Squalebear's Account Talk

Good job folks...now get out!

I took your advice and got out COB yesterday and went back to the lilly pad. I didn't get the full benefit, as some did, of buying all shares on Wednesday (went in stocks 50% Tuesday and 50% Wednesday), but I'll take it. I'm not in the tracker, but I calculate my YTD returns at about 3.25%, as of COB yesterday. Not stellar, but I'm satisfied with just not being negative in this environment. My bullets are now spent for the month.

In my opinion, the new RTC-type entity being set up will definitely help, by relieving financial institutions of immediate debt and allowing them to loan money, but I'm not sure it will explicitely help the basic problem, which is an oversupply of homes and an inability of people to make their mortgage payments. I guess it's a start though - it will take this action and time to really heal the housing market supply/demand balance.
 
As Wall Street scrambles, TSP plans for upgrades and emergencies
By Alyssa Rosenberg arosenberg@govexec.com September 15, 2008

The Federal Retirement Thrift Investment Board expects the Thrift Savings Plan's costs to remain low next year even as systems modernization and communications efforts continue. The board also is crafting a continuity of operations plan to keep the TSP running in the event of a firm collapse, or the firing of an investment manager.

"You're running this place for basically the same [budget] you ran it for six years ago, and that includes spending money on new systems and new hardware," Board Chairman Andrew Saul said of the plan to request a budget of $114.5 million for fiscal 2009. "Deeper management bench, two call centers, it's a totally different operation... . It's not us. I think the senior staff deserves the credit."

That proposed budget includes $85.8 million for systems support, security, call centers and record-keeping; $6.3 million for communications, including release of a TSP education DVD originally scheduled for fiscal 2008; $12.9 million for pay and benefits for staff; and $9.4 million for rent, information technology updates, a participant survey and redesign of the TSP Web site.

Board members also discussed Wall Street's tumultuous weekend. Interfund transfers continued to fall in August, hitting a low of 67,910. But Tracey Ray, TSP's chief investment officer, said large losses likely to hit the stock market Monday could prompt a higher rate of transfers into the government securities fund, considered the most stable of the plan's offerings. Investment firm Lehman Brothers filed for bankruptcy Monday while Bank of America bought Merrill Lynch. Both developments have caused turmoil in the market.

Gregory Long, TSP's executive director, said he hoped participants would keep at least some of their money in equity funds. "We do continue to reinforce the message that if you have a long-term goal, you should have long-term plans," he said.

Board member Alejandro Sanchez noted that plan participants actually could benefit by buying equity funds when their value is low as long as they were prepared to wait out the current downturn for their investment to increase in value.

The churning on Wall Street may have provided some of the incentive for a request the board members made on Aug. 18, when they asked Long to prepare a memo on what the TSP's contingency plan would be if an emergency made it necessary to withdraw plan funds out of Barclays Global Investors and transfer them elsewhere.

Long concluded that the best approach would be to convene a special board meeting to approve a request to immediately transfer the funds to a new manager and to negotiate a sole-source contract with a new manager.

"There would be some systems changes, but we would be able to manually do, for an indefinite period, what we do systematically today so there would be no impact to the participants," Long said. "What this says is we're planning for an unlikely event, but it's still prudent to plan."
 
Rescue plan takes shape on Capitol Hill
Congress begins drafting authority for sweeping U.S. package
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch
Last update: 1:33 p.m. EDT Sept. 20, 2008

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. lawmakers began hammering out legislative authority on Saturday for the Bush administration to undertake a sweeping, $700 billion rescue of the American financial system.


Lawmakers and administration officials were expected to work through the weekend to hash out details of a multipart package to revive the financial system and sustain the U.S. economy.

The plan allows the government to buy the bad debt of U.S. financial institutions for the next two years, according to a draft of the proposed legislation. It gives the Treasury secretary the authority to buy $700 billion in mortgage-related assets, in a bid to address the root cause of the turmoil that swept through markets this past week and resulted in the filing for bankruptcy by and government takeovers of some of the biggest U.S. financial companies.

