Rogue's Account Talk

[Rogue]

Today's IFT-

From: To:
G - 47% - 30%
F - 5% - 5%
C - 22% - 30%
S - 23% - 30%
I - 3% - 5%

Buying what appears to be a 2-day dip in C,S, and I. Well, technically S improved 0.1% yesterday, but the others appear to be diving.
Contrarians, react!

 

[OBXTrader]

Haven't posted in a while, nothing to say when you are in the G Fund. I joined your contrarian group. Not sure what all those premium people did, but I will have a go at L2030.

Today's IFT-

From: To:
G - 47% - 30%
F - 5% - 5%
C - 22% - 30%
S - 23% - 30%
I - 3% - 5%

Buying what appears to be a 2-day dip in C,S, and I. Well, technically S improved 0.1% yesterday, but the others appear to be diving.
Contrarians, react!

 

[Rogue]

Today's IFT.

From this: To this:
G: 30% 65%
F: 5% 0%
C: 30% 20%
S: 30% 15%
I: 5% 0%

 

[Rogue]

Well, I went the right direction, at the right time, just not enough.
Should've gone 100% G last IFT.
And, now is NOT the time to sell any of these shares. Right?

It's been a bloodbath this week.
I've moved UP to #295 on the AT because I've ONLY lost 0.02% YTD. So far.

It may be time to buy fear in the coming days.
To paraphrase Goodman's character in Raising Arizona, I'm young, I've got my health, what do I want with all that money anyhow?
Seriously though, if a feller could time the "bottom" of this selloff, I be there's gold in them thar hills.
Takes guts though, time to do a gut check I s'pose.

 

[felixthecat]

Darn it...this darn market is going south. Wednesday will either be a buy with conviction (false rally Tuesday to shake out the weak hands)...meaning a good sustained rally will occur based on my experience. The other side of the coin is much more ominous...we are going to have a Wednesday bloodbath. Looks like from todays trading we will need a good set of diapers and some cheese to go with the massive whine.

We could be looking at a major trap Wednesday. Oh my.

Well, I went the right direction, at the right time, just not enough.
Should've gone 100% G last IFT.
And, now is NOT the time to sell any of these shares. Right?

It's been a bloodbath this week.
I've moved UP to #295 on the AT because I've ONLY lost 0.02% YTD. So far.

It may be time to buy fear in the coming days.
To paraphrase Goodman's character in Raising Arizona, I'm young, I've got my health, what do I want with all that money anyhow?
Seriously though, if a feller could time the "bottom" of this selloff, I be there's gold in them thar hills.
Takes guts though, time to do a gut check I s'pose.

 

[Wiff007]

I hope it goes up or stats stagnit

 

[Rogue]

Buying into the game with >$100k today. You can still get wet, but not ride the wave if you're sitting on the beach.
With >20 years left to go, I can be a little more loose with these moves, in hopes of catching the swells.
You have to bet big to win big. So I'm moving 35% of my stake out of G and back into business, thinking that some just can't stand this volatility.

I can't shake the feeling of frustration at how hampered we are by the limited IFTs, and having to play these guessing games before Noon, with less than half the day's results in.
Hope I'm not crying in my soup manana.

Yesterday (Tuesday before Noon) would have been THE DAY to have made this move, but I think this will coincide with payday and, dammit if it's not the bottom at least I won't watch the pitch go by, but take a swing.

#300 on the AT with a whopping 0.7% gain YTD.

Surf's up, Dude.



Today's IFT, before Noon:

From: To:
G: 65 30
F: 0 10
C: 20 30
S: 15 30
I: 0 0

 

[BamaAF]

I hear ya - my only consternation is it seems like Friday always bites me -- I'm hoping to keep riding it a few more days and make up what I've lost since the 10th of August - then watch Sept from the sidelines

Buying into the game with >$100k today. You can still get wet, but not ride the wave if you're sitting on the beach.
With >20 years left to go, I can be a little more loose with these moves, in hopes of catching the swells.
You have to bet big to win big. So I'm moving 35% of my stake out of G and back into business, thinking that some just can't stand this volatility.

I can't shake the feeling of frustration at how hampered we are by the limited IFTs, and having to play these guessing games before Noon, with less than half the day's results in.
Hope I'm not crying in my soup manana.

Yesterday (Tuesday before Noon) would have been THE DAY to have made this move, but I think this will coincide with payday and, dammit if it's not the bottom at least I won't watch the pitch go by, but take a swing.

#300 on the AT with a whopping 0.7% gain YTD.

Surf's up, Dude.



