Bquat
Well-known member
I think it's your chart's popularity. People love people who try to help others with free advise.I was already up there a bit, just trying to get a few more for the next "level"
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- Thread starter RealMoneyIssues
- Start date
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
I wish it was advice, but as it is, I don't understand all this TA any more than the next guy... Still searching and learning
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
RMI's OCD Chart:
[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1186"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[TD].
My TSP
Returns[/TD]
[TD]My IRA
Realized
Returns[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]S&P 500[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]30-Dec[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]5.80%[/TD]
[TD]2.04%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]49%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long ?[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.01%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]74%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-635[/TD]
[TD]Safe-585[/TD]
[TD]Short-776[/TD]
[TD]Long-471[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.02%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-627[/TD]
[TD]Safe-579[/TD]
[TD]Short-788[/TD]
[TD]Long-461[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.02%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G
[/TD]
[TD]Safe-643[/TD]
[TD]Long-596[/TD]
[TD]Short-808[/TD]
[TD]Long-431[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.18%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]10%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Safe-708[/TD]
[TD]Safe-637[/TD]
[TD]Long-760[/TD]
[TD]Short-786[/TD]
[TD]Long-482[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.24%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]81%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Short-730[/TD]
[TD]Safe-663[/TD]
[TD]Long-428[/TD]
[TD]Short-802[/TD]
[TD]Long-450[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.25%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Short-586[/TD]
[TD]Long-712[/TD]
[TD]Long-288[/TD]
[TD]Short-835[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.67%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Short-605[/TD]
[TD]Long-547[/TD]
[TD]Long-229[/TD]
[TD]Short-624[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]1.11%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]59%
[/TD]
[TD]Short-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-506[/TD]
[TD]Long-206[/TD]
[TD]Short-658[/TD]
[TD]Long-384[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.46%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]10%[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]Short-506[/TD]
[TD]Long-600[/TD]
[TD]Long-236[/TD]
[TD]Short-530[/TD]
[TD]Long-429[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.68%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]30%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Short-554[/TD]
[TD]Long-584[/TD]
[TD]Long-270[/TD]
[TD]Short-593[/TD]
[TD]Long-423[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.49%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Jan
[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Short-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-408[/TD]
[TD]Long-191[/TD]
[TD]Short-667[/TD]
[TD]Long-343[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
P.S. You can click on theto give reps
┌──────────────────┘
VI like the way you are playing with the weightings. Honestly if you are going to try using this for mechanical trading signals the weightings will be the most important thing. Depending on how you use it, obviously, the one high value buy/sell model still makes the rest of the chart largely meaningless. That said, I still very much appreciate you aggregating and presenting all these different signals in one handy spot.
It might be worth considering which of your contributing models performs better under different market conditions. For example, the buy/sell may be particularly effective during periods of high volatility BUT Sentiment Survey, LMBF and others might be better in periods with a more static trend. As someone said earlier being atop the tracker may have an effect on the amount of risk a person is willing to take on but I think those traders will not shy away from clear money making/capital preserving opportunities.
Also, one thing I'm constantly learning to do is work with the IFT limitations. Different signals/weightings may be appropriate for different market vehicles. For example, I don't want to try playing the same moves with my TSP and ETFs...as such I use different considerations (largely moving averages and recent support/resistance areas on my end). Longer term MAs and S/R for TSP and shorter term MAs, S/R for ETFs.
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
RMI's OCD Chart:
[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1186"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol
[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[TD].
