tsptalk's Market Talk

Big day for the Transports but it's now testing some serious resistance (50-day EMA and descending trend line).

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Here's a couple of interesting charts today...

The Nasdaq has made a new all-time high.

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The Transports broke out above the 50-day EMA, which was key, but there may be some resistance at the top of this parallel trading channel, which could also turn out to be a big bear flag. This chart may be key for this breakout to continue to the upside in the market in general.

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Still below the resistance on the Transports, but that is to be expected on the first push. This was a big, important move above the 50-day EMA. The question is whether it can breakout above that flag or whether it needs to fill that gap first.

The Nasdaq is above resistance and doing fine.

Busy week this week ending with the budget deadline / possible gov't shutdown. :eek:
 
Still below the resistance on the Transports, but that is to be expected on the first push. This was a big, important move above the 50-day EMA. The question is whether it can breakout above that flag or whether it needs to fill that gap first.

The Nasdaq is above resistance and doing fine.

Busy week this week ending with the budget deadline / possible gov't shutdown. :eek:
So, are we looking at another Sell in May and go away Tom?

What are your thoughts?

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So, are we looking at another Sell in May and go away Tom?

What are your thoughts?

As a general rule, that tends to work, but year by year it may or may not. For example last year if you sold at the end of April, you would have missed some volatile periods over the summer for sure, but at the end of the 6 months, the S&P was actually higher.

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As a general rule, that tends to work, but year by year it may or may not. For example last year if you sold at the end of April, you would have missed some volatile periods over the summer for sure, but at the end of the 6 months, the S&P was actually higher.

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And let's not forget the Trump Factor as well as the Brexit and French elections too.

Interesting times ahead.

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The very early action on Wednesday had the Transports diving down into the open gap, but it has already seen some dip buying and is off the lows. This will be interesting to see where it closes.

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The Transports probably need to hang onto the 20 and 50-day EMAs this week or a trip to the bottom of the flag is possible. The bottom of the filled gap is trying to hold as resistance so far today.

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The early action shows the S-fund index trying to hold above the old highs, while those large open gaps loom below it...

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I don't see any evidence of this in the betting sites, but the headlines in the UK say that Le Pen is gaining ground on Macron in the French Election polls, which is being held next Sunday. Predictit.com still has Macon with an 84% chance of winning.


Macron PLUMMETS in the polls as Marine Le Pen enjoys boost a WEEK AWAY from election vote


"EMMANUEL Macron’s lead over Marine Le Pen has taken a heavy hit as France prepares to vote in the final round of the election on Sunday."

Marine Le Pen enjoys boost as Emmanuel Macron plummets in the polls | World | News | Express.co.uk
 
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