XL-entLady's Account Talk

Status
Not open for further replies.
Sort by newest Sort by date
"I found a site that gives lots of information on short, medium and long-term indicators, support, resistance, pivot points, etc. for each of our equity funds. I hope you find it as interesting as I did. :):)"

Thank you Lady,
Looks good to me. Now I can sleep through the 12:00 deadline and not have to make any changes to my TSP unless....:blink::blink:
 
Thanks Lady.

I have never seen these sites before. Have you made a good study on reliability or made a judgement on their track record?
 
XL-entLady said:
I found a site that gives lots of information on short, medium and long-term indicators, support, resistance, pivot points, etc. for each of our equity funds. I hope you find it as interesting as I did. :):)

Here are the addresses for the SPX, EFA and IJR.

http://quote.barchart.com/texpert.asp?sym=$SPX&code=BSTK

http://quotes.barchart.com/texpert.asp?sym=EFA

http://quote.barchart.com/texpert.asp?sym=IJR&code=BSTK

Lady
Click to expand...

airlift said:
Thanks Lady.

I have never seen these sites before. Have you made a good study on reliability or made a judgement on their track record?
Click to expand...
I just found the sites this weekend, so no I don't have any idea what the track record is. That is a great question and I should state the caveat that the sites use standard and popular technical analysis tools to come up with the buy/hold/sell recommendations, but you should review the data and decide if you agree with the findings yourself.

The data is compiled for you and all you have to do is click on the link you want to look at - MACD, bollinger band, moving average, or whatever. And it's easy to determine what the site considers to be short-term vs. intermediate timeframes, for example, because of the number of trading days that are considered in the indicators. But their decision about what each indicator is telling us may be different than yours, or you might not think that the indicator is providing a signal that is a clear as they do.

So I would strongly suggest that you only use these sites as one more tool in the toolbox rather than as gospel. Especially in the market environment we are in now!

Best of luck to us all in our trading this month!
Lady
 
Lady,
You're wonderful !!

I miss the personal stuff...knowing you're only at a pain level 2, that you've got another big job lined up and flying to an unknown destination, that the Utah drilling plans are not bumming you out and all those other things.

Hope all is going well for you (and yours)

Steady
 
I moved my allocation a bit today. I went from 66% G, 12% F, 5% C, 9%S and 8% I to an allocation of 66% G, 3% F, 11% C, 11% S, and 9% I.

The allocation change was mostly to reduce my amount of F Fund, but I bought a bit more CSI because I think that overall January could be a good month. We'll see if it plays out the way I think it is going to.

I do have stops set in my spreadsheets. That's one thing I'm going to watch closer this year: where is resistance - how much upside do I think there might be? And where is the last low, and strongly consider setting a stop there. Protecting advances will be crucial in what I think is going to be a very up and down year.

For what it's worth, and that might not be much,
Lady
 
XL-entLady, when you do the >1 or <1% moves, do you change them on the tracker? I just joined the tracker and made a move today moving all my %'s up 1 # but I don't know if I should change it on the tracker. Thanks
 
momacs said:
XL-entLady, when you do the >1 or <1% moves, do you change them on the tracker? I just joined the tracker and made a move today moving all my %'s up 1 # but I don't know if I should change it on the tracker. Thanks
Click to expand...
No I do NOT change my <1% moves on the tracker. I wait until my first "official" move for the next month and update my MB account so that it is the same as my actual account at that time.

That's for several reasons. I don't want to confuse people. I don't want to make it appear that I'm "cheating" by posting more moves than I'm allowed to make. I don't want to make the tracker database any larger than it has to be. And most of all, if I remember correctly, Tom requested that we not track those <1% moves.

Also, for folks who are just starting to use the <1% moves, please remember that you only do those moves after you have used your 'official' IFTs for each month.