My TSP
Returns[/TD]
[TD]My IRA
Realized
Returns[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]10[/TD]
[TD]45[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]Not Yet[/TD]
[TD]S&P 500[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]30-Dec[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]5.80%[/TD]
[TD]2.04%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]49%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long ?[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.01%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]74%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-635[/TD]
[TD]Safe-585[/TD]
[TD]Short-776[/TD]
[TD]Long-471[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.02%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-627[/TD]
[TD]Safe-579[/TD]
[TD]Short-788[/TD]
[TD]Long-461[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.02%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-643[/TD]
[TD]Long-596[/TD]
[TD]Short-808[/TD]
[TD]Long-431[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.18%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]10%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Safe-708[/TD]
[TD]Safe-637[/TD]
[TD]Long-760[/TD]
[TD]Short-786[/TD]
[TD]Long-482[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.24%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]81%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Short-730[/TD]
[TD]Safe-663[/TD]
[TD]Long-428[/TD]
[TD]Short-802[/TD]
[TD]Long-450[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.25%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Short-586[/TD]
[TD]Long-712[/TD]
[TD]Long-288[/TD]
[TD]Short-835[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.67%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Short-605[/TD]
[TD]Long-547[/TD]
[TD]Long-229[/TD]
[TD]Short-624[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]1.11%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Short-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-506[/TD]
[TD]Long-206[/TD]
[TD]Short-658[/TD]
[TD]Long-384[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.46%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]10%[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]Short-506[/TD]
[TD]Long-600[/TD]
[TD]Long-236[/TD]
[TD]Short-530[/TD]
[TD]Long-429[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.68%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]30%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Short-554[/TD]
[TD]Long-584[/TD]
[TD]Long-270[/TD]
[TD]Short-593[/TD]
[TD]Long-423[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.49%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Short-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-408[/TD]
[TD]Long-191[/TD]
[TD]Short-667[/TD]
[TD]Long-343[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Jan
[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Short-664[/TD]
[TD]Long-348[/TD]
[TD]Long-167[/TD]
[TD]Short-684[/TD]
[TD]Long-312[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
I agree, the weighting is most important, but that is definitely a work in progress. As far as the 45 for the Buy/Sell Model, that one has been the most accurate, but it isn't a TSP signal and more volatile. The others, I view, temper the volatility of that model vice making them irrelevant... just my 2 cents.
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
Birchtree is rubbing off on a lot of people... glad I went to the sidelines
bmneveu
Well-known member
Birchtree is rubbing off on a lot of people... glad I went to the sidelines
I'm with ya, patiently awaiting a decent pullback to hop into
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
RMI's OCD Chart:
[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1186"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[TD].
My TSP
Returns[/TD]
[TD]My IRA
Realized
Returns[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium
[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Ask[/TD]
[TD]Ask[/TD]
[TD]Ask[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]30[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]SPX[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]30-Dec[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]5.80%[/TD]
[TD]2.04%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]49%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G
[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long ?[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.01%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]74%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-635[/TD]
[TD]Safe-585[/TD]
[TD]Short-776[/TD]
[TD]Long-471[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.02%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-627[/TD]
[TD]Safe-579[/TD]
[TD]Short-788[/TD]
[TD]Long-461[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.02%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-643[/TD]
[TD]Long-596[/TD]
[TD]Short-808[/TD]
[TD]Long-431[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.18%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]10%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Safe-708[/TD]
[TD]Safe-637[/TD]
[TD]Long-760[/TD]
[TD]Short-786[/TD]
[TD]Long-482[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.24%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]81%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Short-730[/TD]
[TD]Safe-663[/TD]
[TD]Long-428[/TD]
[TD]Short-802[/TD]
[TD]Long-450[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.25%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Short-586[/TD]
[TD]Long-712[/TD]
[TD]Long-288[/TD]
[TD]Short-835[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.67%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Short-605[/TD]
[TD]Long-547[/TD]
[TD]Long-229[/TD]
[TD]Short-624[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]1.11%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Short-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-506[/TD]
[TD]Long-206[/TD]
[TD]Short-658[/TD]
[TD]Long-384[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.46%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]10%[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]Short-506[/TD]
[TD]Long-600[/TD]
[TD]Long-236[/TD]
[TD]Short-530[/TD]
[TD]Long-429[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.68%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]30%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Short-554[/TD]
[TD]Long-584[/TD]
[TD]Long-270[/TD]
[TD]Short-593[/TD]
[TD]Long-423[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.49%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Short-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-408[/TD]
[TD]Long-191[/TD]
[TD]Short-667[/TD]
[TD]Long-343[/TD]
[TD]Short
[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Short-664[/TD]
[TD]Long-348[/TD]
[TD]Long-167[/TD]
[TD]Short-684[/TD]
[TD]Long-312[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Jan
[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Short-834[/TD]
[TD]Long-348[/TD]
[TD]Long-174[/TD]
[TD]Short-863[/TD]
[TD]Long-311[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
Good evening folks! I am on the back shift for the next 2 weeks, so getting the chart out will be hit and miss but I should be able to post it late in the evening. Sorry
Ok, how about some questions:
- How many days would you like to see in the chart?
