Really?

I took a long weekend and wasn't able to post this week's charts as early as I would have liked, but better late than never I suppose.

When I saw this week's numbers, especially for the Top 50, I had to double check my information because I was a bit surprised at the elevated F fund allocation. And the Total Tracker charts showed similar movement. Make no mistake, we are a bearish group right now.

Fund Allocation ~ Top 50 Chart 3.jpg
2012 Top 50 Trend.jpg

This week, the Top 50 spiked their bond exposure from 32.8% to a whopping 56.3%. Really? Total stock exposure fell from 43.2% to a paltry 17.2%.

Total Tracker Fund Allocation.jpg
2012 Total Tracker Trend.jpg

The Total Tracker also shows very elevated levels of bond exposure as we collectively jumped it from 16.86% last week to the current reading of 29.17%. Total stock exposure fell from 45.42% to 31.08%.

Our sentiment survey remains on a buy. Last week's signal was good for some nice gains if one was a bull. Let's see how this week goes given the more conservative positions.
 
I concur. The bears keep trying to drage the market down, but it just keeps wanting to tread a little higher each day. I think we may be on the cusp of a nice bull move up of a few hundred points on the Dow before September gets here.
 
MrJohnRoss;bt5688 said:
I concur. The bears keep trying to drage the market down, but it just keeps wanting to tread a little higher each day. I think we may be on the cusp of a nice bull move up of a few hundred points on the Dow before September gets here.

And then what? Crash, boom, bam before the elections?

I'm really trying my hardest to understand this market.
 
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