Steadygain's Account Talk

[Steadygain]

True, but I'd like to point out that my position on the tracker is no reflection of the Seven Sentinels ability to sniff out gains. They've been on a buy since 21Dec.

Coolhand,
Birch is only razzing you -- for the same reason I razz him and the others. Trust me -- you've more than proven yourself in many ways and I would bet anything that you're considered one of the most valuable contributors to the MB.

I personally kind of lean towards Uptrend's System -- but still it's way more his input on how he views things that give him the credit he has --- exactly the same with you.

If we throw your name out --- take it as a compliment.

 

[Steadygain]

"The way to stop the greed response is to focus not on the joys of winning but on why you might not win. Test your hypothesis with each new card. "The story changes, and you have to change with it," says Murtha, the behavioral-finance consultant. "That's why great poker players will lay down great hands." "

http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/learn-how-to-invest/how-poker-makes-you-a-better-investor.aspx

Steady, this article made me think of your recent quote.

WOW !!! What a delight !!

I'm deeply honored Thank You !!

From the link you included:
"When the greed circuitry of our brain kicks in, we fixate on how great we'll feel when we cash in those winning chips or investments, and we tend to ignore developments that could cause us to lose the bet."

The 'Brain Circuitry' is EVERYTHING !!

It has more defined my life's persuit than anything else and the more all of us come to grips with this truth the better off we are. For the TSP -- I will always be a 'Player' mainly because it's more thrilling and challenging -- and on the whole by keeping your emotions in check and honestly sizing everything up I've found I can usually beat 'Volitile Markets'.

VOLITILITY -- is the KEY to winning. In what I consider a real 'Bull Market' -- Volitility is absent and Funds should always be shifted between C/S/I --- (which ever is consistently gaining the fastest). In what I consider a real 'Bear Market' Funds should stay in G or F.

Unfortunately the last BEAR Market hit me HARD because of Massive Goverment Manipulation to both hide enormous details and paint a wonderful picture at the same time.

So I'm a little smarter.

But -- don't be fooled my friend; I am no expert and more of a gut player and some degree of LUCK is always involved.

Anyway -- thanks for the post my friend

 

[coolhand]

Coolhand,
Birch is only razzing you -- for the same reason I razz him and the others. Trust me -- you've more than proven yourself in many ways and I would bet anything that you're considered one of the most valuable contributors to the MB.

I personally kind of lean towards Uptrend's System -- but still it's way more his input on how he views things that give him the credit he has --- exactly the same with you.

If we throw your name out --- take it as a compliment.

I know he's razzing me. I just want to make sure newbies understand it.

 

[Steadygain]

I anticipate the next 3 months will be exceptionally good for S and I.

Will move from 50/50 C/S to 60/40 S/I by COB

This was my very first post

It's NOMB but the small caps have been outperforming for the last 7 years - you must be optimistic for this to continue. Don't let recent activity be a false dawn.

And this was the first response.

I can tell everyone with the Greatest Certainty -- that when the S&P 500 (C Fund) is advancing -- over the years S Fund and I Fund advance faster --

--- and the GAIN is the Greatest Possible.

The name (S or I) means nothing to me; I simply want Max Returns.

In my personal experience where C Fund would pay 3 cents per share more -- the S Fund would pay 6 cents more.

So look at what typically advances the most and stick with the Leader

 

[Steadygain]

TSP Advancements: 101
​

To all New Members, Guests, and Lilly Padders


Friends, you've got to have money to make money and the more you have the more you make. That's the first lesson.

Then you have to read the Market Mentality -- try to guage when the Markets are going through a brief 'Break' and take advantage of that. That's the second lesson.

Once you begin 'Raking in the Money' -- DO NOT Bail too soon. That's the third lesson.


So everyone, it's really not too complicated and in fact it's pretty easy. Once you're in the swing of it -- you get to talk a lot of stuff; blow your horn; and let everyone know how great it is.

That's the forth lesson

And that's the whole story.... GL everyone ​

 

[Frixxxx]

TSP Advancements: 101 Advanced Students​

And that's the whole story.... GL everyone ​

Plus, Have fun while you do it! Not really a lesson in TSP, But Life......

 

[Steadygain]

Plus, Have fun while you do it! Not really a lesson in TSP, But Life......

Speaking of 'Having Fun'

Watch me Flex my muscles


That's right everyone -- today in my first day in the Markets....

Now just imagine me running down with the pole in my hands...:cheesy:..

....and watch how far just the smallest movement allows me to Pole Vault over the other numbers.

I'm at 298 right now -- Hey Relax it's cool -- it's like the Bulls use to play basketball -- well that's how I like to do it.