It would raise the statutory limit on the national debt from $10.6 trillion to $11.3 trillion. The proposal does not specify what the government would get in return from financial companies for the federal assistance, according to a copy of the brief draft plan. The administration and Congress are aiming for quick action on the plan as markets remain jittery.
On Saturday, President Bush called the crisis "a pivotal moment for America's economy," in his weekly radio address.

Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson sent the plan to Capitol Hill on Friday night, a Treasury spokesman said. Lawmakers have pledged rapid action. On Friday, some said they were optimistic it would be approved next week. Sen. Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., in a statement released by his office, offered a mixed reaction to the proposal. "This is a good foundation of a plan that can stabilize markets quickly," he said. "But it includes no visible protection for taxpayers or homeowners. We look forward to talking to Treasury to see what, if anything, they have in mind in these two areas."

Republican and Democratic staff from the Senate Banking Committee and the House Financial Services Committee were set to meet with Treasury staff Saturday to discuss the proposal. Democrats on Capitol Hill are expected to demand that the legislation include some of their priorities in return for quick passage of the plan. Analysts said that this would likely include some mechanism to help homeowners refinance mortgages on homes that have dropped sharply in value.

If approved by lawmakers, the plan would give the Treasury secretary broad power to buy and sell the toxic mortgage-related assets without any additional involvement by Congress. The plan would require that the congressional committees for budget, tax and financial services be briefed within three months of the government's first use of the act, and every six months after that, according to reports.

President Bush said the package will be costly but is necessary. The measures being taken by the administration, the Treasury and the Securities Exchange Commission "require us to put a significant amount of taxpayer dollars on the line," Bush said. "But I'm convinced that this bold approach will cost American families far less than the alternative. Further stress on our financial markets would cause massive job losses, devastate retirement accounts, further erode housing values, and dry up new loans for homes, cars, and college tuitions," he said. In the unprecedented action, Paulson has said that he wants to spend "hundreds of billions" of dollars to take unsellable mortgage assets off the balance sheets of financial firms. The hope is that this will unclog the financial system and allow banks to lend funds to each other and clients.

The failure of banks to lend is considered a big risk to the economic outlook. Without access to funds, businesses and consumers will cut back spending. Among the things the government is asking for is the authority to hire asset managers to oversee the buying of assets, the Wall Street Journal reported Saturday on its Web site. The New York Times reported that Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke warned members of Congress of the risk of a deep and extended recession unless action was taken to clear the toxic mortgage assets from bank balance sheets.

Treasury staff and Hill staff will attend meetings Saturday, while Paulson works the phone with individual members. Outside experts said it was crucial to know the price that Treasury would pay for the assets. A deal that is good for banks would be bad for taxpayers, analysts said. A more effective program would also be more costly. Some legislative add-ons may slow the package. Democrats may want to revisit their proposal of earlier this year to give bankruptcy judges power to lower the principal and interest rate of a home mortgage.

At the moment, bankruptcy judges only have this power over vacation homes. The mortgage industry is firmly opposed to this measure. Senate Banking Chairman Christopher Dodd, D-Conn., speaking to reporters Friday, said it is important for the final legislation to deal with the record numbers of foreclosures and not just a bailout of financial firms. "My hope is that this plan will not only allow us to deal with illiquid debt and obligations out there but also focus as well on bringing to a closure the foreclosure problem as well," Dodd said at a press conference.

Greg Robb is a senior reporter for MarketWatch in Washington.
 
Better be a good boy, SB. If not, you may be PERSECUTED!USGGE

I'm not bad, I was just drawn that way !
{Who Framed Roger Rabitt Reference}
:toung:

I'm hoping this is simple fun and not related to another issue
which I've just become aware of. If this is a heads up of some
kind, please believe me when I say, I've been a Very Good Boy and
always play within the rules !​
 
Last edited:
U.S. stock futures slip as asset plan debated


By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch
Last update: 5:44 a.m. EDT Sept. 22, 2008
LONDON (MarketWatch) -- U.S. stock futures slipped on Monday as traders sought out more details on a government plan to buy troubled mortgage assets and as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley bid farewell to the independent brokerage model by applying to become banks.

