Silverbird's Account Talk

[Silverbird]

:blink: Ruh roh. yeah...went to a non-participant hospital. They did a great job taking out my gall bladder :laugh: last month, but the unexpected size of the bill smarts! Sigh...and no I I'm not in an HMO, so insurance did cover some.

 

[nasa1974]

Ouch!! that hurt's. No pun intended. Hope you are on the road to a full recovery.

 

[Silverbird]

I'm great, I just can't pick up anything over 15 lbs for a couple weeks. It's a very routine procedure, and I picked a hospital I knew does a good job. My pocketbook, well a bit skinnier.

 

[Birchtree]

With the Davinche robot it's a same day surgery almost. Three small incisions with minimal trauma - but it is expensive.

 

[Silverbird]

Okay...that's wierd.
Sorry don't have time to put the charts up but P and F for
$AGG = Bullish obj. 125, triple top breakout Sept 11
$SPX = Bullish obj. 1295 no new pattern
$EMW (S) = Low Pole Reversal Oct 6, bearish obj. 450
$MSEAFE (I, sort of) = High pole warning, Oct 1, bullish obj. 1870

what to do, what to do....
missed the tick for this paycheck, but need to figure out when to jump in

 

[Birchtree]

Hesitation will be expensive.

 

[Silverbird]

Ok, Seven Sentinals say yes, P and F says yes to all except S fund.
Bird's landing, lol, sort of, one wing still up as usual.

G = 70
F = 7
C = 10
S = 5 (hope to buy later - assume P and F is right and there will be a lul)
I = 8

 

[Silverbird]

Good news: The economy is getting better
Bad news: That means better than last year, or better than last quarter. "I'm getting better!"

Good news: Stock market going up, that means indications we are getting out of this mess
Bad news: If this is "out of this mess", the new reality is going to be really tough.

So that's my two cents.

 

[Steadygain]

Good news: The economy is getting better
Bad news: That means better than last year, or better than last quarter. "I'm getting better!"

Good news: Stock market going up, that means indications we are getting out of this mess
Bad news: If this is "out of this mess", the new reality is going to be really tough.

So that's my two cents.

Thanks Silverbird --- one of your best :toung::nuts:

 

[Silverbird]

New allocation
G: 81%
F: 10%
I: 9%
Taking my gains in US stocks for now. I'm trying to be a little more active, but I have to admit I just can't bet the entire nest.

 

[Silverbird]

:notrust: Maybe "I" was a mistake. Really don't want to bail completely out of stocks though.

 

[Silverbird]

The bird grumbles
IFT
G: 75%
F: 25%

New Contributions: 100%F

 

[Silverbird]

Dollar up, stocks down, we can see what the equity investors think about the falling dollar - they like it.

 

[Silverbird]

Here we go, the bird must go a little longer term. Retirement for us FERS folks doesn't look like it's going to occur in our 50's.

G 70
C 10
S 15
I 5

New Contributions:
C 35
S 50
I 15

 

[alevin]

Here we go, the bird must go a little longer term. Retirement for us FERS folks doesn't look like it's going to occur in our 50's.

G 70
C 10
S 15
I 5

New Contributions:
C 35
S 50
I 15

Maybe not in our 60's either, SB. :blink: And yes, I'm going to take a few more risks this next year too, but not just yet. We're coming up on a quarter that would have to end lower than either 2d or 3d quarter of 09, based on TD DeMark indicator counts. And when we get that signal, it will be a set up for eventually selling bigtime, but the setup can extend higher-another 13 quarters before the BIG sell signal really hits, by DeMark system. But it doesn't have to extend upwards from that point, so I'll be making decisions about quarterly entry point sometime Jan-March once I get a sense of how low things may go this coming quarter. I think we're in a rangebound market myself for awhile to come.

 

[Silverbird]

Might've been the right place, must've been the wrong time. Or at least it's beginning to appear that way....

 

[Steadygain]

New Contributions:
C 35
S 50
I 15

Just a hunch, but more than likely the more you're invested the better off you'll be in the LONG TERM.

 

[Silverbird]

This is wierd, market going up with a bad jobs report? I think investors are jumping in because they expected the stocks to suffer a one day wonder downhill due to the jobs report. I was thinking that earlier, myself, with the jobs report it looked like it was going to be a "buy" day. But so far I think I see too many bunnies with the same idea this morning.

 

[Birchtree]

The market may be thinking the Fed will have to keep rates even for awhile longer. We have earnings starting next week and they are going to be very positive in comparison to last year. The market is a discounting mechanism for the future - the only question is how far into the future is the market looking.

 

[Silverbird]

Well, lets see if I'm right...
G 66
C 12
S 17
I 5
nibble nibble