So how long can you expect this kind of behavior -- well when I really get up towards the TOP -- I'll chill a bit -- but for now I like the excitement !!


Well good night all -- and if Lady, Grandma, or Silverbird come on tonight then do something nice ..

 

[Frixxxx]

I'm at 298 right now -- Hey Relax it's cool --

I would be at 79 right before ROD! 60-C 40S Since the First. Must watch Show-me for my next move!

But then I don't play that silly game!:blink:

 

[Steadygain]

I would be at 79 right before ROD! 60-C 40S Since the First. Must watch Show-me for my next move!

But then I don't play that silly game!

WOW !! You're a lot closer to the TOP 50.

Hey Frixxxx, I'll ask you nice the first time.

Please don't pass gas in my home :laugh:


Well good night all

 

[Steadygain]

WHAT TO EXPECT​

In general it's going to look like we are tinkering at the TOP of the Markets and things are about to slide down fast. Expect the general sentiment to be 'overly cautious' and the VIX to come up a lot. ​

Watching the Markets on a minute by minute basis will all the more reinforce this thinking and it's easy to get wrapped up in that when 82.7% of posts are pretty much reflecting Negative Crap.

​

WHAT REALLY IS
​

We have already entered and journeyed on 'The Recovery' as far as the Markets are concerned. There are many things going on in the real world to give us concern -- But the WORST is OVER !!
​

WHAT WILL HAPPEN
​

The Markets have risen substantially since the 3/09 Lows. The overwhelming bulk of this was primarily 'buyer optamism' (sp) and the belief that in fact the worst was over. DUMB Money has primarily been responisble for everything good that has happened thus far and OVERALL -- that is NOT going to change. ​

Expect some boring times ahead --- but don't let FEAR screw up the long range objective. We may have some dips here and there but Staying IN -- always keeps you prepared. So go with confidence and look at the overall picture. ​

 

[Steadygain]

The Power of G ​

There's nothing like the good ole G Fund on days like today; especially if you move to G Fund right after getting good gains. ​

Being in G Fund when the Markets are sinking is very close to being fully in when they're doing well. ​

The Problem is ~~ usually when you go to G Fund you can't get back in the Markets; so although you not losing you miss out. ​

The other problem is if you go to G Fund on a bad day -- you lock in your losses. ​

So I will simply ride it out for awhile and consider today like a refreshing swim in the deep end. ​

Many of you may not be familiar with the term 'Sticky Pants' -- but it stems from the Latin ​

enquinero di milalo -- which in English translates as:
To be stuck in prosperity requires holding your position ​

On days like this Prosperity can often be hard to acknowledge but you must remember little children -- into every life a little rain must fall and the rain is good and refreshing. So consider the joy this day is bringing; keep your 'Sticky Pants' ON. ​

Good night my little ones ----- until I'm caught up ​

 

[Steadygain]

'Sticky Pants' -- stems from the Latin

enquinero di milalo -- which in English translates as:
To be stuck in prosperity requires holding your position
.......(Sticky).....................................(Pants)​

There is a tendency to over react to a day like today...

or a day like last Friday ...

So I will simply say that with only 1 real Trade per month -- I am out to Prove that Sticky Pants is your best option.

I seriously doubt the Markets will continue going up as fast as they did the last 9 months of 2009; but an Upward Thrend is solidly in motion.

By bailing -- you may save 1% on a bad day -- but you'll lose 3% or more before it's over. So I'm more focused on the Long Term.

GL to all

 

[Steadygain]

Since Birch is gone for a few weeks.....

With Neptune and Jupiter alligning as they are at present:

Except a 3% Gain -- for this week

and another 3 to 4% -- next week


Be IN to WIN

 

[Steadygain]

The Markets are trying to shake me loose.

My Sticky Pants are holding me tight but I may need to reapply glue


No one knows what the hell the Markets are going to do from one day to the next.....

MARKET RECAP: The Markets have solidly gained since 3/09 and may have risen too fast -- but no big deal -- GAIN they did.

At this point we simply have sustained 'Sideways Action' -- which is pretty boring ... but some days will feel good and others bad...

BOTTOMLINE: The Markets are not crashing --- they are holding Solid and even a Mild Correction in the near future is Unremarkable. Since no one (even Sugar & Spice) knows when the NEXT real wave up is...

.... it is best to HOLD ON

MARKETS usually always advance in 'Spurts' -- and over and over you hear a bunch of people saying 'Watch Out'.....

So my plan is to HOLD ON -- RIDE the NEXT ADVANCE UP - Get off and get back in.

 

[Steadygain]

WOW !!!!! I am very impressed !!


I honestly mean that !


