Show-me Account Talk

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WOW, 800 is a mighty grand prediction! That would be more like a Depression than a Recession.

I'm thinking that in the short term, 1360-1370 is an absolute certainty. I Think that this week COULD be a short term bottom...sort of anemic on the data front, and even marginally bad data is sending us down. Just the spector off what is on the economic plate for next week should have everyone shaking. That being said, looking for a short term bottom this week, then HUGE moves next week.
 
I'm thinking that in the short term, 1360-1370 is an absolute certainty. I Think that this week COULD be a short term bottom...sort of anemic on the data front, and even marginally bad data is sending us down. Just the spector off what is on the economic plate for next week should have everyone shaking. That being said, looking for a short term bottom this week, then HUGE moves next week.

I agree! Looking at the chart 1363.98 was the March low and 1370.60 was the August low. A test of those lows is looking very possible.

Now, let's remember the PPT is waiting in the wings. That said, I will add that in my limited time watching the markets it seems like every time the market is about to flush hard, something props it up. To me this does not seen natural and the market has become very volatile because of this artificial support. Do I sound like a conspiracy theorist yet? :blink::nuts:

The ultimate point is that earning are not great, the economy is slowing down, energy and food are high. Housing is way off, employers and the market are getting nervous. Don't believe me. Then why is the photo of Cheney, Bush, Paulson, and Bernanke sitting at the same table in USA Today. That makes me nervous! Would you like to be a mouse in that room?

Not exactly the perfect breeding ground for a strong market.
 
Well I don't know exactly how my day is going to play out tomorrow. I'm going to my Mother's and won't be back until around 5:00 p.m. Hopefully her INTERNET is working. Long story, She's a subscriber to AOL and pays every month for the last 7 year's but she doesn't do anything on line at all. I was able to use her userid and password over the Christmas break to sign on. I was updating her computer with massive updates all day over a 56K modem. Worst case scenario is I make and IFT over the phone and cannot post to AutoTracker. Hopefully EW will OK this. This is a very rare occasion for me. Who knows I may not even change my IFT.

:)
 
My initial feeling is that we have more than one day of upside. My hope is that the PPT say something to rally the troops and then we can sell into that strength. Here is the line up on data below.

I will add that my trusty Stock Traders Almanac sez:

Wednesday, Thursday,and Friday are mundane. Now Monday is the "First Trading Day of January Expiration Week, Dow Up 11 of last 15". Tuesday is historically bullish for the S&P. And, Friday "January Expiration Day, Dow Down 8 of Last 9 with Big Losses". Things that make you go hummm.



Wednesday, January 9:
  • Earnings: Mosaic(MOS), Alcoa (AA), Ruby Tuesday (RT), Helen of Troy (HELE), WD-40 Co. (WDFC)
  • Economic Data: None
  • Events: VF Corp. Analyst Meeting
  • Conferences: Annual Needham Growth Conference, Consumer Electronics Assoc. Conference and Show, Citigroup Entertainment Conference, JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, Pritchard Capital Partners Energize Conference
  • Fed Speakers: St. Louis Fed President Poole discusses U.S. economic activity in St. Louis (9:30 AM ET)
Thursday, January 10:
  • Earnings:Shuffle Master (SHFL), IHS Inc. (IHS)
  • Economic Data: Initial Jobless Claims (week ending Jan. 5), November Wholesale Inventories, Crude Inventories (week ending Jan. 5)
  • Events: Merit Medical Supplies Investor Meeting, December Same-Store Sales
  • Conferences: Annual Needham Growth Conference, Consumer Electronics Assoc. Conference and Show, Citigroup Entertainment Conference, JP Morgan Healthcare Conference
  • Fed Speakers: Fed Chairman Bernanke speaks on economic outlook (1:00 PM ET), Kansas City Fed President Hoenig speaks in Kansas City regarding U.S. economic outlook (1:00 PM ET)
Friday, January 11:
  • Earnings: Infosys(INFY)
  • Economic Data: December Import and Export Prices, November Trade Balance, December Treasury Budget
  • Events: Merit Medical Supplies Investor Meeting
  • Conferences: Annual Needham Growth Conference
  • Fed Speakers: Fed Governor Mishkin on monetary policy flexibility, risk management and financial disruptions (12:45 ET), Boston Fed President Rosengren speaks at an economic outlook conference in VT (1:00 PM ET)
 
The big one that worries me is Alcoa. They report after the bell and I heard a rumor that the are lowering guidance.
 
Tracy Ray portrayed by Slim Pickens.
S&P 500 protrude by large missile.
Greg Long -Aka. Dr. Stangelove, Peter Sellers.

