Tspgo_com Account Talk

[tspgo_com]

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06-15-05: The I-Fund triggered a buy signal. The S-Fund triggered a count of 4 sell signal.C = Wait to Sell; F = Wait to Buy. (see charts at http://www.tspgo.com)

IFT order entered at 11:15 pm on 06-15-05 (Before noon 06-16-05)


G = 35 F =0 C = 25 S = 00 I = 40

TSPGO!

 

[Rod]

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The (I) should reward you nicely today. Nice job in choosing when to buy in.:^

I almost bought in yesterday, but hesitated because I had dental surgery and didn't think I would be up to tracking the market today. But I'm feeling better than expected. Maybe next time.

God Bless

 

[tspgo_com]

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Rod wrote:

The (I) should reward you nicely today. Nice job in choosing when to buy in.:^

I almost bought in yesterday, but hesitated because I had dental surgery and didn't think I would be up to tracking the market today. But I'm feeling better than expected. Maybe next time.

God Bless

Rod:

I hope your are feeling better after your surgical procedure.

If you are not following the 5-5-10 Rule or something similar, just play it safe. The S&P just hit 1219.50. Expect a retracing back to at least the 1200 area soon.

God bless you too.

 

[tspgo_com]

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06-17-05: The C-Fund triggered a count of 4 sell signal.F and S = Wait to Buy; I = Wait to Sell. (see charts at http://www.tspgo.com)

IFT order entered at 9:33 pm on 06-17-05 (Before noon 06-20-05)


G = 60 F =0 C = 00 S = 00 I = 40

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

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06-21-05: The F-Fund triggered a buy signal. C and S = Wait to Buy; I = Wait to Sell. (see charts at http://www.tspgo.com)

IFT order entered at 8:55 pm on 06-21-05 (Before noon 06-22-05)


G = 55 F = 5 C = 00 S = 00 I = 40

TSPGO!

 

[vectorman]

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When you do your count offour sell, and the fund is still trending up, when do you buy back in again? Do you wait for the fund to drop to the bottom of the channel? If the fund just keeps on climbing, when do you bite the bullet and just get in? Thanks

 

[JohnnieB1]

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TSPGO - Now that I have been watching this board and reading all the useful information presented here I have a question concerning your system.

Iseem to understand your buy/sell/hold signals. Once your system tells you to act how do you determine the percentage of your IFT? For today how did you decide a 5% move into the F and not 10 or 20%. Thanks

 

[tspgo_com]

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vectorman wrote:

When you do your count offour sell, and the fund is still trending up, when do you buy back in again? Do you wait for the fund to drop to the bottom of the channel? If the fund just keeps on climbing, when do you bite the bullet and just get in? Thanks

If the retracing falls below SMA-1, the buy signal will be generated when the fund goes back above SMA-1. If during the retracing the fund does not fall below SMA-1 (very rare), the buy signal will be generated when the retracing reverses. Historically, during the last 200 trading days the max number of straight up days for any of the TSP funds is 7. The average is 4. In some rare occasion you might miss one or two up days but you get them back during the retracing. (Go to http://www.tspgo.com then click the green link on the menu " Y-T-D Signals " for Y-T-D graphs.

Trust this answers your question.

God bless you.

 

[tspgo_com]

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JohnnieB1 wrote:

TSPGO - Now that I have been watching this board and reading all the useful information presented here I have a question concerning your system.

Iseem to understand your buy/sell/hold signals. Once your system tells you to act how do you determine the percentage of your IFT? For today how did you decide a 5% move into the F and not 10 or 20%. Thanks

When following the5-5-10Rule the allocation for each fund is always the same: F= 5, C= 25, S= 30 and I= 40.

Example: when I sell the I-Fund the 45% goes to the G-Fund and it seats there until the nextbuy signal in the I Fund. The same applies to the other funds.

I trust this answers your question.

God bless you.

 

[JohnnieB1]

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OK TSPGO - I think I got it. Every buy for the F fund is 5%,every buy for the C fund is 25%...each time, regardless of circumstances (e.g. emotions) Where did these % come from originally? Interesting.. I mean there must be a logic to these %.. thanks

 

[vectorman]

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tspgo_com wrote:

FundSurfer wrote:

A couple questions about your system:

1. You seem to have maximums in each fund that you do not exceed. When you sold S-fund you put it all in G even though C and S still were in buy?Have you considered not using fund maximums? Maybe shifting into C or S in this situation rather than I?

2. Looking at your curve following approach, could you look at the slope of the curve to see which fund is hotter and perhaps weight your allocation percentages accordingly?