Usually when we've gone through the exact same period of uncertainity -- and the Markets 'look scarey'....

I expect the IFTs of the Day to be overwhelmingly BEARISH

Today's Crowd is overwhelingly BULLISH -- and that's Smart

I admire that -- be willing to defy the odds
........................ignore the BS
........................see the overall picture

and rise to the TOP !!

Good job everyone !! You did excellent !!

 

[Guest2]

WOW !!!!! I am very impressed !!


I honestly mean that !


Usually when we've gone through the exact same period of uncertainity -- and the Markets 'look scarey'....

I expect the IFTs of the Day to be overwhelmingly BEARISH

Today's Crowd is overwhelingly BULLISH -- and that's Smart

I admire that -- be willing to defy the odds
........................ignore the BS
........................see the overall picture

and rise to the TOP !!

Good job everyone !! You did excellent !!

Yup ! We're all that and a bag of chips ! Been there, done that, got the T-Shirt ! If anything our home here at TSPTalk has taught me, sometimes "stay right and sit tight" is the way to go !

 

[Steadygain]

Squale ,

It's always a pleasure to have ya drop by !!


Yeah, I'm going to try to STAY IN a little longer when I do go in -- instead of looking for the one day pops...

...but when the Rahm hits the Fan you're best bet is to leave the room before it happens...

...having the 'Player' instinct .... to me it looks like the water is receeding fairly quickly... and I take all this as a major warning sign...


The year is just starting off -- so Nothing is that big of a deal at this point


Going to G Fund -- cause no other place is more comforting

 

[joylynn]

Hi Steadygain,

How am I supposed to be reacting to the bank stocks fall today in regard to the C fund? Is this for just a few days and a kangaroo tail or is this a permanent fall in the market?

Thanks a bunch!!

Joy Lynn

 

[Steadygain]

Hi Steadygain,

How am I supposed to be reacting to the bank stocks fall today in regard to the C fund? Is this for just a few days and a kangaroo tail or is this a permanent fall in the market?

Thanks a bunch!!

Joy Lynn

Well Joy,
First of all I'm thrilled for your visit !!

It's hard for me to not go overboard at first --- but I promise I'll calm down soon and you won't have to worry about me embarrassing you .... or whatever...

There was a Lady -- that use to interact quite a bit on the MB and I always kind of viewed her posts like 'Pretty Pictures' that gave the place a nice atmosphere.

Well I don't know what happened to her .... it's weird cause I kind of worry and wonder... but she hardly ever comes around anymore

I'm telling you this because your posts are similar -- so please do interact now that you got your feet wet.

OK -- now on to your question.

The Fall in C Fund -- and the rest of the Markets has been trivial up to this point. SO you should react with 'concern' -- but don't flip out or lose control.

No matter what happens, my dear friend, strive to maintain a confidence within yourself and know you are more than prepared for whatever happens down the road.

I believe we are at the 'beginning' of a new phase -- that most would describe as 'Market Deterioration'. At this point I would try to avoid grabbing one day gains. If, in fact, it is how it appears to me then waiting for a 'bounce' may be costly.

I very much enjoy the safety and comfort of G Fund when things 'feel' like this -- and all the more am thrilled to be in G Fund if the Markets would go down 15% -- before they settle down.

I may sound like I know what's happening ...... but I honestly have no clue. The Markets have largely been Manipulated by Governmental Powers over the past few years .... and something 'unexpected' could trigger another POP -- but I think the Markets themselves are ready for a little nap .....

...so that's my 2 cents Joy -- THANKS for askin'

 

[Steadygain]

Hi Steadygain,

How am I supposed to be reacting to the bank stocks fall today in regard to the C fund? Is this for just a few days and a kangaroo tail or is this a permanent fall in the market?

Thanks a bunch!!

Joy Lynn

Joy,
What a pleasure -- I'm honored !!

It the Markets are showing 'real instability' then the bulk of stocks are going to fall. Bank Stocks themselves can not fail -- at least the Big Banks -- I'm wrapped up in.

I would look at your PIP -- instead of the AT to help guage the Risk Level you actually have. That's a personal call -- but if you're over 15% (for instance) you've got room to play.

Holding on may pay off ~~ and more than not it does pay off ~~ but it's too early to tell. Too much sideways action ... and what appears to be like the Markets struggling to hold on ... could be dangerous.

Anyway - go to the tsp.gov site to check your PIP - and NO !! There is absolutely no way possible the fall is 'Permanent'

The Markets never work that way --- never have and never will -- and the greatest drop for this recent Hardship undoubtedly ended in 3/09.

Corrections are inevitable -- which is why the Players like me enjoy the GAME so much !!

BUT -- the opportunities for GAINS will pop up every month