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ripper's account talk
- Thread starter ripper
- Start date
Weekly update:
Year-to-date performance does not include current open trades.
Aggressive Model:
YTD: +28.3
Current position: 100% TZA @ 37.80
Conservative Model:
YTD: +10.7%
Current position: Cash
Had a pretty good week. Decided to move to cash for a bit due the volatility from the FOMC and quad-witching Friday.
My conservative model moved to a Sell at the close on Friday, so I'll probably buy SH at the open tomorrow if the market appears to be relatively flat or gapping up. If it opens significantly down, I'll remain in Cash.
Year-to-date performance does not include current open trades.
Aggressive Model:
YTD: +28.3
Current position: 100% TZA @ 37.80
Conservative Model:
YTD: +10.7%
Current position: Cash
Had a pretty good week. Decided to move to cash for a bit due the volatility from the FOMC and quad-witching Friday.
My conservative model moved to a Sell at the close on Friday, so I'll probably buy SH at the open tomorrow if the market appears to be relatively flat or gapping up. If it opens significantly down, I'll remain in Cash.
I found this interesting regarding days when SPY has gapped up over 1%, such as today:
SPY has gapped up more than 1% 29 times since 1/3/12.
The following day, it has been up 23 times and down 6 for an average return of +0.52%.
One week later, it has been up 23 times and down 6 for an average return of +1.20%
One month later, it's been up 22 times and down 7 for an average return of +2.27%
Three months later, it's been up 24 times and down 5 for an average return of +5.09%
SPY has gapped up more than 1% 29 times since 1/3/12.
The following day, it has been up 23 times and down 6 for an average return of +0.52%.
One week later, it has been up 23 times and down 6 for an average return of +1.20%
One month later, it's been up 22 times and down 7 for an average return of +2.27%
Three months later, it's been up 24 times and down 5 for an average return of +5.09%
Now up 24 times out of 30. But today's return was a bit below average at +0.28%.
When I saw this yesterday, I bought some UPRO at the close and put in an order to sell it at today's close. Had a profit of +0.84%, although it was almost twice as high at one point during the session.
It will be interesting to see if it matches its average return for one week, although that could be greatly influenced by the Brexit vote.
Now 100% TZA @ 37.20
