Within the O/D Tracker, a firm trend has been estiblished. The weekly
addition and subtraction of the Overpayment has been consistantly a
Plus, Minus, Plus, Minus, beyond what you see in this post. I haven't
looked into this fact just yet and may mean nothing at all. But its still
there non the less. The swings in the O/D Tracker this week is a stark
reminder of how hard the (I) Fund is to fugure out. The Tracker is of
no help when fluxuations occur as they have. Its volitility thats clear.
Risk is high ! Even while in the "Low" area of the tracker. The Fund Mgrs.
have utilized this area to offset losses as of late, then, compound more
losses with paybacks. The INO.com site continues to send me daily eval's
of the EFA. Not much has changed since I last mentioned this. They say
the EFA is in a serious and strong downtrend (duuuh) and give it a rating
of Negative
-95 (the worst being
-100). Its one thing being wrong about
going into the (F) or (C) Funds, but being wrong in the (I) Fund can & has
been proven to be as painful as it was profitable, over the last few years.
I get a little tired of the doom & gloom conclusions I keep writing within
this summary, but until things change, you'll get the truth as I see it.
No Smoke and Mirrors, No Feathers or Fluff.
(go ahead L2R, I opened the door) LoL.
YTD O/D FOR ALL TSP FUNDS
(C) Fund vs. the SPX = 0.2150 TSP Cent Overpayment or +1.51%
(S) Fund vs.. DWCPF = 0.2932 TSP Cent Overpayment or +1.64%
(I) .Fund vs. the EFA = 0.2717 TSP Cent Overpayment or +1.43%
(F) Fund vs. the AGG = 0.3899 TSP Cent Overpayment or +3.18%
DAILY (I) FUND VS. EFA O/D TRACKING RESULTS:
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(8/11/08)
+0.5724% -0.4440 tsp cents
(8/12/08)
-0.0567% -0.4287 tsp cents
(8/13/08)
-0.7199% -0.2719 tsp cents
(8/14/08)
+0.6715% -0.4104 tsp cents
(8/15/08) -0.1735% -0.3715 tsp cents
WEEKLY..+0.0393%+0.0496 tsp cents
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(8/18/08)
+0.0903% -0.3882 tsp cents
(8/19/08)
-0.4733% -0.2878 tsp cents
(8/20/08)
-0.1002% -0.2692 tsp cents
(8/21/08)
-0.1488% -0.2401 tsp cents
(8/22/08) +0.0729% -0.2561 tsp cents
WEEKLY..-0.5591% -0.1154 tsp cents
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(8/25/08)
+0.7622% -0.4063 tsp cents
(8/26/08) -0.4230% -0.3220 tsp cents
(8/27/08)
-0.5610% -0.2106 tsp cents
(8/28/08)
+0.3609% -0.2877 tsp cents
(8/29/08) +0.2044% -0.3291 tsp cents
WEEKLY +0.3435% +0.0730 tsp cents
......DATE.....DLY % DIFF.....YTD TSP CENTS.....
(9/01/08) FEDERAL HOLIDAY
(9/02/08)
+0.6546% -0.4584 tsp cents
(9/03/08)
-0.8790% -0.2772 tsp cents
(9/04/08)
+0.6018% -0.3826 tsp cents
(9/05/08) -0.5642% -0.2717 tsp cents
WEEKLY -0.1868% -0.0574 tsp cents
THE KEY:
------------------------------------------------- WE OWE THEM ----
- .6000 thru -.4000 High Overpayment (Rarely Goes Higher
- .4000 thru -.3000 Meduim Overpayment, (Flip A Coin)
- .3000 thru -.2000 Low Overpayment (Goal is Met)
- .2000 thru -.1000 (Not Seen Too Often)
- .1000 thru -.0000 (Not Seen For Over 2 Months)
-------------------------------------------------- THEY OWE US ----
+.0000 thru+.1000 Low Deficit (Goal is Met)
+.1000 thru+.1500 Medium Deficit (Flip A Coin)
+.1500 thru+.2500 High Deficit (Rarely Goes Lower)
+.2500 thru+.3000 Windfall Coming !
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