S&P 500 futures fell 5.2 points to 1,240.80 and Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 4.25 points to 1,735.25. Dow industrial futures fell 44 points.
U.S. stocks ended last week pretty much where they started, with the Dow industrials down less than one percentage point and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite enjoying slight gains.

The week featured the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, the U.S. government loan package for American International Group, the planned acquisition of Merrill Lynch by Bank of America, a new money-market insurance fund, an outline of a plan for the government to take on troubled assets from banks and a temporary ban on the short sales of financial stocks.

Entire Article: http://www.marketwatch.com/news/sto...x?guid={9A2D31C6-CCE6-4786-8D05-93E2391066AC}
 
WaMu, Under U.S. Pressure, Scrambles for Deal or Capital

Washington Mutual Inc. pushed Sunday to decide its fate, continuing talks with potential buyers amid mounting pressure from federal regulators.
The Seattle thrift has drawn interest from potential suitors such as Citigroup Inc., J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., Wells Fargo & Co. and Banco Santander SA of Spain, according to people familiar with the situation.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122204238454061333.html
 
Goldman, Morgan Scrap Wall Street Model,
Become Banks in Bid to Ride Out Crisis

The Federal Reserve, in an attempt to prevent the crisis on Wall Street from infecting its two premier institutions, took the extraordinary measure on Sunday night of agreeing to convert investment banks Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. into traditional bank holding companies.
With the move, Wall Street as it has long been known -- a coterie of independent brokerage firms that buy and sell securities, advise clients and are less regulated than old-fashioned banks -- will cease to exist. Wall Street's two most prestigious institutions will come under the close supervision of national bank regulators.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122202739111460721.html
 
Can you imagine what the Market would do if Congress delayed or tried to
add additional stipulations to the plans of fixing this financial crisis. Well,
that is exactly what they're planning on doing. I heard a Senator on Talk
Radio this morning state that they will not let companies walk away with
a "Gold Parachute" at the expense of Taxpayers. Investment means risk
and possible losses without the Government jumping in to bail them out.
If its a decision between Depression or Government Intervention, then
thats different and the Government will do all it can to ensure our economy
is sound. :confused:

As for me, I go into Depression every time I see Government Intervention ! :cheesy:
 
In Pre-Market Trading, the EFA is currently down -.91%
Something is telling my gut that, this is going to be an up day for stocks by 4pm !
Of coarse, that means absolutely nothing because I haven't been correct for 3 months!
 
Can you imagine what the Market would do if Congress delayed or tried to
add additional stipulations to the plans of fixing this financial crisis. Well,
that is exactly what they're planning on doing. I heard a Senator on Talk
Radio this morning state that they will not let companies walk away with
a "Gold Parachute" at the expense of Taxpayers. Investment means risk
and possible losses without the Government jumping in to bail them out.
If its a decision between Depression or Government Intervention, then
thats different and the Government will do all it can to ensure it doesn't
happen. :confused:
I watched Paulson on Face the Nation yesterday. He was saying that he wanted his bill to go through Congress quick and clean, i.e., no add-ons. Then Congressman Barney Frank as head of Congressional Banking Committee (not official title of the committee but not going to take the time to look it up now) said that Congress wasn't going to let these heads of corporations who created the problem walk out the door with mega-bonuses for their efforts.

I agree that they shouldn't be rewarded. But the fox has been guarding the henhouse, and now that all the chickens have been eaten the farmer is saying, "Oh my goodness how could we have seen this coming! Bad fox! Bad fox!" :mad:

Lady
 
Global Players Must Watch the Dollar
(I) Funder's Must Read !

