XL-entLady's Account Talk

[FogSailing]

Lady (aka Perma-Chicklett):

Be careful, Birch might get jealous...

Like you said XL, it's G for me too..until I get a better idea of what's going to happen..I knew you had that most rare of commodities...good sense..

FS

 

[XL-entLady]

Hi friends,

I've been in G and didn't get to party the last two days. So is moving to an equity fund at COB tomorrow (which is the soonest my IFT would take effect) just "dumb money" now? Or is L2R's bullish triangle breakout the sign I have been waiting for?

OOOOOOOOOHHH!!!

I can't stand it! C and S have both broken through their 50 day SMAs and I'm going in. Just a nibble though. I'm staying 80% G.

And usually S Fund recovers before C does in a downturn. But I think Birch is exactly right in his analysis this time. IMO, C Fund companies have better tools to weather today's financial circumstances than S Fund companies do.

So I'm hedging my bets. I'm going 80% G, 15% C and 5% S. No I fund; it still scares me. I'm the perma-chicklett. (No, the timid baby chick. Not the gum. Even though Buster has chewed me up and spit me out a time or two in the family squabbles! :nuts: All in fun, of course. I you, Buster!)

So that's what I'm thinking.... TIA for any comments!

Lady

 

[Buster]

Hi friends,

I've been in G and didn't get to party the last two days. So is moving to an equity fund at COB tomorrow (which is the soonest my IFT would take effect) just "dumb money" now? Or is L2R's bullish triangle breakout the sign I have been waiting for?

OOOOOOOOOHHH!!!

I can't stand it! C and S have both broken through their 50 day SMAs and I'm going in. Just a nibble though. I'm staying 80% G.

And usually S Fund recovers before C does in a downturn. But I think Birch is exactly right in his analysis this time. IMO, C Fund companies have better tools to weather today's financial circumstances than S Fund companies do.

So I'm hedging my bets. I'm going 80% G, 15% C and 5% S. No I fund; it still scares me. I'm the perma-chicklett. (No, the timid baby chick. Not the gum. Even though Buster has chewed me up and spit me out a time or two in the family squabbles! :nuts: All in fun, of course. I you, Buster!)

So that's what I'm thinking.... TIA for any comments!

Lady

Hi Lady sweetie..

Your words are like pure honey...I wish my ideas of where you should put you bets was sound, but I only work from gut feelings and a lot of reading here...All I can do is wish you all the best and sure fired luck you can muster..

You can chew on me anytime my love..

 

[Corepuncher]

What an interesting month for markets this has been. As of COB today:

G Fund is at it's 14 day average, 0.1% above its 28 day average, 0.2% above its 50 day average, and 1.0% above its 200 day average.
F Fund is 0.4% above its 14 day average, 0.3% above its 28 day average, 0.4% above its 50 day average, and 0.2% below its 200 day average.
C Fund is 0.4% above its 14 day average, 0.9% above its 28 day average, 0.4% below its 50 day average, and 4.8% below its 200 day average.
S Fund is 0.5% above its 14 day average, 1.4% above its 28 day average, at its 50 day average, and 1.9% below its 200 day average.
I Fund is 0.2% below its 14 day average, at its 28 day average, 1.8% below its 50 day average, and 6.2% below its 200 day average.

F Fund has crossed over its 50 day average, and it is on the verge of crossing over its 100 day average.

You all know I'm in capital preservation mode, and I'm in G Fund now. Here's what I'm thinking.

(1) August is not usually a great month historically.
(2) The last week has been enough to make a person motion-sick. And,
(3) I'm not expecting any huge things to happen to the market until September, when the ruling party will start trying to artificially prop a big gain into the market to boost the November election.

My heart is telling me to bet on C and S. My brain is telling me to bet on F! .... So I'm staying in G for a few days! :blink:

What can I say! :embarrest: I'm the #1 Perma-Chicklett! :laugh:

Lady

Speaking of moving averages, I am messing around with another analog matching scheme that keys on 20,50,100, and 200 day SMA, and their relative position to each other. As of COB today, there is a really good match for Early March 1982 :cheesy:

 

[XL-entLady]

Speaking of moving averages, I am messing around with another analog matching scheme that keys on 20,50,100, and 200 day SMA, and their relative position to each other. As of COB today, there is a really good match for Early March 1982 :cheesy:

That one sounds fascinating, CP. So here's what happened in February through May of 1982. Looks like timing was everything!
Date Return(%)
02/82 -5.59
03/82 -0.522
04/82 +4.519
05/82 -3.409


Are you planning to share results of your next matching program with the rest of the MB any time soon? I'd love to know more. I've been keyed in on moving averages as a primary indicator for my TSP account for almost a decade now.

