Project: HAL-63 Daily

JTH

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S&P 500 Daily: Aug Trading Day 16 produced a Strong Buy Signal with a Low Pattern Count.

A Strong Buy Signal is designed to capture the Top-15% of Global Scores, based on the performance of the 13-Pattern Groups.

  • Expectation: The Historical Pattern Library shows a +47% Win Ratio edge over the 51% Benchmark on a count of 137 sessions.
  • Short-term Reality: Last 63-Sessions show a +46% edge over the 54% Benchmark on a small count of 3 sessions.
  • Medium-Term Reality: Last 158-Sessions show a +15% edge over the 56% Benchmark on a count of 21 sessions.
Screenshot 2025-08-22 11.23.25.png


Not that it's easy to get an edge on a daily signal within the constraints of the IFT System.
To compensate, we can look to the 3-Bar performance which shows over the past 13 Strong Buy Signals there was a 92% Win Ratio.

  • As a word of Caution at Row 10, the 3-Bar performance after 15-Apr-2025 was -4.42%
Screenshot 2025-08-22 11.24.17.png


Given this week has largely been news-driven headlines, which the patterns can't read, we'll see how it works out.

Have a great day... Jason
 
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