Squalebear's Account Talk

[XL-entLady]

Love your new avatar, SB! Suave, dashing, debonair, just like you! :cheesy:

Re everyone's IFTs today: don't you just love that 12 hour lag time between request and buy-in? :suspicious:

Lady

 

[ATCJeff]

A final thought for today. I want to thank those members who stop by
and comment within my thread. The TSP Investors on this MB have so
much to contribute. The fact that they share their thoughts, help us
make informed decisions and keep us focused on the important issues.
Invaluable ! Timely ! Unmatched ! Diversified !

and No Spin:nuts:

 

[justbizness45]

Tracker results are out Poolman #1, WV-girl #2. Way to go!!

 

[Guest2]

Overpayment Reversal Denied Again. But the Overpayment is in the "Low"
Black area and a reversal is not out of the question just yet. IMHO the
Fund Managers will probably add to the Overpayment the next couple of
days. Thus, the (I) Fund may outperform the EFA. For the (I) Funder's
out there, this is not a bad spot to be in, should the Market get a much
needed temporary bounce from the Senate and Congress. Good Luck !

YTD O/D FOR ALL TSP FUNDS

(C) Fund vs. the SPX = 0.2162 TSP Cent Overpayment or +1.62%
(S) Fund vs. DWCPF. = 0.3786 TSP Cent Overpayment or +2.30%
(I). Fund vs. the EFA = 0.1291 TSP Cent Overpayment or +0.72%

DAILY (I) FUND VS. EFA O/D TRACKING RESULTS:

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(9/01/08) FEDERAL HOLIDAY
(9/02/08) +0.6546% -0.4584 tsp cents
(9/03/08) -0.8790% -0.2772 tsp cents
(9/04/08) +0.6018% -0.3826 tsp cents
(9/05/08) -0.5642% -0.2717 tsp cents
WEEKLY -0.1868% -0.0574 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(9/08/08) +0.1989% -0.3171 tsp cents
(9/09/08) +0.0157% -0.3098 tsp cents
(9/10/08) -0.1535% -0.2831 tsp cents
(9/11/08) -0.1739% -0.2491 tsp cents
(9/12/08) -0.3907% -0.1778 tsp cents
WEEKLY -0.3685% -0.0939 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(9/15/08) +0.8638% -0.3323 tsp cents
(9/16/08) -0.2278% -0.2873 tsp cents
(9/17/08) +0.8268% -0.4262 tsp cents
(9/18/08) -2.0361% -0.0642 tsp cents
(9/19/08) -0.4960%+0.0283 tsp cents
WEEKLY. -1.4600% -0.1495 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(9/22/08)+2.5382% -0.4628 tsp cents
(9/23/08) -0.8997% -0.2822 tsp cents
(9/24/08) -0.2518% -0.2347 tsp cents
(9/25/08) -0.5076% -0.1412 tsp cents
(9/26/08) +0.3903% -0.2149 tsp cents
WEEKLY. +0.7734%+0.1866 tsp cents

......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(9/29/08)+2.3205% -0.6001 tsp cents
(9/30/08) -3.4591%+0.0025 tsp cents
(10/01/08)-0.7365%-0.1291 tsp cents

THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ----
- .6000 thru -.4000 High Overpayment (Payback Past Due)
- .4000 thru -.3000 Elavated Overpayment, (Payback Immanent)
- .3000 thru -.2000 Medium Overpayment (Flip A Coin)
- .2000 thru -.1000 Low Overpayment, (Slightly Over Goal)
- .1000 thru -.0000 Minimum Overpayment (Goal is Met)
-------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
+.0000 thru+.1000 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
+.1000 thru+.1500 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
+.1500 thru+.2500 High Deficit (Rarely Goes Lower)
+.2500 thru+.3000 Windfall Coming !
---------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Guest2]

YTD IDX returns: YTD TSP returns: YTD SB current returns:
SPX= -20.93%.....C=...-19.60%....-04.90% (my figures)
DW.= -18.55%.....S=.. -16.71%....
EFA= -28.82%......I=...-27.81%...
AGG= -03.63%.....F=...+01.03%...
...........................G=...+02.88%...

MTD IDX returns: MTD TSP returns: MTD SB current returns:
SPX= -00.45%.....C=...-00.44%....+00.01% (my figures)
DW.= -00.76%.....S=.. -00.76%....
EFA= -00.75%.....I=....-00.01%...
AGG= -01.11%.....F=..+00.19%...
...........................G=..+00.01%..

 

[Guest2]

tracker results are out poolman #1, wv-girl #2. Way to go!!

way to go !
it was a tough month !
congratulations !
​

​

​

​

 

[poolman]

WAY TO GO !

IT WAS A TOUGH MONTH !
CONGRATULATIONS !

:d​

Thanks, Squalebear

 

[justbizness45]

Overpayment Reversal Denied Again. But the Overpayment is in the "Low"
Black area and a reversal is not out of the question just yet. IMHO the
Fund Managers will probably add to the Overpayment the next couple of
days. Thus, the (I) Fund may outperform the EFA. For the (I) Funder's
out there, this is not a bad spot to be in, should the Market get a much
needed temporary bounce from the Senate and Congress. Good Luck !