- Any confusion on these indicators?
- Have any thoughts on the weighing?
Here are my thoughts:
If you can see the chart is getting long, hence the first question. I have started playing with the weights of the individual signals. I will probably play with these a lot over the next few weeks until I come up with a good weighting that provides the closest signal to matching the perfect S&P swings.
In reality, this chart doesn't necessarily show how I feel about the markets. I see the signal I am working on as a Heinz 57 of signals that works at the open of the market as most of the signals I watch are either given after the 1200 TSP deadline or after the market closes. With that said, the signal generated is for what might happen that day (aka buy signal for the 23rd is for the 23rd and doesn't look forward). So, if I haven't completely confused you yet, I am doing better than I think I am.
I have no idea how the systems work that I track. I would love to know, but they are proprietary and I have to respect the system owner's right to their intellectual property. I do not give you any signals for systems that charge for their services as that would be theft. I have been tracking a lot of this information for nearly 6 months so that I could determine their success and to be honest, I have not done that very well. I have been very inconsistent on what I do with my trades. I am using this as a way to come up with a better way to manage my money, trade more consistently, and have more success.
I do not want to become a day trader. Well, actually, I don't have the time for day trading. I think I would actually enjoy trading full time, but that won't happen until I retire many years from now. I want to swing/trend trade and with years like 2009 or 2010, that is easy. 2011 (starting in July) and I think 2012 were not good for swing/trend traders due to the volatility. I am hoping that the end of this year will put us back into a long term bull market and swing trading won't be so difficult.
Well, I think I have said more than enough for now. I will continue to post the chart, ask questions, answer questions, and track the success of these systems as we progress through 2012.
Successful trading to us all!!
MaStA
Member
I still think it would be best to possibly upload it to Google Docs (https://docs.google.com/) and just have a main link to view the sheet. Then you can keep it as long as you want, add more tabs to it for other things, etc.
I haven't really used Google Docs, but I have seen others use it and it works well. I'm guessing you can make it viewable by everyone without a password and make it locked so no one can change it or whatever. Just a thought...
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
I use Google Docs quite a bit but I am not sure I want to go that route only because I would rather people come here to get the information vice only hitting Google.
I want to encourage discussion...
MaStA
Member
Well you could store the entire file there and still post the daily row here every day. Once you get several months of data it will start looking cluttered on here with all of that to post. Either way I'll be looking at whatever way you offer it.
KevinD
Well-known member
It's obvious to me that those on the wrong side of the trade move down the tracker and those guessing right move up. Should the weighting change along the way to reflect whether or not that particular column is on the right side of the trade?
I asked Tom to add a column on the tracker to show "those on the move" (ie: KevinD -45 spots, RMI +80, etc) but he was concerned that that info could somehow reveal the signals of the premium services.
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
I definitely struggle with whether to even count that information because of exactly what you mention. Right now it is really profound as everyone who has been in the S fund since the beginning of the year are all at the top. As we get some people using their IFTs, then there will be a difference of returns and those 2 indicators will matter more. I wasn't here in January of 2011, so I wasn't aware of how much of an effect zeroing out the returns would have. I will continue to put the data there with a low weighting until I can determine it to be a useless indicator.
ebbnflow
Ebbchart
RMI, the ebbchart would have fit in nicely on your chart. I have been using the ebbchart's signals to follow the exchange-traded fund, TNA (since May 2011). Had a gain of +154% from May thru December of last year. Got off to a great start again this year with a string of 10 correct buy and short signals for TNA. So far, the ETF system is up over +12% this month. Just a heads-up to traders looking for an edge. By the way, the new mechanical calling system started in May and it really takes the emotions out of trading.Last edited:
jkenjohnson
Active member
Which ETF's are you referring to?