Good luck,
Lady
 
Well darn, I thought they didn't count. I guess I just used one of my IFT's for the month. Oh well, at least I have 1 left. Thanks
 
Lady,
Do you know if Barcharts has an IShare ETF that mirrors the EMW (or DWCP) more closely than the IJR small caps? Thank you.
 
airlift said:
Lady,
Do you know if Barcharts has an IShare ETF that mirrors the EMW (or DWCP) more closely than the IJR small caps? Thank you.
Click to expand...
Great question, airlift. Unfortunately, the answer is that I have not been able to find a DWCP or EMW. That's why I posted the IJR link. That's the closest to S Fund that I've been able to locate. I'm still searching though. And if anyone else finds something closer on the Barcharts site, please post it for us, okay?

Lady
 
Good Morning Lady,
Birch has a great post on Kress Cycles - which explains our recent conditions and upcoming conditions pretty well.

My book is yet to arrive - then will move on to study Kress in greater detail.

Hope all is going well.

Steady.
 
Nobody is omnipotent and humility in the markets is always a virtue. I find that often times taking the road less traveled leads to higher returns in the longer term. Does a panic rally sound realistic?
 
Birchtree said:
... and humility in the markets is always a virtue. ...
Click to expand...
Humility has been much easier to experience in the last 4 months! :cheesy:

I'm always looking for ANY edge in this market where a clear long-term trend isn't always apparent. So far, moving average crossovers have been my greatest help over the last 6 months. But who knows what will be best going forward?!

Lady
 
I updated my informal SMA chart so I could see how things look going into options expiration week. I was interested to see that all three stock funds' 100 day SMA numbers went from double digit negatives to single digit negatives. We'll take the good news where we can find it! ;)

Seriously though, I think there really is starting to be some good news here. The 20 DMA and 50 DMA numbers are starting to look okay! :)

Because of that, and because options expiration week is often an up week, and because of the possible Obama bounce, I'm thinking of buying more CSI tomorrow.

Lady


,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,G Fund,,,F Fund,,,,,C Fund,,.,S Fund,,,,,I Fund
10 day SMA: ,,,+0.0%,,,,+0.4%,,,,,-1.2%,,,,,,+0.0%,,,,-0.1%
20 day SMA: ,,,+0.1%,,,,+0.5%,,,,+1.3%,,,,+3.3%,,,+2.8%
50 day SMA: ,,,+0.3%,,,,+2.7%,,,,+4.0%,,,,+8.0%,,,+7.7%
100 day SMA: ,+0.6%,,,+3.7%,,,,-7.8%,,,,,,,-7.9%,,,,,-4.9%
200 day SMA: ,+1.3%,,,+4.0%,,,,-20.9%,,,-22.5%,,,,-23.2%

The above numbers are the differences between the current share price and its simple moving
averages (SMAs) for each fund, based on Thrift Fund share prices and simplified by being
recorded only once a week. Because I'm trying to look at trends I've highlighted any changes
< or > 0.5%. Follow the column down in order to see how a TSP Fund is trending long-term.
 
Bought more S and a little more I today. At COB I'll be 53% G, 2%F, 11% C, 20% S and 14% I. Alphatrends says small caps chart has as good a bullish setup as he's seen for a while. And I Fund charts look okay too but Squale's overpayment charts kept me from putting more there.

We'll see how it works out .... :o

Lady
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Similar threads

tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - Was Friday's big gains the start of the Santa rally, or just a fake out?
Replies
0
Views
119
tsptalk
tsptalk
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - The bears are starting to growl
Replies
0
Views
123
tsptalk
tsptalk
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - Stocks lose steam late but still post solid gains
Replies
0
Views
144
tsptalk
tsptalk
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - Stocks bounce back as bitcoin revisits $100K
Replies
0
Views
101
tsptalk
tsptalk
tsptalk
  • Article Article
TSP Talk - Some cracks forming as yields stay elevated
Replies
0
Views
72
tsptalk
tsptalk
Back
Top