Don't get me wrong, I like very much what you are doing. I'm a tinker at heart am always looking at possible improvements.

The max allocation for each fund at any given time usingthe 5-5-10 Rule should be F=5, C=25, S=30,I=40. In a trending market it seems as if you aremaking transactions almostdaily. It happensuntil the trend is defined. The allocationcame about calculating volatility, potentialrisks, rate ofreturns and diversification.

Someonewith small account might not see the benefit in investingsuch small amount in the F-Fund. The bottom line is not risking everything in a particular fund at any given time and trading each fund independently, as a single account, based on its behavior.

I am not sure I understand using the slope of the curve todetermine allocation percentages. Would you PM with a hypothetical situation?.

Thank you for your comments.

TSPGO!

 

[JohnnieB1]

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do you have some articles on where the allocations came from that i could read?
thanks

 

[tspgo_com]

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Vectorman:

Thank you for the question. It is funny that the answer to your question can be illustrated withS-Fund today. Hope you can see it.

On June 9 the S-Fund triggered a buy signal (price went above SMA-1 from 14.66 to 14.77)

Bought on June 10 at 14.77. Then the count of four (14.83, 14.92, 14.96, 15.09)

Sold at 15.17 on June 17. Then the down trend 15.09, 15.06

June 22: 15.09 changed trend above SMA-1.

Will Buy S-Fund on 6/23


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[tspgo_com]

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06-23-05: The S-Fund and the I-Fund triggered a sellsignal. C = Wait to Buy; F = Wait to Sell. (see charts at http://www.tspgo.com)

IFT order entered at 10:05 pm on 06-23-05 (Before noon 06-24-05)


G = 95 F = 5 C = 00 S = 00 I = 00

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

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06-28-05: The C-Fund and the S-Fund triggered a buy signal. The F-Fund triggered a Sell Signal.I-Fund = Wait to Buy. (see charts at http://www.tspgo.com)

IFT order entered at 9:55 pm on 06-28-05 (Before noon 06-29-05)


G = 45 F = 0 C = 25 S =30I = 00

TSPGO!


NOTE: Low Risk Strategy: Buy 100% C.

 

[grandma]

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Tspgo - somethings happened to your links within your messageitself. Your avatar link works okay. - it sends me to `page canot be displayed' then opens to a `myweb search page. It has just recently started doing this -

 

[tspgo_com]

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grandma wrote:

Tspgo - somethings happened to your links within your messageitself. Your avatar link works okay. - it sends me to `page canot be displayed' then opens to a `myweb search page. It has just recently started doing this -

Hi Grandma:

Hope you are doing well!. Thank you for the observation. I checked it and it seems that the problem is the paranthesis "(" included in the links. It should be http://www.tspgo.com instead of http://www.tspgo.com).

 

[tspgo_com]

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tspgo_com wrote:

06-28-05: The C-Fund and the S-Fund triggered a buy signal. The F-Fund triggered a Sell Signal.I-Fund = Wait to Buy. (see charts at http://www.tspgo.com)

IFT order entered at 9:55 pm on 06-28-05 (Before noon 06-29-05)


G = 45 F = 0 C = 25 S =30I = 00

TSPGO!


NOTE: Low Risk Strategy: Buy 100% C.

The S&P just bounced right off the short-term expected bottom of1189 and left a nice candle formation on the daily chart. Now it needs follow through to 1211. From 1211 it should retrace to 1202-1207 and then "Alice, tothe moon"to 1250+

 

[Spaf]

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tspgo_com wrote:

The S&P just bounced right off the short-term expected bottom of1189 and left a nice candle formation on the daily chart. Now it needs follow through to 1211. From 1211 it should retrace to 1202-1207 and then "Alice, tothe moon"to 1250+

Alice, to the moon......or...... Alice, in wonderland?

The moon would be great! However, I feel some changes are needed in the fundamentals and indicators first, namely Krude has to be put in the can! Otherwise the risk is too high. Maybe, I'm too conservative. I'll play with my internet broker where I have instant exits. The delays with entry and exit at TSP are not to my advantage, at this time!

Rgds tspgo!Hang in there! Spaf

 

[tspgo_com]

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06-29-05: The C-Fund triggered a Sell Signal. S-Fund = Wait to Sell. The F-Fund = Wait to Buy. S = Wait to Sell.I-Fund = Wait to Buy. See charts at http://www.tspgo.com

IFT order entered at 10:39 pm on 06-29-05 (Before noon 06-30-05)


G = 70 F = 0 C = 00 S =30I = 00

TSPGO!