This Week in Stocks: 7/14 - 7/20/07

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AP
Inflation More Moderate in June
Wednesday July 18, 8:36 am ET
By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer

Consumers Get a Break at the Gas Pumps in June As Inflation Moderates

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Food costs went up again but consumers finally got a break at the gas pumps in June, helping to lower inflation to the smallest increase in five months.

The Labor Department reported Wednesday that the Consumer Price Index edged up a virtually minuscule 0.2 percent in June following a 0.7 percent surge in May, which had been the biggest jump in 20 months.

The price moderation reflected a 1.1 percent decline in gasoline prices, which pushed total energy costs down by 0.5 percent, offsetting a 0.5 percent rise in food costs.
In other economic news, construction of new homes rose in June following two straight months of declines, the Commerce Department reported.

The 2.3 percent increase in construction activity was better than the small decline that analysts had expected. It pushed home building to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.434 million units.

Core inflation, which excludes the volatile energy and food sectors, was also moderate in June, rising by just 0.2 percent. Through the first six months of this year, core inflation has been rising at an annual rate of 2.3 percent, down from a 2.6 percent rate of increase in the last half of 2006, indicating that the surge in energy and food costs are not becoming embedded in more widespread inflation problems.

That will be welcome news at the Federal Reserve which is hoping that an economic slowdown will promote declining cost pressures in coming months. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke was scheduled to deliver the central bank's midyear economic forecast to Congress on Wednesday. Financial markets expect he will continue to signal that interest rates, which have not been changed for more than a year, will remain steady for perhaps the rest of this year.
 
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$FTSE&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p51972347693

I do like this FTSE chart for a good day to get "all in" for the I fund. Three solid down days in a row, down to the 20 and 50 dma. Although the USD does have me concerned about being way over sold.

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$SPX&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&id=p51972347693

S&P has a long way to go to the 20 and 50 day. If it was to make the drop it would most likely drag OSM with it.

Thinking out loud: What is the OSM close in the crapper and USM turn around because of Genital Ben's testimony today. BIG + FV!!! :worried:

Sold my SLV a day to soon. Going to buy some EWG and EWJ today.
 
IBM Boosts Growth Forecasts

Last Update: 18-Jul-07 17:26 ET

Price level vs. 4 pm ET: Stocks closed lower Wednesday as renewed subprime jitters and some tech warnings left investors questioning the sustainability of recent market gains.

The influential Financial sector was hit especially hard while the absence of leadership from Technology also weighed heavily on the day's action.
Seven out of 10 economic sectors posted losses today.

An upbeat tone, however, dictates the after hours session. The S&P 500 futures, at 1558, are 2 points above fair value, while the Nasdaq 100 futures, at 2061.50, are 5.5 points above fair value.

Per usual for a Thursday during earnings season, tomorrow marks this week's biggest day of quarterly reporting. Some of the S&P 500 constituents out before the bell include Bank of America (BAC), Baxter (BAX), Danaher (DHR), Honeywell (HON), Illinois Tool Works (ITW), Manpower (MAN), Motorola (MOT), Nucor (NUE), Safeway (SWY), Textron (TXT), Union Pacific (UNP), UnitedHealth (UNH), and Wyeth (WYE).

After the close, Dow component Microsoft (MSFT) heads a list that also includes Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Capital One (COF), First Data (FDC), Gilead Sciences (GILD), Google (GOOG), Seagate Technology (STX), and Stryker (SYK).

On the economic front, Initial Claims will be out at 8:30 ET and may garner added attention since the data were compiled during the same week as the July payrolls figures. Leading Indicators will be out at 10:00 ET while the Philly Fed will offer an update on manufacturing conditions at 12:00 ET. The FOMC Minutes from the June 27-28 meeting caps of the week's economic data at 14:00 ET.
-- Brian Duhn, Briefing.com
 
The Daily Reckoning Australia is entertaining.

--Your Melbourne-based editor deplaned near the Chesapeake Bay this
afternoon to the news that Bear Stearns has gone from bad to worse.
Bear's bad subprime bets went even worse than the market imagined. As a
result, the two funds that Bear tried to bail out earlier in the month
are worth - and here's the combined total - about nine cents on the
dollar.

--"Investors said the funds' investments in the subprime market had
wiped out the value of their capital in its USUS$638m enhanced fund,
and left only 9 cents in the dollar in its USUS$925m high-grade fund.
This leaves only USUS$83m of the USUS$1.56bn originally invested in the
funds," reports William Hutchings at FinancialNews.com

--More gory news from the soft-underbelly of the American economy did
not encourage Wall Street. The Dow fell by as much as 107 points during
intra-day trading, before regaining some ground by the close. But the
index couldn't hold the 14,000 level it briefly crested the day before.

--There's nothing like being back in American to put its economy in
sharp contrast with Australia. Granted, there are some eerie
similarities. America's housing obsession is like Australia's, only
bigger and with more debt and riskier mortgages. Whereas America's
crush on housing as an asset class excludes attention on other assets,
Australia, at least has metal.
 
The test! Breakout or nasty afternoon reversal? This has been a tough short-term call. I think we will see one or the other before the day is done. It is an options expiration week which could be a factor.

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That works!! Well you got me on that one! How about--------the DOW?:D
 
Couple of big players missed.

Couple of big player hit.

China raised rates.

Milestone reached.

Fred sez pile up interesting. Waiting for the release.

Ebb to F for fun fund.

Red future, but red can turn green.

Trend remains up.

Also, July Expiration Day DOW down 4 of the last 6.
 
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Things don't look that bad!
If turn your monitor upside down, U can see a rally!.......:D......:suspicious:
 
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