RealMoneyIssues' Account Talk

[RealMoneyIssues]

Should make for an interesting day. Gotta a feeling we end flat to up. Maybe that's just hope!

ok, maybe I am misunderstanding, but you think we could be flat to up from Thursdays close? That is a 20 point gain in the S&P, which would be miraculous, not hopeful. For anyone long in the market, a flat to up day from the open would still be painful.

All I can do at this point is chose to cut my losses if the markets are headed down further or wait to recover if the market is going to go up from here. Birchtree is always about holding for future gains and I do have the advantage of time; however, time is both an advantage and a curse for those trying to make up for lost time...

Well, nothing I can do about it now but wait. Thanks everyone for stopping by.

 

[clester]

Stranger things have happened!

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Stranger things have happened!

I have been taking hourly doses of Hopium... let's see what happens...

 

[jkenjohnson]

I have been taking hourly doses of Hopium... let's see what happens...

Sorry, but hopium will not be effective today. You heard it here, first.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Sorry, but hopium will not be effective today. You heard it here, first.

Well, we're both in the same long boat, but my margin is a lot lower than yours... I would just like to stay above 0 at this point.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Well, we're both in the same long boat, but my margin is a lot lower than yours... I would just like to stay above 0 at this point.

I have a bad feeling that we may be entering a moderate pullback or correction. HOPE I'm wrong.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

I have a bad feeling that we may be entering a moderate pullback or correction. HOPE I'm wrong.

Yeah, fine, but lets not all do it in one day. Maybe Big Ben will save the day with words of wisdom this afternoon...

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

Ok, well, this market has kicked me to the curb. I no longer understand why it does what it does... I thought I did, having made a nearly 100% recovery from last August's drop (lost 45%, made it back +5%)... now lost it all again...

BT, don't

 

[Birchtree]

This is a purrfect environment for someone that dollar cost averages for the long haul. If you hold your position you haven't lost anything except some time.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

This is a purrfect environment for someone that dollar cost averages for the long haul. If you hold your position you haven't lost anything except some time.

Oh, I am definitely stuck long... Thank you for not jumping on my grave...

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

RMI's OCD Chart:

[TABLE="class: grid, width: 1200"]
[TR]
[TD].
Trading
Date[/TD]
[TD]Top 5
In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD]Top
10 In
Stocks[/TD]
[TD].
Season
-ality[/TD]
[TD]Long-
Short
Timing[/TD]
[TD].
10 Mon
M-SMA [/TD]
[TD].
LMBF
Method[/TD]
[TD].
.
Uptrend[/TD]
[TD].
Seven
Sentinels[/TD]
[TD]TSP
Talk
SS[/TD]
[TD]Mr
John
Ross[/TD]
[TD]J
Ken
Johnson[/TD]
[TD]Non-TSP
Buy/Sell
Model[/TD]
[TD]Signal
????
lol[/TD]
[TD]In a
Perfect
World[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Term[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Medium[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]???[/TD]
[TD]n/a[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Weight?[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]1[/TD]
[TD]5[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]6[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]12[/TD]
[TD]15[/TD]
[TD]100[/TD]
[TD]SPX[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]26-Mar[/TD]
[TD]40%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]52%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-697[/TD]
[TD]Long-360[/TD]
[TD]Long-923[/TD]
[TD]Safe-49[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-226[/TD]
[TD]Long-95[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-8[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]27-Mar[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-586[/TD]
[TD]Long-332[/TD]
[TD]Long-763[/TD]
[TD]Safe-104[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-208[/TD]
[TD]Long-84[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[TD]Buy-7[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]28-Mar[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]41%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-621[/TD]
[TD]Long-336[/TD]
[TD]Long-778[/TD]
[TD]Safe-89[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-207[/TD]
[TD]Long-92[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Short[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]29-Mar[/TD]
[TD]20%
[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]35%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-650[/TD]
[TD]Long-362[/TD]
[TD]Long-816[/TD]
[TD]Safe-63[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-210[/TD]
[TD]Long-94[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-8[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]30-Mar[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]39%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-663[/TD]
[TD]Long-411[/TD]
[TD]Long-968[/TD]
[TD]Safe-54[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-213[/TD]
[TD]Long-88[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-8[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]2-Apr[/TD]
[TD]20%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-628[/TD]
[TD]Long-342[/TD]
[TD]Long-968[/TD]
[TD]Safe-49[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-182[/TD]
[TD]Long-81[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-8[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]3-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-582[/TD]
[TD]Long-316[/TD]
[TD]Long-737[/TD]
[TD]Safe-81[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-171[/TD]
[TD]Long-74[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-8[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]4-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-571[/TD]
[TD]Long-311[/TD]
[TD]Long-776[/TD]
[TD]Safe-62[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-163[/TD]
[TD]Long-67[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-8[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]5-Apr[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-662[/TD]
[TD]Long-310[/TD]
[TD]Safe-877[/TD]
[TD]Safe-33[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Long-163[/TD]
[TD]Long-76[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD]Short[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]9-Apr[/TD]
[TD]80%[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]57%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-732[/TD]
[TD]Long-354[/TD]
[TD]Safe-998[/TD]
[TD]Safe-10[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-188[/TD]
[TD]Long-95[/TD]
[TD]Hold_Buy[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]10-Apr
[/TD]
[TD]60%[/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD]59%[/TD]
[TD]Safe[/TD]
[TD]Long-927[/TD]
[TD]Long-395[/TD]
[TD]Safe-962[/TD]
[TD]Safe-8[/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD]Safe-151[/TD]
[TD]Long-114[/TD]
[TD]Stop_Half[/TD]
[TD]Buy-6
[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]11-Apr[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]61%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]12-Apr[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]54%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]13-Apr[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]50%[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD]Long[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD]Buy[/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[TD] [/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Still on a buy as no system changed from their long position based on Friday or today's action... telling? I don't know.

