Tspgo_com Account Talk

[tspgo_com]

TSPGO High Risk IFT's for 05-10-06

30-Dec-05 100% G
05-Jan-06 100% G
10-Jan-06 30% C, 30% S, 40% I
12-Jan-06 50% F, 50% I
17-Jan-06 100% G
23-Jan-06 30% F 10% C, 10% S, 50% I
31-Jan-06 40% G, 50% F, 10% S
27-Feb-06 50% S, 50% I.
28-Feb-06 100% G.
01-Mar-06 100% I.
02-Mar-06 100% G
14-Mar-06 100% I
16-Mar-06 50% S, 50% I.
24-Mar-06 100% G
27-Mar-06 50% G, 25% S, 25% I.
30-Mar-06 0% 0% 0% 50% S, 50% I.
31-Mar-06 100% F
03-Apr-06 100% G
05-Apr-06 100% F
10-Apr-06 40% C, 30% S, 30% I.
12-Apr-06 70% G, 30% I.
20-Apr-06 35% C, 35% S, 30% I
26-Apr-06 75% F, 10% C. 5% S, 10% I
05- May-06 5% F, 5% C, 85% S, 5% I
10- May-06 G=75, C = 5, S = 20

It seems that the long waited pull back is around the corner.
the S&P should top around 1335-1338
Before Noon on 05-10-06
High Risk Only: G = 100

 

[nnuut]

TSPGO,
Have you ever thought that some of your rules might need a little adjustment?

 

[nnuut]

Sorry about the above comment, must have eaten a bad oyster last night. I can't tell anyone how to play the market as you can tell by my YTD.:embarrest:

 

[tspgo_com]

Sorry about the above comment, must have eaten a bad oyster last night. I can't tell anyone how to play the market as you can tell by my YTD.:embarrest:

No problems. Your comments are welcome and appreciated.

You might be right for the 5-5-10 Rule.

I am satisfied with the High Risk return and I am not considering any adjustment at this time. High Risk Return: 9.52% (as of 5/10/06)

Good luck.

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

WHAT'S AHEAD
5/11/06
F-Fund found a strong support at 10.55 and it is consolidating at 10.57. Next short term resistance is at 10.60. Buy Signal.
C-Fund just broke the short term uptrend. Wait to Buy
S-Fund just broke the short term uptrend line. Wait to Buy
I-Fund is at the point of exhaustion of its parabolic move. Expect some retracing. Sell and Wait to Buy

 

[tspgo_com]

WHAT'S AHEAD
5/15/06
C-Fund closed below support level at 14.10. The next one is at 14.02. Let's get back in with the expectation that it will rebound intraday from the 14.02. Buy 20%
S-Fund close at support level of 17.60. Buy 20%
I-Fund is at support level of 19.50. Buy 20%

Before Noon on 5-15-06 High Risk 20% G, 20% F, 20% C, 20% S, 20% I

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

WHAT'S AHEAD
5-18-06

C-Fund is at 13.79 just 9 above the support level at 13.70

S-Fund is at 17.04 just 4 above the strong support level at 17.00. Signal: Buy

I-Fund next support is at 19.20

Let's move what is left in the F-Fund into the S-Fund. Let's remain invested in stocks until the pending rebound is completed. The S&P should move back to 1297 before continuing the down trend.

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

WHAT'S AHEAD

5-23-06

Hold on to current positions in stocks. From all T/A points of view this should be the bottom.

F-Fund = Sell; C-Fund = Buy; S-Fund = Buy; I-Fund = Buy.

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

WHAT'S AHEAD
5-31-06
The I-Fund has made three higher highs and two higher lows in the last six days. Let's rearrenge the current positions and add more weight to the I-Fund.

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

What's Ahead 5-2-06

WHAT'S AHEAD
5-01-06
Moving to the I-Fund on 5-31-06 was very timely. Let's ride it cautiously. We are expecting significant resistance (S&P) in the range 1297 - 1305. Seasonality is not in our favor. Let's use stop losses (mental) until we are out of the woods. The S&P should be going back to 1328+ range but it has to do it quickly in order to make it. If there is hesitation between 1297-1305 we will get out of C, S, and I and wait until we get confirmation. Confirmation will be consolidation between 1297 -1312 or a break out above 1312.

For stop loss and target see charts at www.tspgo.com

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

Re: What's Ahead 5-2-06

WHAT'S AHEAD
5-01-06
Moving to the I-Fund on 5-31-06 was very timely. Let's ride it cautiously. We are expecting significant resistance (S&P) in the range 1297 - 1305. Seasonality is not in our favor. Let's use stop losses (mental) until we are out of the woods. The S&P should be going back to 1328+ range but it has to do it quickly in order to make it. If there is hesitation between 1297-1305 we will get out of C, S, and I and wait until we get confirmation. Confirmation will be consolidation between 1297 -1312 or a break out above 1312.

For stop loss and target see charts at www.tspgo.com

TSPGO!

As we the market my computer crashed and am having a diffculty time restoring it. I trust everybody has obeyed the stop losses and is out of the market.

The C-Fund hit the stop loss of 13.90 and closed below it on June 5, 2006
The S-Fund hit the stop loss of 16.83 today.
The I-Fund hit the stop loss of 19.10 and close below it on June 6, 2006.

(For stop loss charts go to www.tspgo.com, then scroll down on the menu on the left to "Historical Charts". Click on the fund and go down to the third chart).

Everybody should be waiting for re-entry.

Good luck

 

[vectorman]

Now I'm confused. You go to G fund with your High Risk account. But with your 5-5-10 rule account you go 50% S and I fund for tomorrow. Are you even following your own 5-5-10 rule?

