Sensei's account talk

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Elliott wise, "this move to new all time highs on the ratio adjusted NYAD changes the current Dow count from being that of Intermediate 3 of Primary 5 to Intermediate wave 3 of Primary 3 to the upside. Dow upside price objectives under such conditions can be quite high. In the bigger scheme of things it really doesn't matter whether it's of Primary or Cycle degree for we're going to see numbers on the upside that are going to dwarf anything you might imagine." We are not even at the point of recognition yet - wait on it. The A/D line is a long term gauge of money flow.
 
I'm starting to get the twitches. The S fund is up over 9%, and it's only mid-February. Lots of chatter about the rally running out of steam and the pullback (dare I say "crash") is near. How could I not be racked with fear? And yet I press on. Let me think of reasons why.

1. Sentiment survey and LMBF method tell me so.
2. I'm trying to stay true to my "system" of staying in a bull market until a close below the 20 day SMA on the SPX. A pullback to that point would shave - what? - about 2% off my YTD return?
3. There's still room above the current price before hitting the bollinger band. It seems past pullbacks in bull markets have come after a violation of the upper bollie. So let 'er rip.

Personal note: Running the Okinawa Marathon on Sunday (Saturday evening in the States). I've prepared long and hard for it, and now I'm resting up and carb-loading. I feel great. The butterflies are already getting started though. Can't wait to get out there and just run. Shooting for under 4 hours - I'll let you know how it turns out!
 
Sensei said:
Personal note: Running the Okinawa Marathon on Sunday (Saturday evening in the States). I've prepared long and hard for it, and now I'm resting up and carb-loading. I feel great. The butterflies are already getting started though. Can't wait to get out there and just run. Shooting for under 4 hours - I'll let you know how it turns out!
Click to expand...

Good luck. It is what you have been training for.
 
Sensei said:
Personal note: Running the Okinawa Marathon on Sunday (Saturday evening in the States). I've prepared long and hard for it, and now I'm resting up and carb-loading. I feel great. The butterflies are already getting started though. Can't wait to get out there and just run. Shooting for under 4 hours - I'll let you know how it turns out!
Click to expand...


Is the island big enough for a 26 mile marathon?:D

I was stationed there from 84-88, at Torrii Station. Where are you at if I might ask?

Good luck.
 
I did it - all 26.2 miles. I missed my goal of 4 hours by a long shot. It took 4:28, but not bad for a guy running his first marathon at 37. I had run 18.5 miles previously in only 2:33, but I ran a flatter course, and I was all by myself without having to worry about tripping over the 10,000 people who started ahead of me. It was definitely a learning experience, and very gratifying. Thanks for all your well wishes!

Kaufmanrider said:
Is the island big enough for a 26 mile marathon?:D

I was stationed there from 84-88, at Torrii Station. Where are you at if I might ask?

Good luck.
Click to expand...

Torii's nice - a lot of Americans choose to live over there because of the nices beaches. I work at Kadena AB, but live on the Pacific side of the island.
 
That's awesome and a great time too! I'm impressed with anyone who puts in the time, training, and dedication, it's an impressive feat, did you hit the wall?
 
The only way I would run 26.5 miles is if some maniac with a knife were chasing me.:laugh: Good work Sensei, you'll do better next time.
 
JTH said:
That's awesome and a great time too! I'm impressed with anyone who puts in the time, training, and dedication, it's an impressive feat, did you hit the wall?
Click to expand...

Thanks JTH. Yeah, I'd say the wall hit me at about the half-way point. It was pretty much all uphill from the 10km to 27km marks, then we entered Kadena Air Base and the raucous American cheering gave me my second wind.
 
congratulations sensei, that's quite an accomplishment. how much does it take out of you, would you do it again?

ands that's enough displays of dedication, hard work, and athletic prowess out of you for the rest of the year mister, you're making the rest of us look bad.
 
Congratulations, Sensei. Huge accomplishment and definitely earned. I was close to 3 different marathoners at different times in my younger years, and know what kind of training dedication and consistency it requires-every single day, every single month. No running possible for me since car wreck at age 24. Life and health are gifts to be stewarded well.
 
I was stationed at Diego Garcia in 95'-96' and did a whole lot of running while I was there. Never did a marathon, but I probably ran at least 75 10Ks in the year I was there. I was the same age as you at that time. Along with all the bike riding and weight lifting that year, I am sure I was in the best shape of my life. In fact, my resting heart rate was about 36 :). Had to see a cardiologist every time someone took my blood pressure :laugh:. I would imagine you're in similar conditioning. Great job on the marathon. Have you experienced a runner's high yet?

Sensei said:
I did it - all 26.2 miles. I missed my goal of 4 hours by a long shot. It took 4:28, but not bad for a guy running his first marathon at 37. I had run 18.5 miles previously in only 2:33, but I ran a flatter course, and I was all by myself without having to worry about tripping over the 10,000 people who started ahead of me. It was definitely a learning experience, and very gratifying. Thanks for all your well wishes!



Torii's nice - a lot of Americans choose to live over there because of the nices beaches. I work at Kadena AB, but live on the Pacific side of the island.
Click to expand...
 
Thanks, thanks, and more thanks.

To burro: yeah, I'd do it again. Not reaching my goal only makes me want to work harder. It was also a lot more fun that I had anticipated. Okinawans love a party, and pretty much everyone living along the route turns out to cheer on the runners, hand out food and drinks, and play music. I was really impressed by that support.

To CH: Diego Rivera sounds like a unique experience. I don't know if I'm in quite the shape you were - I cut out weightlifting in order to have enough time for the running, but I definitely feel more energetic than I have since I was in my 20s.
 
that's a good time especially for your first run, did better than me the first time I did it, took me 5:02. after the 18th mile i had to stop every 2 miles at the aid stations to get my feet taped up, they were blistered to hell. learned the hard way not to wear cotton socks for a marathon lol
 
Sensei said:
Thanks JTH. Yeah, I'd say the wall hit me at about the half-way point. It was pretty much all uphill from the 10km to 27km marks, then we entered Kadena Air Base and the raucous American cheering gave me my second wind.
Click to expand...

bring any carb gel? they can prevent you from hitting the wall and should improve your time when you do it again. congrats on the finish by the way!
 
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