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Or you can now use TapaTalk again!Rod's Account Talk
- Thread starter Rod
- Start date
Rod
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 150
mlk_man said:But I'm half into the I fund tomorrow, need that dollar to drop!
You know it's strange seeing the Wilshire lagging behind ALL the other indexes..........
Yeah, I'll be in 60%.
You know, I swear I was going to make the exact comment to you about the Wilshire.
What do you make of it???
Rod
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 150
Rod said:The (I) is looking attractive to me. Therefore, effective 9 Feb:
40 (S)
60 (I)
You all better jump in (S) now since I'm dumping shares.
It does always seem to profit the day after I exit.
Hey Mike... Pertaining to small caps continuing to rally after I exit some, I'm now telling myself, "I told you so!"
But hey, we should rake in some $$$ with both.
Who do you think will perform better today??? As of now, the Wilshire is doing better than the EFA. But then again, we still have some pennies owed to us in (I).
God Bless
mlk_man
Banned
- Reaction score
- 21
Right now I think the I fund will out perform. I have the I fund being up about .80% right now which is about twice what the EFA is. The dollar is down a little and I'm not real sure how they factor this in but I'd say the I fund is up somewhere around .80% for now.
Rod
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 150
Well, moving 60% into (I) turned out to be the right thing. It counteracted the loss in (S) which I thought would have been positive, but things turned sour in the afternoon as you well know.
My feelings are mixed for (I) tomorrow. I'm thinking I should have done a "hit-n-run" on the (I) then high tailed it to (C) while keeping the 40% in (S).
I may or may not dump it tomorrow.
On another note, Do you own any energy stocks???
The energy sector has been really weak, but it may come out of hibernation due to a major winter storm setting up for the east coast by the weekend bringing in much colder air. You know how folks panic... they will be topping off at the pumps and filling their heating oil tanks. Of course, all that equates to higher oil & heating prices which in the end "fuels" the economy anyways. You can have your cake and eat it too if you own energy stocks. Let's not forget those commodities of "milk & bread" which will go flying out of the coolers and off the shelves.
God Bless
mlk_man
Banned
- Reaction score
- 21
I blame the S drop yesterday on Vectorman jinxing it........
I don't "own" any energy stocks, however I do trade them. What I do is I track the ITF XLE, which is an energy SPDR, and when I get a buy signal, I buy SWN and when XLE gives me a sell signal, you guessed it, I sell SWN.
I use SWN because of all the energy companies I've look at, this one has performed about the best. IF you compare the two over a year period, you'll see how nice it's been to me.
It's also good to track the oil index OIH. They tend to run in unison........
Happy returns,
M_MWWizard
Guest
Rod,
I use charts. It blanks out a lot of noise.
Until SPX gets above the 50DMA it is going to labor.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=spx
This pattern and candlesicks says it is going to retest 1250. If it fails to bounce off 1250 then the next support will be the 200DMA. Which will probably be around 1230.
I understand permabear/permabull. I just use the charts.
Good luck to you.
Rod
Market Veteran
- Reaction score
- 150
Wizard said:Rod,
I use charts. It blanks out a lot of noise.
Until SPX gets above the 50DMA it is going to labor.
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=spx
This pattern and candlesicks says it is going to retest 1250. If it fails to bounce of 1250 then the next support will be the 200DMA. Which will probably be around 1230.
I understand permabear/permabull. I just use the charts.
Good luck to you.
Thanx for your comment and link.WWizard
Guest
No problem. Thanks for having an open mind. You can also get a better read by looking at the MACD. When the MACD is going down that is not good. Just kick back and on your hands until the MACD turns up. The "dumb money" got all excited last two days and the MACD was still going down. Bad time to buy.
I use the moving averages but mostly the MACD. When the MACD turns down then I go to the G fund. When the MACD turns up then I go long. Which is why I have been on my hands since the middle of January.
This has worked for me over and over again. Good luck.
I would use this until you get comfortable with the moving averages. Less whipsaws with the MACD approach. Especially in TSP with the deadline.Last edited:WWizard
Guest
Rod said:
MACD is the last bit on this chart:
http://stockcharts.com/def/servlet/SC.web?c=$SPX,uu[m,a]daclyyay[pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]&pref=G
Uncanny how you can use that to determine market direction - thus drowning out the noise.
You also get less whipsawed. You normally get out a day late and a day earlier with this approach but in the long run it works great. That is why you have to use the moving averages also. But just try the MACD for a couple months to help you decide. It works for me with TSP because of the deadline. By the MACD you could tell that anyway that put money in yesterday was going to probably regret it. I think Tom said the same thing on his comments.Similar threads
