. Vandals had broken into and completely trashed their headquarters while they were gone.
"They basically went through the entire room -- there were some state computers and state equipment in here and personal computers in the foreman's office," Norm McDonald, the fire management officer, said. "They're coming back from a fire for two days of R&R -- to come back to this is a little disheartening."
The thieves also went after the firefighters' 25 personal cars. Five were stolen, two others were damaged as the thieves tried to steal them, and the rest were broken into and vandalized.
"They broke the front windshield and broke the back windshield and stole some of my stuff, stole sunglasses, speakers and tools, paintball gun," firefighter Corey Gregory said.
It's not the homecoming David Frederickson and Daniel Skriloff expected after risking their lives fighting fires.
"You know, we work our tails off for the state, and it's just a bummer that my bros have to come home to this," Frederickson said.
"They'll get what's coming to them one day," Skriloff said. "Sooner or later karma catches up or something. Yeah, it's just bad."
The thieves also broke into the firefighters' lockers -- iPods and cameras were taken, and the thieves used fire axes to hack their way into an equipment room to steal expensive pumps and chainsaws.
The Pioneer Peak Hotshots believe the vandals broke into their headquarters sometime last weekend while they were still fighting a wildfire near Fairbanks, and state troopers are determined to find out who did this.
"I would like to think that there would be some kind of public outcry," AST spokesperson Megan Peters said. "Certainly these guys were up there working hard, dealing with the forest fires, protecting other Alaskan's property, protecting the resources of Alaska, and this is what they have to come home to."
The firefighters were supposed to be enjoying a break before returning to the fire line, but instead they'll be dealing with the headaches of insurance claims.

Troopers are asking for help finding the vehicles, which are described as:
  • A green 1997 Subaru with license plate EYZ384.
  • A white 1992 2500 Dodge Ram pickup with plate BATCO.
  • A gold 2002 Toyota Tundra pickup with plate EZB939.
  • A white 2002 Ford F-250 pickup.
  • A blue 2000 Ford F-250 pickup.
If you have information on the thefts you're asked to call Alaska State Troopers in the Valley at 745-2131, or Mat-Su CrimeStoppers at 745-3333.

Here is an update:
Police get a break in firefighter vandalism case
by Rebecca Palsha
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
WASILLA, Alaska -- Police say they've made two arrests connected to the vandalism at a firefighter headquarters in the Valley over the weekend.
Alaska State Troopers say they've recovered three of the five vehicles stolen from two firefighting crews while deployed in the Interior.
On Tuesday the Pioneer Peak Hotshots came home to find their cars and belongings stolen, and after being gone for more than two weeks, another wildfire crew -- this time the Gannette Glacier crew -- returned Wednesday to assess the damage.
Three of their vehicles were among the five stolen and almost all of them were ransacked, as was their headquarters.
But as the Gannette firefighters dealt with their disturbing news, police offered up some good news.
A routine traffic stop may have provided the first break in the case. Kenai police on Sunday stopped a Ford F-150 for speeding. The driver, 24-year-old David Fetters of Anchorage, was immediately arrested for driving with a suspended license.
The pickup was turned over to the passenger, 24-year-old William Gregory of Kenai.
On Tuesday police determined the truck was stolen after information came to light about the vandalism.
Fetters and Williams have both been charged with first-degree vehicle theft. The investigation continues, and Troopers say they will face charges of possession of stolen property.
"Five vehicles were stolen and we've recovered all but two," said Megan Peters, a spokesperson with AST. "We're still missing two pickup trucks -- one's a 2002 gold-colored Toyota pickup, and then there's a 2000 Ford F-250 that's blue that's still missing."
Sean Doody had his truck stolen, but said it was later found abandoned down the street.
"I backed up purposely -- I had my motorcycle on the bed of the truck, and I backed in purposely thinking this would be a little harder for somebody to steal my bike, but they just stole the whole truck," he said.
If you're interested in helping the fire crews, mail a check to P.O. Box 242041, Anchorage, AK 99524. Please make it out to Firefighters Local 1264 and in the memo line say "Pioneer Peak Crew Fund."
The firefighters union is having a spaghetti dinner fundraiser Saturday at Fire Station 1 from 2 p.m. until 5 p.m. If you can't make that officials say you can drop a check off at any station.

I'm mailing in my check to help them out. Others interested in helping their cause, please send a check. A note to them expressing the work firefighters do would be welcome.
 
Bummer. Type I's, aka 'Shots, are the elite crews, kinda like Rangers or Spec Force teams of the firefighting world. Hope they get all their belongings back, especially the spendy ones and personal-meaning ones. They train during the months and weeks they are not actually on an incident, get 2 days R&R before they are potentially up to go back out on rotation. 14 days up at a time. A friend of mine years ago was a shot before I met him, he lost his fiancee due to not being around enough that year.
 
Well, I'm grateful the employee wasn't murdered. A dead tree decided to fall on him while he was helping LEs get rid of maryj.

Me too Alevie

Our days are numbered ... to me there is a real beauty in this.

I'm mailing in my check to help them out. Others interested in helping their cause, please send a check. A note to them expressing the work firefighters do would be welcome.

Thanks Handballer ! Very good post - right from the heart ;)
 
I hope there will be some beauty to be found in this situation somehow. If they ever catch the growers, I got to thinking the charges could tie the death as consequence of illegal activity maybe. I'm hoping we won't learn the tree fell due to being rigged as a booby trap, and that it was truly an act of Nature.
 
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