Today's IFT, before Noon:

From: To:
G: 65 30
F: 0 10
C: 20 30
S: 15 30
I: 0 0

 

[Scout333]

Ease in gradually my friend! Don't believe we have seen the bottom yet but I hope I'm wrong about that one.

 

[Rogue]

#164 on the AT with 1.75% ytd...yowza it's a roller coaster right now.
Each days graph looks like the EKG of a fat guy on treadmill.

 

[Rogue]

Ouch for all of us because of this statistic: #164 on the AT with 1.75% YTD.
10 of the to 20 (and 22 of the top 40) are 100% G Fund right now, with a couple others @ 75% G Fund.
Some really sharp cats, 30 of y'all, are >8% YTD, that's amazing because <80 people (out of 956) have made >5% this year.
That's right, less than 10% of us on the AT have made > 5%.

 

[Rogue]

I'm talking about the non-premium, full year AT.

_________________________________________

It's been a rough summer, and a rough 2015 so far.
I guess the good news is that I'm in the black.
Sort of, I still have about 3k less today than I did in the middle of May.

Your Personal Investment Performance (PIP) for the past 12 months ending 08/31/2015 is 4.03%.

#158 on the AT @ 2.16% YTD.
Jiminy Christmas, I could get 1.4% on a 5-year CD right now.

17 of us (you) >10% YTD and 80 >5%.
I'm gonna leave my funds as they are:

G - 30%
F - 10%
C - 30%
S - 30%
I - 0%

 

[FogSailing]

Hang it there Rogue. It gets worse as you age...:laugh::smile:

All the best to you in your investing the rest of 2015!!

FS

 

[Rogue]

Your Personal Investment Performance (PIP) for the past 12 months ending 09/30/2015 is 2.5%.

;swear ;swear ;swear


#319 @ 0.2% YTD on the AT. I'm displeased.

Firedog is doing something right.

 

[JTH]

;swear ;swear ;swear


#319 @ 0.2% YTD on the AT. I'm displeased.

Firedog is doing something right.

I'll trade battle scars with you any day...

Your Personal Investment Performance (PIP) for the past 12 months ending 09/30/2015 is -8.03%.
(Your PIP is posted by the 3rd business day of each month.)

 

[Cactus]

I'll trade battle scars with you any day...

Your Personal Investment Performance (PIP) for the past 12 months ending 09/30/2015 is -8.03%.
(Your PIP is posted by the 3rd business day of each month.)

Ouch, that's where I was last year.

 

[Rogue]

Your Personal Investment Performance (PIP) for the past 12 months ending 10/31/2015 is 4.35%.

#146 on the AT (non-premium, full year only) @ 2.61% ytd earnings. I am becoming desensitized to the swings, although seeing that I still have 20% in I fund was a surprise. I thought I went about 30/30/30 in G,C, and S in my last IFT. I guess the lesson here is to check a little more frequently to make sure I'm working the strategy that I think I am working.

'Tis the season to make some money.

 

[Rogue]

Yeowwwuuccchh, man!

Your Personal Investment Performance (PIP) for the past 12 months ending 01/31/2016 is -0.8%

Time to buy fear? I hope so. Europe and Asia are down 1-2% today, and I've been thinking about increasing my C-fund allocation during this price dip. Today's the day.
North America and South America Stock Markets - CNNMoney
The 5% increase in F is sort of a "bet-hedge," which works sometimes and sometimes may be a creative way to double-down on my losses.
Alas, timing is key and I hope that I got it right today.
Also, the TSP Allocation Guide author says he will probably finish 2016 around 85% C fund and 15% I fund.

Today's IFT:
G 30 - 20
F 10 - 15
C 30 - 50
S 30 - 15

#429 on the AT YTD (non-premium) with negative 5.84% YTD.
Man, this sucks. But, a contrarian recognizes that it could be an opportunity in disguise.
Lots of uncertainty in the world, but I'm sticking with the "buy low" model. Now the question is, "is the price low today?"
I'm going to polish off the old crystal ball, wrap a fancy bandana around my noggin, and peer into the future. I'll get back to ya on that.

 

[Rogue]

Moving a little more into C, hopefully on a continued swell today, to watch the volatility with one foot in and one foot out.
From 20/15/50/15 to 41/12/35/12 G/F/C/S

#389 on the Non-PS YTD AT with -2.22% YTD and 1.49% in March (day and month LOL)

 

[Rogue]

Back in (the) black!

Your Personal Investment Performance (PIP) for the past 12 months ending 03/31/2016 is 0.02%.

#529 on the (non PS) Autotracker at 0.93 %.
At least it's a positive number.