RealMoneyIssues' Account Talk

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Come back, Shane. Capital that is sitting on the sidelines is now at record highs. Such an amount of capital was virtually non-existent back in February 2003, let alone July 1982 or October 1990 - not just sovereign wealth funds, but in private equity funds and hedge funds as well to include ETFs. The 1990 peak in capital preceded a great rally which ended in the summer of 1998. When will this bull rally end is the important question that only you can help answer.
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
Good news is good for the market...
Bad news is good for the market...
Click to expand...

I don't know where you've been the past 5 years but basically bad news means interest rates will stay low longer.

John Q Public isn't getting rich off low interest rates, but somebody is.
 
Bullitt said:
I don't know where you've been the past 5 years but basically bad news means interest rates will stay low longer.
Click to expand...

How is that working now? Seems like bad news is bad for the market and so is good news...


Anyway, I just wanted to post again here just to mention that I am now about even for the year. I guess it is better than being negative like 2011, but this certainly does feel like August 2011. Hopefully I will be smart enough to get out of the market before we see another precipitous drop like then...

Sadly, no market decision I have made this year has worked out... Seriously considering going to G and just waiting this whole stupid mess out. Made 3.8% in stocks, then lost 1.6% in bonds, and now I have lost the nearly 2% left so... dang...

Oh, well. I guess I won't be getting the 24% I was hoping for (hell, just a measly 2% a month) this year. Last year I only got 14% (about 12% in 2011), so 10% short of my goal. Then I get to see people who are pulling off 30-45% a year, which is just a little depressing.

I will have to make 4% a month (double the amount, double the effort) through the rest of the year just to make my goal (gotta keep trying), but I don't know that I am up to the challenge. I am tired of all the moves, worrying about whether it will work out or not, and all it is doing is keeping me from doing more important things. I don't think that is what it should be like.

So, with all that said, I guess you can just say I needed to vent my frustration publically. No replies are necessary, just had to get that off my chest.

Have a Blessed Year!

P.S. I just looked at my IRA and trading account and just feel nauseous :sick:
 
It's about time you decided to come home - now get a grip. If you are tired go with 100% C fund and relax. Let the bull help you rest.
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
How is that working now? Seems like bad news is bad for the market and so is good news...


Anyway, I just wanted to post again here just to mention that I am now about even for the year. I guess it is better than being negative like 2011, but this certainly does feel like August 2011. Hopefully I will be smart enough to get out of the market before we see another precipitous drop like then...

Sadly, no market decision I have made this year has worked out... Seriously considering going to G and just waiting this whole stupid mess out. Made 3.8% in stocks, then lost 1.6% in bonds, and now I have lost the nearly 2% left so... dang...

Oh, well. I guess I won't be getting the 24% I was hoping for (hell, just a measly 2% a month) this year. Last year I only got 14% (about 12% in 2011), so 10% short of my goal. Then I get to see people who are pulling off 30-45% a year, which is just a little depressing.

I will have to make 4% a month (double the amount, double the effort) through the rest of the year just to make my goal (gotta keep trying), but I don't know that I am up to the challenge. I am tired of all the moves, worrying about whether it will work out or not, and all it is doing is keeping me from doing more important things. I don't think that is what it should be like.

So, with all that said, I guess you can just say I needed to vent my frustration publically. No replies are necessary, just had to get that off my chest.

Have a Blessed Year!

P.S. I just looked at my IRA and trading account and just feel nauseous :sick:
Click to expand...

I'm on the USS Minnow - Gilligan's Island. Boat sank near the uncharted desert isle, with Gilligan, the skipper too, the millionaire and his wife, the movie star, the professor and Mary Ann here on Gilligan's Isle.
 
RealMoneyIssues said:
Oh, well. I guess I won't be getting the 24% I was hoping for (hell, just a measly 2% a month) this year......
Click to expand...

I think it might be time to lower this expectation. Trying to kill the market with desire will only frustrate you more. Average 8% in S&P a year, beat that a few times on any "knowledge, charting, results driven action" and you'll be happy. 24%? That should just be gravy by then.
 
Last edited:
RMI,

Big stocks (C fund or I fund) tend to outperform during the back half of bull markets. If you live in fear, you will be frozen into doing nothing. or worse, doing exactly the wrong thng. Onr has to realize that more money has been lost as the result of fear than the actual events feared. Buy, buy, buy.
 
Yeah, woohoo, another day of losses... apparently no one is in the buy the dip mode and once a few people do, they sell off once they get ANY profits... seems like only the institutions are winning...

So, instead of making nothing at 11:20am this morning, I am now looking at a 3% loss... just *&^%$^()&**(& great...

I need a break, going to G...
 
Remember, in a secular bull market, every dip is a buying opportunity. Now repeat that every morning and you'll do fine. And there is no charge.
 
Birchtree said:
Remember, in a secular bull market, every dip is a buying opportunity. Now repeat that every morning and you'll do fine. And there is no charge.
Click to expand...

All I want to be is positive on a trade for once... and, as I have mentioned (aka written) about before, you will never be out of the market, so buying every dip is fine for a buy and holder, but not for a trader.

Thanks for the free advice though...
 
Wow, a 1% up day and all the bulls are back snorting about a bust above 1650, then 1700 within a week...

Only time will tell...

7 trading days ago we hit 1600
5 trading days ago we hit 1650
2 and 3 trading days ago we hit 1610
Today, we hit 1650

Things that make you go, hmmmm...
 
RMI,

You can fight Ferdinand all you want - but the writing is on the bathroom wall. Japan is going to lead the way higher blazing the trail.
 
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