 
I may have misread another thread - but it sounded like the 2 trades/month were already in place. I was unavailable to look for and follow your guidance yesterday but if I make an ITF today - am I stuck with that the remainder of this month????
 
I may have misread another thread - but it sounded like the 2 trades/month were already in place. I was unavailable to look for and follow your guidance yesterday but if I make an ITF today - am I stuck with that the remainder of this month????

I don't think so. Not yet.
 
Thank you! Now lets hope we continue highter. Still waiting on the PPT to step up and give us a bone.
 
Hammer time!!!

OK folks, check this out!!! Hammer time! I only apply this to the S fund. It has been beat down very hard and due some rally time.

View attachment 3029

Check out the hammer for today and take a look back at the low from the week of Aug. 13 on the same chart. Look familiar?

PPT to the rescue!!! :nuts:

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$EMW&p=D&yr=0&mn=6&dy=0&id=p51972347693

The Hammer and Hanging Man look exactly alike, but have different implications based on the preceding price action. Both have small real bodies (black or white), long lower shadows and short or non-existent upper shadows. As with most single and double candlestick formations, the Hammer and Hanging Man require confirmation before action.

candle4-hammerhanging2.gif

The Hammer is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a decline. In addition to a potential trend reversal, hammers can mark bottoms or support levels. After a decline, hammers signal a bullish revival. The low of the long lower shadow implies that sellers drove prices lower during the session. However, the strong finish indicates that buyers regained their footing to end the session on a strong note. While this may seem enough to act on, hammers require further bullish confirmation. The low of the hammer shows that plenty of sellers remain. Further buying pressure, and preferably on expanding volume, is needed before acting. Such confirmation could come from a gap up or long white candlestick. Hammers are similar to selling climaxes, and heavy volume can serve to reinforce the validity of the reversal.
The Hanging Man is a bearish reversal pattern that can also mark a top or resistance level. Forming after an advance, a Hanging Man signals that selling pressure is starting to increase. The low of the long lower shadow confirms that sellers pushed prices lower during the session. Even though the bulls regained their footing and drove prices higher by the finish, the appearance of selling pressure raises the yellow flag. As with the Hammer, a Hanging Man requires bearish confirmation before action. Such confirmation can come as a gap down or long black candlestick on heavy volume.
 
Show-me,
True, the article you showed is improved (and more recent) - but still -

Everyone should go look at http://www.fedsmith.com/ right now - today's main page -front and center, the 1st article (3rd bullet, read: "Winner and Losers:") -its dated, from Nov, but still -right there it is - 1st article, smack, dead, -front & center!

More I read this @ss's site - well, let's just say I won't be going back to it - ever!
Its now purged from my list! (sorry, but he's just no journalist -fair or balanced, and IMO, should be flogged or sued) - just one more big, wet bite, well you know... :notrust:
VR
 
[FONT=arial, helvetica]Investing[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]Kass: Fed Is Cutting Soon[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]By Doug Kass[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]RealMoney Silver Contributor[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]1/9/2008 11:59 AM EST[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]URL: http://www.thestreet.com/newsanalysis/investing/10397800.html[/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]This blog post originally appeared on RealMoney Silver on Jan. 8 at 9:29 a.m. EST. [/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]I have friends. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]I have friends in Washington D.C. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]I have friends who are very close to the Administration. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]I have friends who are very close to members of the Fed. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]This morning, several of those friends gave me an indication of heightened concerns regarding the domestic economy -- far more than what has been expressed by the President, the Secretary of the Treasury, and the Federal Reserve in various platforms over the last week. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]And they say that the Fed will ease momentarily. [/FONT]
 
[FONT=arial, helvetica]Investing[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]Kass: Fed Is Cutting Soon[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]By Doug Kass[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]RealMoney Silver Contributor[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]1/9/2008 11:59 AM EST[/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]URL: http://www.thestreet.com/newsanalysis/investing/10397800.html[/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]This blog post originally appeared on RealMoney Silver on Jan. 8 at 9:29 a.m. EST. [/FONT]
[FONT=arial, helvetica]I have friends. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]I have friends in Washington D.C. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]I have friends who are very close to the Administration. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]I have friends who are very close to members of the Fed. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]This morning, several of those friends gave me an indication of heightened concerns regarding the domestic economy -- far more than what has been expressed by the President, the Secretary of the Treasury, and the Federal Reserve in various platforms over the last week. [/FONT]

[FONT=arial, helvetica]And they say that the Fed will ease momentarily. [/FONT]

I have friends in D.C. too.... :nuts:

Sounds like bad news to me. Good for a 150 pt. pop in the market thou but we'll sell it right off IMO
 
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