So, no opinions, just the stats. I have no right to tell anyone about how or what to trade. I have a lot of learning to do, and first class is money management.

Have a Blessed Day !!

 

[Boghie]

RMI, I really like this chart. It is a very nice summary of what is going on...

And, for dummies like me (even though I’m kinda stooped I still don’t like to lose my mulla!) it is a quick and dirty read on the traders here. Much like CH’s stuff. Like much…

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

RMI, I really like this chart. It is a very nice summary of what is going on...

And, for dummies like me (even though I’m kinda stooped I still don’t like to lose my mulla!) it is a quick and dirty read on the traders here. Much like CH’s stuff. Like much…

Thanks Boghie. It really is about seeing what everyone is doing. Interestingly enough, although they are all analyzing the same thing (the stock market), so many times they come to different conclusions. It would be much easier if, within a day or 2 of each other, they would all switch to long or short positions; however, they all analyze the markets differently, with different philosophies, and different goals. I was hoping the weighing would provide an equalizer based on their market timing goal, but, well, apparently not...

Thanks for stopping by, so glad to know someone reads this OCD Chart.

 

[jkenjohnson]

Thanks Boghie. It really is about seeing what everyone is doing. Interestingly enough, although they are all analyzing the same thing (the stock market), so many times they come to different conclusions. It would be much easier if, within a day or 2 of each other, they would all switch to long or short positions; however, they all analyze the markets differently, with different philosophies, and different goals. I was hoping the weighing would provide an equalizer based on their market timing goal, but, well, apparently not...

Thanks for stopping by, so glad to know someone reads this OCD Chart.

I read it every day, even though I have my own system. Keep it up.

 

[Mapper]

Looks like the longer time-frame indicators in your chart are still primarily "long" while the short and intermediate models are "safe". The long term approach is like a lowpass filter and should help keep perspective; they may be pointing to a greener horizon. Alternatively they need more confirmation to roll over so they may be lagging.

Obviously none of us know the future but I'm just adding my observation notes to (hopefully) help us better understand how to use this great aggregation.

Thanks RMI, I like seeing the table.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

So, seeing today's action, I have once again become a buy and holder... or, I can just donate the rest of my IRA to a charity (sans the 10% penalty and taxes)... at least I won't be giving it away to the market.

 

[RealMoneyIssues]

I can't watch this any more, have a great afternoon all. I need to find something else to do than watch my money evaporate

 

[Birchtree]

Money is like the ocean waves - it flows in and it flows out. Don't worry, it always returns.

 

[MrJohnRoss]

Thanks for stopping by, so glad to know someone reads this OCD Chart.

Are you kidding me??? I'll bet at least a hundred people read your chart every day! Just to calculate, take today's number of views to your account, then tomorrow at the same time, look at how many have viewed it. I think you'll be surprised.

 

[A2Z1112]

I am one of them that looks for your OCD chart daily!!!! Thanks and I appreciate your time in pulling this data together!!!