 

[tspgo_com]

Confused?

Now I'm confused. You go to G fund with your High Risk account. But with your 5-5-10 rule account you go 50% S and I fund for tomorrow. Are you even following your own 5-5-10 rule?

Don't be. Remember my computer crashed and I could not access the website or this board. Now I am trying to synchronize it. If you look at the slope charts (solid) you should see that the 5-5-10 S Rule gave us buy signals for C, s and I on June 12 to buy on June 13. (the graph hit the -0.005 and -0.01 for the I).

Now we wait for Sell signals to be triggered when the slope graphs go back to +0.005 for C and S or +0.10 for the I-Fund. Remember that we also keep an eye on the 5+5 (4 plus, neutral or combination) for another sell signal.

For the High Risk we are paying close attention to supports, resistances and stop losses.

As for now we have to be cautious because even if we rally up, 1297-1305 will be a brick wall. We have had 2 impressive up days but the damage has been so significant that the down trend is still in control. Be ready to get out at the first sign of reversal. Obey stop losses. Place them below the support.

Good luck!

 

[tspgo_com]

What's Ahead: 6-22-06

This market is hanging by a thread. It is consolidating with higher probabilty to continue the down trend. Watch it Carefully and work hard at keeping what you have. See charts at www.tspgo.com

Stop Loss: F= 10.53; Target (1) = 10.60
Stop Loss: C = 13.38; Target (1) = 13.95
Stop Loss: S = 16.00 Target (1) = 17.00
Stop Loss: I = 18.10 Target (1) = 19.00

Keep an eye on the S&P 500:
Above 1297 is bullish with a target of 1328. (100% stocks long term)
Between 1245 and 1297 is nobody's land. (Mostly in G and quick in-and-out moves into stocks.)
Below 1245 is bearish with a target down to 1220 then lower. (100% G)


TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

Re: What's Ahead: 6-22-06

This market is hanging by a thread. It is consolidating with higher probabilty to continue the down trend. Watch it Carefully and work hard at keeping what you have. See charts at www.tspgo.com

Stop Loss: F= 10.53; Target (1) = 10.60
Stop Loss: C = 13.38; Target (1) = 13.95
Stop Loss: S = 16.00 Target (1) = 17.00
Stop Loss: I = 18.10 Target (1) = 19.00

Keep an eye on the S&P 500:
Above 1297 is bullish with a target of 1328. (100% stocks long term)
Between 1245 and 1297 is nobody's land. (Mostly in G and quick in-and-out moves into stocks.)
Below 1245 is bearish with a target down to 1220 then lower. (100% G)


TSPGO!

We should know by Thursday June 29, 2006, which way this market is heading.

 

[tspgo_com]

What's Ahead: 6-30-06

WHAT'S AHEAD:6/30/06

The F-Fund triggered a buy signal

The C, S, and I hit the first sell targets. Let's take profit in 1/3 of our holdings and move the trailing stops in the remaining positions.

High Risk should sell 80%.

Move Trailing Stop Loss: C = 13.68; Reached Target (1) = 13.95
Move Trailing Stop Loss: S = 16.72 Reached Target (1) = 17.00
Move Trailing Stop Loss: I = 18.52 Reached Target (1) = 19.00

6-30-06: 5-5-10 Rule: 30% F, 15% C, 20% S, 35% I <=> High Risk 80% G, 10% S, 10% I

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

What's Ahead -7/14/06

We have been stopped out out. Remaining on the side line has paid off. The sell off should continue today July 14, 2006. But we should see a short term rally next week.

To take advantage of the short term rally, the high risk should be moving everything back to S and I while keeping a finger in the trigger to get out with the rebound next week.

7-14-06 High Risk: High Risk 30% S, 70% I

Good luck!

TSPGO!

 

[tspgo_com]

What's Ahead -7/27/06

7/27/06
Alll TSPGO! short term signals have triggered buy signals. However, the bigger picture is scary. We are getting out until we get a clearer picture. Things are not looking too good at the moment. See graph below:

1.- It seems the S&P is in a Symmetrical Continuation Triangle (Bearish) formed by the lines A and B. This pattern is confirmed when the price breaks below B. The implication is that when the pattern is confirmed it will drop at least the distance between A(12.90) and B (12.40) = 50. It would be to the next support at C=1180

see graph at www.tspgo.com/images/060726ahead.gif
or read What's Ahead at www.tspgo.com

Good luck!

TSPGO!

 

[gunsmokex]

Hey TSPGo nice website. I like it.

Yeah S fund looks pretty decent right now, I was waiting a nice decline in the S fund. I'm just hoping it will rebound now.

 

[tspgo_com]

Hey TSPGo nice website. I like it.

Yeah S fund looks pretty decent right now, I was waiting a nice decline in the S fund. I'm just hoping it will rebound now.

Thank you.

We are not out of the woods yet and we need to proceed with caution even when are most of our signals are go.

The S&P broke out (down) of a rising wedge in May when it fell below 1290. This pattern retraces back to the base where the wedge began 90% of the time. The base of the broken rising wedge is at 1170 (Bad News)

The month of August and September are in the list of the worst performing months of the year (Bad news)

The S&P is in a short term uptrend (Good news)

The 4-year Cycle is on the same positive path as that of the 74-80 and as the 90-94 (Good news)

As long as the S&P remains between 1240 and 1290, it is not in safe ground. Extreme caution should be used until the it breaks above 1290 and holds it.

Good luck!

TSPGO!