Lady

 

[XL-entLady]

Looks like the market is locking in its profits of the last two days in a sell-off this morning. So do I cancel my IFT that would give me a nibble of the market? :worried:

No.... Looking at the moving averages, even with the rollercoaster numbers, it still appears that we're on a mid-term upswing. So I'm going to tell myself to be glad that I'll be buying in at a better price when my IFT goes into effect tonight, and I'll stay the course.

Even though C and S funds are a high-wire act without a net, these days!

Lady

 

[Guest2]

Looks like the market is locking in its profits of the last two days in a sell-off this morning. So do I cancel my IFT that would give me a nibble of the market?

No.... Looking at the moving averages, even with the rollercoaster numbers, it still appears that we're on a mid-term upswing. So I'm going to tell myself to be glad that I'll be buying in at a better price when my IFT goes into effect tonight, and I'll stay the course.

Even though C and S funds are a high-wire act without a net, these days!
Lady

Good Morning Lady,
It would appear from your above statement that you believe there's more
room to the upside in this crazy market. I'm in both myself and hope we
come out shining !

 

[luv2read]

Mantra for the next few days: "p&f chart 1390 omm omm omm"

 

[XL-entLady]

Mantra for the day: "p&f chart 1390 omm omm omm"

Yeah, L2R!

"I think, therefore I Ommm!" :laugh::laugh:

Lady

 

[Guest2]

Say a prayer for me ladies, Its time to dream of $$$Riches$$$
oooooooooooooooooooommmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm
:toung:​

 

[nnuut]

ooooOOOOOOOMMMMMM

 

[Buster]

Looks like the market is locking in its profits of the last two days in a sell-off this morning. So do I cancel my IFT that would give me a nibble of the market? :worried:

No.... Looking at the moving averages, even with the rollercoaster numbers, it still appears that we're on a mid-term upswing. So I'm going to tell myself to be glad that I'll be buying in at a better price when my IFT goes into effect tonight, and I'll stay the course.

Even though C and S funds are a high-wire act without a net, these days!

Lady

Good Morning My dearest Lady..

I think you will soon see that C & S will have a a nice firm footing ...Keeping faith....Have a great day..

 

[luv2read]

1300 today or ....else?

 

[FogSailing]

I love Optimism..so Z oooooooommmmmmmmmmmm...

FS

 

[XL-entLady]

Okay folks, I have to vent for a minute!

I just got a call from a government office that wants to use my expertise in that arcane skill I have. But it's time sensitive and they need me next week. And nobody can figure out how to get the contract done in time!

It's work I love to do, it's work that few other people know how to do, it's work that the government needs to be done. But it's probably not going to happen. And that means, not incidentally, that I won't get paid the several thousand $ for doing the work.

RATS!!!

Lady

 

[Birchtree]

Sorry to hear that but money is not everything....

 

[luv2read]

Enjoying the job is 99% of it and Lady does....

Isn't there a contract model that can be used? A template? grrrrrrrr

 

[RPM]

Okay folks, I have to vent for a minute!

I just got a call from a government office that wants to use my expertise in that arcane skill I have. But it's time sensitive and they need me next week. And nobody can figure out how to get the contract done in time!

It's work I love to do, it's work that few other people know how to do, it's work that the government needs to be done. But it's probably not going to happen. And that means, not incidentally, that I won't get paid the several thousand $ for doing the work.

RATS!!!

Lady

Break it into a lot of small tasks, and PR individual task, if it's under certain amount, as soon as the PR is signed, I think you are good to work. Also, it will buy you time, so if you don't get paid for the initial task, you might still get paid for the later ones. It takes 5min to do a PR on line.

Hey, I love what I do, and I don't haggle on the big picture, but I sure squizze every little drop that I could get out of payment/award when I can!

 

[XL-entLady]

Break it into a lot of small tasks, and PR individual task, if it's under certain amount, as soon as the PR is signed, I think you are good to work. Also, it will buy you time, so if you don't get paid for the initial task, you might still get paid for the later ones. It takes 5min to do a PR on line.

Thanks for the suggestion, RPM. I wish that would work. I've done that before: contract one mini-task for $2,800 and another mini-task for another $2,800, etc., so that it's always under the $3K limit. I'm an 8(a) contractor now so that usually works.

But this time what they want me to do is to mentor someone else, and it's a Washington Office level contract. The DC contracting person can't figure how to break out the mentoring effort so that it will pass the 'red face' test, when we're working at the level this purchase would be.

{sigh} L2R is right, I do enjoy the job! But the government red tape is a head-scratcher sometimes! :blink:

Ah well, I'm over it. Such is life! :cheesy: Y'all have a good one!

Lady

 

[Steadygain]

Lady,
You need to do what is best for you:
regardless of the money
regardless of the situation you're needed for
regardless of being one of a very few that's qualified to do it.

I'm proud of you for being able to say "no" when you need to.

Occasionally these jobs will be a "rewarding experience" and make the retirement years go better. But never be afraid to slow down and enjoy what you've already accomplished.