A strong dollar could mean weak returns for investors in overseas stocks. Main Street investors poured billions into international stock funds during the past several years as the tumbling dollar turbocharged returns. Now that the dollar appears to be on the rebound, those investors face tough choices about whether to sell, hedge their bets or just stick it out.

"International stocks are underperforming the S&P 500 because the dollar is strengthening," says Jeffrey Sprowles, a Langhorne, Pa., financial planner, who built what he calls a "terrific" track record betting heavily on international stocks. The strategy "hasn't helped my clients at all in the past few months. My numbers have been lousy."

Currency fluctuations have a big impact on the performance of foreign stocks because investors translate dollars into local currency when they buy, and then back into dollars when they sell. The MSCI EAFE Index, a widely watched benchmark of developed country stocks, returned 14% on average over the past five years measured in dollars, more than double its return of 6.8% in local currencies. Encouraged by those results, U.S. investors poured more than $300 billion into international stock mutual funds between 2003 and 2008, according to AMG Data Services. Now, with the dollar hitting six-month highs against the euro, the dynamic has reversed. In the past month, developed-country stocks are up slightly, by 0.8%. But when those returns are translated into dollars, U.S. investors are actually down 4%.

Some investors are taking action. Herb Morgan, president of Efficient Market Advisors LLC, an investment adviser in Camino Del Mar, Calif., cut his clients' exposure to iShares MSCI EAFE ETF and increased holdings of two U.S.-oriented investments, iShares S&P MidCap 400 ETF and iShares Russell 2000 ETF, a fund oriented to small company stocks. Mr. Morgan focused on stocks of small and midsize companies because behemoths in the Fortune 500 tend to earn a bigger portion of their profits abroad, meaning they too are vulnerable to a stronger dollar. "It's all about the U.S.," he says. Some managers try to protect investors from currency swings by making bets in the currency markets to offset the risks currency fluctuations pose. Hedging can add to the costs of a fund, hurting results, and it can be risky since missed calls mean investors can miss big gains.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122049529148397893.html?mod=MKTW
 
I watched Paulson on Face the Nation yesterday. He was saying that he wanted his bill to go through Congress quick and clean, i.e., no add-ons. Then Congressman Barney Frank as head of Congressional Banking Committee (not official title of the committee but not going to take the time to look it up now) said that Congress wasn't going to let these heads of corporations who created the problem walk out the door with mega-bonuses for their efforts.

I agree that they shouldn't be rewarded. But the fox has been guarding the henhouse, and now that all the chickens have been eaten the farmer is saying, "Oh my goodness how could we have seen this coming! Bad fox! Bad fox!" :mad:

Lady

I agree Lady ,,,, Fox On The Run ! {Sweet Reference} ;)
 
Global Players Must Watch the Dollar



(I) Funder's Must Read !

A strong dollar could mean weak returns for investors in overseas stocks.

I would agree my brother. The I Fund going down is a secondary concern for European Markets. The most important thing at this point is STABLIZING the US Markets, sweeping the dirt under the carpet (or somehow making it disappear), and having the full guarantee that "it's water under the bridge and we are solid and moving forward with strength".

Once US Markets have "proved themselves" - European Markets will fly once again. They'd done too much over the recent past to let this fall now - good times are coming.
 
In Pre-Market Trading, the EFA is currently down -.91%
Something is telling my gut that, this is going to be an up day for stocks by 4pm !
Of coarse, that means absolutely nothing because I haven't been correct for 3 months!

Sorry, but your streak continues.:D
 
;)
I would agree my brother. The I Fund going down is a secondary concern for European Markets. The most important thing at this point is STABLIZING the US Markets, sweeping the dirt under the carpet (or somehow making it disappear), and having the full guarantee that "it's water under the bridge and we are solid and moving forward with strength".

Once US Markets have "proved themselves" - European Markets will fly once again. They'd done too much over the recent past to let this fall now - good times are coming.

I agree Steady, Europe will be lagging behind until the US Market has pulled
the rabitt out of its hat and stablizes. Your the best !
 
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