SB, just to give you an update I have been charting the data you gave me trying to find an indicator for the difference between EFA and the I fund. Nothing jumps out as an indicator but I will continue playing with it. There is a correlation somewhere and I would like to find it.

 

[Guest2]

Thanks JB45, you might find anything after June 24th tough. But prior to
June 24th (when the O/D Tracker showed a deficit), I always thought that
hitting the "red" would have made a pretty good "Buy" signal. I'd be very
much intersted should that pan out. Maybe even the day before, but that
would require a crystal ball to know that in advance. Thanks you for the
update. I'm looking forward to hearing from you about that.

 

[Guest2]

Capitol Hill to the rescue
A massive plan to bail out the faultering U.S. financial system is being
considered by Congress again. The Senate passed the Bill last night and
must go before Congress and then to the President. Its called the Emergency
Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, here are the bill's major actions:

*Authorizes Treasury Secretary to buy $700 billion of troubled assets.
*Increases deposit insurance at banks to $250,000 from $100,000.
*Limits executive pay and "golden parachutes" at participating firms.

*Requires government agencies to modify troubled mortgages.

*Includes tax relief measures and tax credits for business.

From some interviews that were broadcasted last night, politicians on both
side of the isle claim that their constituants took a look at their 401k's come
the day after the Dow Meltdown on Monday and have had a change of heart.
They state that many more have come to realize that this problem is for real
and that something needs to be done. Thats it ! Blame the taxpayer for making
you sign this bill. After all, its not your fault, right ! Brother !

 

[Guest2]

Initial Claims: Due Out 8:30am,,,,,,,Consensus= 475k
Factory Orders: Due Out 10:00am,,,Consensus=-2.9%
Congress BailOut: Rules may dictate a Friday Vote
​

 

[Guest2]

ATTENTION (I) FUNDERS
LONDON (MarketWatch) -- European shares climbed on Thursday
after the U.S. Senate approved a revised $700 billion rescue plan for
the financial sector and UBS said that it would report a quarterly
profit, as investors wait for a decision on interest rates from the
European Central Bank.

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- Asian markets mostly declined
Thursday, with financial-sector shares mixed in volatile trading after
the U.S. Senate approved the $700 billion financial rescue package.
Japanese indexes fell as automobile shares such as Toyota Motor
Corp. suffered a sell-off on sluggish September sales in the U.S.

​

 

[nasa1974]

SB, Nice avitar it has a regal look to it.

 

[CountryBoy]

SB, Nice avitar it has a regal look to it.

I think it has just that right mix of intelligence and class that the MB is missing.

CB

 

[nasa1974]

SB, See my account it might shed some light on the "I" fund.

 

[wv-girl]

I think it has just that right mix of intelligence and class that the MB is missing.

CB

Agreed. He looks so cuddley(sp) makes you just want to hug him.

 

[Guest2]

Hugs are always welcomed ! But, be prepared
for some extended hugs, I tend to take advantage
of others comfort zone ! :embarrest:

 

[Steadygain]

ATTENTION (I) FUNDERS

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- European shares climbed on Thursday
after the U.S. Senate approved a revised $700 billion rescue plan for
the financial sector and UBS said that it would report a quarterly
profit, as investors wait for a decision on interest rates from the
European Central Bank.​

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) -- Asian markets mostly declined
Thursday, with financial-sector shares mixed in volatile trading after
the U.S. Senate approved the $700 billion financial rescue package.
Japanese indexes fell as automobile shares such as Toyota Motor
Corp. suffered a sell-off on sluggish September sales in the U.S.​

Let's just hope that this (along with other pressures) is enough to convince the House to push it through.

The huge potiential problem with I FUND is that the European Banks are undergoing everybit the same strains that the US is now smoothing out and mending. The EU is more complicated and Germany is adamantly opposed to their roughly $700 Billion Bailout. So they are reaching the PEAK of their problems.

 

[Guest2]

Let's just hope that this (along with other pressures) is enough to convince the House to push it through. From your mouth to God's ears ! The huge potiential problem with I FUND is that the European Banks are undergoing everybit the same strains that the US is now smoothing out and mending. There always behind the curb, slow to recognize the hit, slow to make the fix. The EU is more complicated and Germany is adamantly opposed to their roughly $700 Billion Bailout. So they are reaching the PEAK of their problems. German Banks will fail and Irish Banks will Flourish because everyone is sending there money to Banks that guarantee a certain level of protection. ECB kept rates "unchanged" and we need a emergency rate cut now !

I'm feeling better that when everyone said the Bill would originaly pass
in the House, it DID NOT and today everyone is seriously questioning it
passing this time. Makes me think it will pass by 1 or 2 votes.

 

[Guest2]

SB, Nice avitar it has a regal look to it.

I think it has just that right mix of intelligence and class that the MB is missing. CB

Don't tell anyone, but I stole him from Minyanville.