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
I think TNA...
jkenjohnson
Active member
OK. Thanks. Keep your OCD chart going.
RealMoneyIssues
Well-known member
RMI's OCD Chart:
[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1100"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[TD].
My TSP
Returns[/TD]
[TD]My IRA
Realized
Returns[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Ask[/TD]
[TD]Ask[/TD]
[TD]Ask[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]8[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]3[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]9[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]30[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]SPX[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]30-Dec[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]5.80%[/TD]
[TD]2.04%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]49%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long ?[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.01%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]74%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-635[/TD]
[TD]Safe-585[/TD]
[TD]Short-776[/TD]
[TD]Long-471[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.02%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-627[/TD]
[TD]Safe-579[/TD]
[TD]Short-788[/TD]
[TD]Long-461[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.02%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]6-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]46%[/TD]
[TD]Buy G[/TD]
[TD]Safe-643[/TD]
[TD]Long-596[/TD]
[TD]Short-808[/TD]
[TD]Long-431[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.18%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]10%[/TD]
[TD]44%[/TD]
[TD]Safe-708[/TD]
[TD]Safe-637[/TD]
[TD]Long-760[/TD]
[TD]Short-786[/TD]
[TD]Long-482[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.24%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]81%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Short-730[/TD]
[TD]Safe-663[/TD]
[TD]Long-428[/TD]
[TD]Short-802[/TD]
[TD]Long-450[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Sell[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.25%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Short-586[/TD]
[TD]Long-712[/TD]
[TD]Long-288[/TD]
[TD]Short-835[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.67%[/TD]
[TD]0.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]56%[/TD]
[TD]Short-605[/TD]
[TD]Long-547[/TD]
[TD]Long-229[/TD]
[TD]Short-624[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]1.11%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Short-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-506[/TD]
[TD]Long-206[/TD]
[TD]Short-658[/TD]
[TD]Long-384[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.46%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]17-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]0%[/TD]
[TD]10%[/TD]
[TD]65%[/TD]
[TD]Short-506[/TD]
[TD]Long-600[/TD]
[TD]Long-236[/TD]
[TD]Short-530[/TD]
[TD]Long-429[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.68%[/TD]
[TD]0.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]18-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]30%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Short-554[/TD]
[TD]Long-584[/TD]
[TD]Long-270[/TD]
[TD]Short-593[/TD]
[TD]Long-423[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.49%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]19-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Short-640[/TD]
[TD]Long-408[/TD]
[TD]Long-191[/TD]
[TD]Short-667[/TD]
[TD]Long-343[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]20-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]90%[/TD]
[TD]48%[/TD]
[TD]Short-664[/TD]
[TD]Long-348[/TD]
[TD]Long-167[/TD]
[TD]Short-684[/TD]
[TD]Long-312[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]0.69%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]23-Jan[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]100%[/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD]Short-834[/TD]
[TD]Long-348[/TD]
[TD]Long-174[/TD]
[TD]Short-863[/TD]
[TD]Long-311[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]0.71%[/TD]
[TD]1.34%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]24-Jan
[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]78%[/TD]
[TD]64%[/TD]
[TD]67%[/TD]
[TD]Short-853[/TD]
[TD]Long-364[/TD]
[TD]Long-198[/TD]
[TD]Short-873[/TD]
[TD]Long-309[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Buy
[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
I think the markets (well, and of course, Birchtree) are at the Euphoria stage. That worries me... :worried:
At this point, I am in a holding pattern trying to find that 'catalyst' that causes a small reversal in the low volume, bear trapping, grind higher...Similar threads
